Daily Football Model

Ekstraklasa DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa

The Open Door — both score high & draws high

Personality twin: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 League One (distance 17) · polar opposite: 🏆 EFL Cup

Fast and clean 22%Cynical disruptor 15%Punished on few chances 11%Frugal finishers 11%strength -0.11σ

trait	this league
Draws	28%	p80
Both score	59%	p82
Tempo	2.76 goals/game	p54
Fortress	+17pp home	p74
Chaos	28/100	p28
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p56
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p40
Model grip	44% favourites landed (n=52)	p34

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (364 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.