Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚨馃嚤 Ekstraklasa

league draws 28% · chaos 28orderly

Slask Wroclaw (14th) v Korona Kielce (9th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 38%
X 27%
2 34%
Prediction: Slask Wroclaw to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 44%
vs performances: Slask Wroclaw -0.37 (6g) · Korona Kielce +0.13 (4g)
Squad overlay · Korona Kielce stronger by 0.16, shifted the price by up to 1.3 pts
Match preview

The model makes Slask Wroclaw the marginal call at 38%, with Korona Kielce at 34% and the draw at 27%. Korona Kielce are unbeaten in five (7 scored, 4 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch J. Yriarte 馃嚮馃嚜 for Slask Wroclaw, and Dawid B艂anik 馃嚨馃嚤 and Tamar Svetlin 馃嚫馃嚠 for Korona Kielce.

Slask Wroclaw: Wroc艂aw club, recent title challenger; Tarczy艅ski Arena (42k), big crowds. · Korona Kielce: Kielce club (the Golden Crowns), Suzuki Arena; mid-to-lower Ekstraklasa side, modest budget, relegation battler.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Slask Wroclaw (14th)

Wroc艂aw club, recent title challenger; Tarczy艅ski Arena (42k), big crowds. Predicted qualifier; strong home support.

Style Fast and clean from 2024
Squad quality 32.1 in league · 18th of 19
Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 17th | 2026 so far: 14th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
  • DA1-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
  • DH3-3 Widzew 艁贸d藕Ekstraklasa
  • LA1-2 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • DH0-0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 0,3,6,2,3
Key players Piotr Samiec-Talar 馃嚨馃嚤 60.9, Yegor Matsenko 54.8, Eniss Shabani 馃嚛馃嚜 49.3, Grzegorz Tomasiewicz 馃嚨馃嚤 43.7, Luka Marjanac 馃嚙馃嚘 43.2
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 9 路 馃嚥馃嚪 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚮馃嚜 1 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1 路 馃嚚馃嚲 1 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
71714th07-25 v Gornik Zabrze: -1.608-02 v Rak贸w Cz臋stochowa: +1.208-09 v Cracovia Krakow: -0.408-15 v Zaglebie Lubin: -2.008-22 v Widzew 艁贸d藕: +0.308-28 v Legia Warszawa: -0.009-06 v Jagiellonia: -1.8

Korona Kielce (9th)

Kielce club (the Golden Crowns), Suzuki Arena; mid-to-lower Ekstraklasa side, modest budget, relegation battler.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 52.1 in league · 9th of 19
Seasons 2023: 14th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 9th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • WA2-0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • DH1-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • WA2-1 Widzew 艁贸d藕Ekstraklasa
  • DH1-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,3,2,2,2
Key players Wiktor D艂ugosz 馃嚨馃嚤 59.9, Patrik Hellebrand 馃嚚馃嚳 59.9, Dawid B艂anik 馃嚨馃嚤 56.0, Xavier Dzieko艅ski 馃嚨馃嚤 54.7, Ariel Mos贸r 馃嚨馃嚤 52.6
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 24 路 馃嚙馃嚞 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚫馃嚠 2 路 馃嚚馃嚳 1 路 馃嚛馃嚜 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
3169th07-25 v Jagiellonia: -2.208-08 v Legia Warszawa: +0.008-15 v Widzew 艁贸d藕: +2.008-22 v Motor Lublin: +0.108-28 v Wisla Plock: +2.309-05 v Wisla Krakow: +0.0
league draws 28% · chaos 28orderly

Gornik Zabrze (3rd) v Lech Poznan (1st)🔥

1 37%
X 27%
2 37%
Prediction: Lech Poznan to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
vs performances: Gornik Zabrze +1.05 (4g) · Lech Poznan +0.53 (5g)
Squad overlay · Lech Poznan stronger by 0.17, shifted the price by up to 1.4 pts
Match preview

The model makes Lech Poznan the marginal call at 37%, with Gornik Zabrze at 37% and the draw at 27%. Gornik Zabrze have won 4 of their last five (10 scored, 6 conceded). Lech Poznan arrive on a 5-game winning run (11 scored, 4 conceded). Watch M. Khlan 馃嚭馃嚘 and O. Sow 馃嚝馃嚪 for Gornik Zabrze, and L. Palma 馃嚟馃嚦 and M. Ishak 馃嚫馃嚜 for Lech Poznan.

Gornik Zabrze: Poland's record champions (Silesia), huge fanbase; Arena Zabrze. · Lech Poznan: Pozna艅 giant, recent champions and UECL-group participant; Enea Stadion (43k), huge support.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Gornik Zabrze (3rd)

FOREIGN CORE 67%

Poland's record champions (Silesia), huge fanbase; Arena Zabrze. UCL/UECL entrant; historic power chasing a first title in decades.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 50.2 in league · 11th of 19
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 9th | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 3rd (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • WA2-1 Rak贸w Cz臋stochowaEkstraklasa
  • LH2-3 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • LA1-4 MonacoUECL
  • LH2-3 MonacoUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 4,3,5,3,1
Key players Erik Jan啪a 馃嚫馃嚠 65.8, Rafa艂 Janicki 馃嚨馃嚤 64.9, Josema 馃嚜馃嚫 54.7, Luk谩拧 Sad铆lek 馃嚚馃嚳 54.6, Maksym Khlan 馃嚭馃嚘 53.7
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 14 路 馃嚚馃嚳 4 路 馃嚝馃嚪 4 路 馃嚛馃嚜 3 路 馃嚫馃嚠 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
173rd07-25 v Slask Wroclaw: +1.608-08 v Radomiak Radom: +3.108-16 v Wisla Krakow: +1.508-30 v GKS Katowice: -1.609-03 v Rak贸w Cz臋stochowa: +2.009-06 v Cracovia Krakow: +2.0

Lech Poznan (1st)🔥

strong away

Pozna艅 giant, recent champions and UECL-group participant; Enea Stadion (43k), huge support. Predicted qualifier. Elite academy, deep squad.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 71.2 in league · 3rd of 19
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 1st | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 1st (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Rak贸w Cz臋stochowaEkstraklasa
  • WH2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
  • WA3-2 Widzew 艁贸d藕Ekstraklasa
  • DA2-2 FC ThunUEL
  • WH7-0 FC ThunUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 3,3,5,3,1
Key players Joel Pereira 馃嚨馃嚬 67.5, Luis Palma 馃嚟馃嚦 64.6, Wojciech Monka 62.3, Ali Gholizadeh 馃嚠馃嚪 60.9, Allahyar Sayyadmanesh 馃嚠馃嚪 56.0
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 18 路 馃嚫馃嚜 5 路 馃嚨馃嚬 3 路 馃嚠馃嚪 2 路 馃嚠馃嚫 1 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
1101st07-25 v Cracovia Krakow: -0.108-01 v Wieczysta Krak贸w: +2.308-09 v Piast Gliwice: +4.908-30 v Widzew 艁贸d藕: +2.509-03 v Jagiellonia: +2.009-06 v Rak贸w Cz臋stochowa: +3.5
league draws 28% · chaos 28orderly

Zaglebie Lubin (10th) v GKS Katowice (8th)

1 39%
X 27%
2 34%
Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 48%
vs performances: Zaglebie Lubin -0.37 (5g) · GKS Katowice +0.55 (5g)
Squad overlay · GKS Katowice stronger by 0.11, shifted the price by up to 0.9 pts
Match preview

The model makes Zaglebie Lubin the marginal call at 39%, with GKS Katowice at 34% and the draw at 27%. GKS Katowice have won 3 of their last five (11 scored, 7 conceded). Watch Marcel Regula and Micha艂 Nalepa 馃嚨馃嚤 for Zaglebie Lubin, and B. Nowak 馃嚨馃嚤 and E. Markovi膰 馃嚦馃嚧 for GKS Katowice.

Zaglebie Lubin: Lubin mining-town club, 1990s/2007 Polish champions; Zag艂臋bie stadium. · GKS Katowice: Silesian club (Katowice), historic cup winner back in Europe; new GKS Arena.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Zaglebie Lubin (10th)

Lubin mining-town club, 1990s/2007 Polish champions; Zag艂臋bie stadium. Solid mid-table side with a good academy, develops and sells.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 60.8 in league · 6th of 19
Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 15th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 10th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Wieczysta Krak贸wEkstraklasa
  • DH0-0 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
  • DA0-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • WH2-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • LA1-3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 4,3,0,0,2
Key players Aleks 艁awniczak 馃嚨馃嚤 63.2, Micha艂 Nalepa 馃嚨馃嚤 62.1, Mateusz Grzybek 馃嚨馃嚤 59.5, Zlatan Alomerovi膰 馃嚛馃嚜 55.1, Jasmin Buri膰 馃嚙馃嚘 55.0
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 26 路 馃嚟馃嚪 3 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚙馃嚘 2 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1 路 馃嚭馃嚘 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
11110th07-27 v Piast Gliwice: +3.208-02 v Legia Warszawa: -3.308-15 v Slask Wroclaw: +2.008-23 v Radomiak Radom: +0.208-29 v Pogon Szczecin: +0.409-07 v Wieczysta Krak贸w: +0.2

GKS Katowice (8th)

Silesian club (Katowice), historic cup winner back in Europe; new GKS Arena. UECL entrant; passionate support, resurgent.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 74.8 in league · 1st of 19
Seasons 2024: 7th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 8th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-3 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • WA3-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • WH5-0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • LA0-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • WH2-1 Hapoel Tel AvivUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 4,1,5,5,3
Key players Bartosz Wolski 馃嚨馃嚤 69.3, Bartosz Nowak 馃嚨馃嚤 68.6, Ilia Shkurin 馃嚙馃嚲 64.9, Eman Markovi膰 馃嚦馃嚧 60.8, Gabriel Kobylak 馃嚨馃嚤 56.4
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 30 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚫馃嚢 2 路 馃嚦馃嚧 2 路 馃嚜馃嚜 1 路 馃嚙馃嚲 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
4157th07-26 v Wisla Krakow: -2.708-02 v Radomiak Radom: +3.608-16 v Motor Lublin: -2.908-23 v Wisla Plock: +6.008-30 v Gornik Zabrze: +1.609-04 v Piast Gliwice: -4.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.