Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

← all leagues

馃嚨馃嚤 Ekstraklasa

league draws 28% · chaos 28orderly

Wisla Plock (16th) v Cracovia Krakow (11th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 39%
X 27%
2 34%
Prediction: Wisla Plock to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 33%
vs performances: Wisla Plock -0.44 (6g) · Cracovia Krakow -0.16 (5g)
Squad overlay · Wisla Plock stronger by 0.01, shifted the price by up to 0.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes Wisla Plock the marginal call at 39%, with Cracovia Krakow at 34% and the draw at 27%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 33%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Marcin Kami艅ski 馃嚨馃嚤 and Marcus Haglind Sangre for Wisla Plock, and Ajdin Hasi膰 馃嚙馃嚘 and Amir Al-Ammari 馃嚠馃嚩 for Cracovia Krakow.

Wisla Plock: P艂ock club, Orlen-backed, cup pedigree; Orlen Stadion. · Cracovia Krakow: Poland's oldest club, Krak贸w institution; the modern Cracovia stadium and the fierce 'Holy War' derby with Wis艂a.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Wisla Plock (16th)

P艂ock club, Orlen-backed, cup pedigree; Orlen Stadion. Mid-table Ekstraklasa side, steady if unspectacular, chemical-industry support.

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 36.0 in league · 14th of 19
Seasons 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 16th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
  • LH0-2 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • LA0-5 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • LA1-2 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • DH0-0 Widzew 艁贸d藕Ekstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 0,3,5,2,2
Key players Dani Pacheco 馃嚜馃嚫 59.0, Afonso Silva 馃嚨馃嚬 55.1, Dion Gallapeni 馃嚱馃嚢 48.6, Adam Radwanski 47.6, Deni Juri膰 馃嚘馃嚭 46.9
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 20 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚞馃嚪 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 2 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
21616th07-26 v Rak贸w Cz臋stochowa: +1.707-31 v Widzew 艁贸d藕: -0.108-07 v Wisla Krakow: -2.108-23 v GKS Katowice: -6.008-28 v Korona Kielce: -2.309-07 v Pogon Szczecin: -0.2

Cracovia Krakow (11th)

Poland's oldest club, Krak贸w institution; the modern Cracovia stadium and the fierce 'Holy War' derby with Wis艂a. Mid-table cup winners, passionate support.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 34.5 in league · 16th of 19
Seasons 2023: 13th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 15th | 2026 so far: 11th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • LA1-2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • WH3-2 Wieczysta Krak贸wEkstraklasa
  • WH2-1 Rak贸w Cz臋stochowaEkstraklasa
  • DA0-0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 0,3,5,3,1
Key players Ajdin Hasi膰 馃嚙馃嚘 61.5, Mateusz Klich 馃嚨馃嚤 59.0, Brahim Traor茅 馃嚝馃嚪 51.6, Mauro Perkovi膰 馃嚟馃嚪 48.2, Amir Al-Ammari 馃嚠馃嚩 46.2
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 19 路 馃嚚馃嚟 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 2 路 馃嚙馃嚞 1 路 馃嚙馃嚘 1 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 +15 more
Season pulse season 2026
31611th07-25 v Lech Poznan: +0.108-03 v Pogon Szczecin: -2.908-09 v Slask Wroclaw: +0.408-16 v Rak贸w Cz臋stochowa: +3.008-21 v Wieczysta Krak贸w: +2.008-29 v Radomiak Radom: -2.009-06 v Gornik Zabrze: -2.0
league draws 28% · chaos 28orderly

Pogon Szczecin (7th) v Wieczysta Krak贸w (17th)

1 49%
X 27%
2 24%
Prediction: Pogon Szczecin to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 60%
vs performances: Pogon Szczecin +0.18 (6g) · Wieczysta Krak贸w -1.03 (5g)
Match preview

The model makes Pogon Szczecin narrow favourites at 49%, with Wieczysta Krak贸w at 24% and the draw at 27%. Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in five (8 scored, 4 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 60%. Watch E. Koulouris 馃嚞馃嚪 and F. Ulvestad 馃嚦馃嚧 for Pogon Szczecin.

Pogon Szczecin: North-west club (Szczecin), perennial cup near-miss and European hopeful; Stadion Pogoni. · Wieczysta Krak贸w: Wealthy-owner project (Kwiecie艅) that rocketed up the Polish pyramid to the top flight; small Krak贸w ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Pogon Szczecin (7th)

North-west club (Szczecin), perennial cup near-miss and European hopeful; Stadion Pogoni. Predicted qualifier; attacking, develops talent.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 56.7 in league · 7th of 19
Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 4th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 7th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • DA0-0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • DH2-2 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • WH3-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • WA2-0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 2,4,4,0,2
Key players Valentin Cojocaru 馃嚪馃嚧 75.3, Patryk Dziczek 馃嚨馃嚤 61.3, L茅o Borges 馃嚙馃嚪 58.3, Jean-Pierre Nsame 馃嚚馃嚥 52.2, Fredrik Ulvestad 馃嚦馃嚧 50.2
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 18 路 馃嚞馃嚪 3 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚟馃嚭 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 +14 more
Season pulse season 2026
3178th07-24 v Legia Warszawa: -3.008-03 v Cracovia Krakow: +2.908-08 v Motor Lublin: +3.608-23 v Wisla Krakow: +0.208-29 v Zaglebie Lubin: -0.409-07 v Wisla Plock: +0.2

Wieczysta Krak贸w (17th)

FOREIGN CORE 65%

Wealthy-owner project (Kwiecie艅) that rocketed up the Polish pyramid to the top flight; small Krak贸w ground. Ambitious, well-funded upstart, results volatile.

Seasons 2026 so far: 17th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • LA0-2 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • LA2-3 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • WA4-3 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • LH1-2 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 3,7,5,2,2
Key players Lucas Piaz贸n 馃嚙馃嚪 52.5, Tobias Christensen 馃嚦馃嚧 49.2, Christopher Lungoyi 馃嚚馃嚟 48.9, Lisandro Semedo 馃嚚馃嚮 47.5, Mikkel Maigaard 馃嚛馃嚢 46.8
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 8 路 馃嚟馃嚪 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 2 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
131817th07-24 v Radomiak Radom: -1.808-01 v Lech Poznan: -2.308-15 v Piast Gliwice: +2.008-21 v Cracovia Krakow: -2.008-29 v Wisla Krakow: -3.109-07 v Zaglebie Lubin: -0.2
league draws 28% · chaos 28orderly

Legia Warszawa (2nd) v Widzew 艁贸d藕 (13th)

1 56%
X 26%
2 19%
Prediction: Legia Warszawa to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 43%
vs performances: Legia Warszawa +0.25 (6g) · Widzew 艁贸d藕 -0.15 (5g)
Squad overlay · Legia Warszawa stronger by 0.14, shifted the price by up to 1.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes Legia Warszawa clear favourites at 56%, with Widzew 艁贸d藕 at 19% and the draw at 26%. Legia Warszawa are unbeaten in five (11 scored, 5 conceded). Watch J. Elitim 馃嚚馃嚧 and B. Kapustka 馃嚨馃嚤 for Legia Warszawa, and Sebastian Bergier 馃嚨馃嚤 and Fran 脕lvarez 馃嚜馃嚫 for Widzew 艁贸d藕.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Legia Warszawa (2nd)

Warsaw. Poland's biggest club, record champions, UCL/UEL-group regular; Wojska Polskiego, fervent (sometimes fined) support. Predicted UEL entrant. Deepest squad in Poland.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 71.2 in league · 2nd of 19
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 5th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 2nd (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • DH1-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • DA1-1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • WH5-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • DA1-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 2,5,2,2,5
Key players Rafa艂 Augustyniak 馃嚨馃嚤 73.1, Kamil Pi膮tkowski 馃嚨馃嚤 66.8, R煤ben Vinagre 馃嚨馃嚬 62.2, Bartosz Kapustka 馃嚨馃嚤 58.0, Ivan Brki膰 馃嚟馃嚪 56.7
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 18 路 馃嚟馃嚪 3 路 馃嚨馃嚬 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚘馃嚥 1 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
162nd07-24 v Pogon Szczecin: +3.008-02 v Zaglebie Lubin: +3.308-08 v Korona Kielce: -0.008-14 v Radomiak Radom: +6.008-22 v Piast Gliwice: -0.108-28 v Slask Wroclaw: +0.009-05 v Motor Lublin: +2.0

Widzew 艁贸d藕 (13th)

Lodz. 艁贸d藕 giant, historic 1980s European force with a massive ultra fanbase; the modern Widzew stadium and the fierce 艁KS derby. Back up after years down, big support for the level.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 53.4 in league · 8th of 19
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 13th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • LH2-3 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
  • DA3-3 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • LH1-2 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • WA2-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,3,6,5,0
Key players Przemys艂aw Wi艣niewski 馃嚨馃嚤 59.9, Juljan Shehu 馃嚘馃嚤 55.1, Fran 脕lvarez 馃嚜馃嚫 54.5, Sebastian Bergier 馃嚨馃嚤 53.7, Carlos Isaac 馃嚜馃嚫 52.3
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 17 路 馃嚜馃嚫 5 路 馃嚛馃嚢 3 路 馃嚘馃嚤 2 路 馃嚞馃嚪 2 路 馃嚚馃嚳 1 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
61313th07-26 v Motor Lublin: +0.707-31 v Wisla Plock: +0.108-09 v Jagiellonia: +3.008-15 v Korona Kielce: -2.008-22 v Slask Wroclaw: -0.308-30 v Lech Poznan: -2.509-05 v Radomiak Radom: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.