Draw Lab · the day's likeliest draws, scored in the open · 2026-09-12
Sandbox view: the ranking below re-scores the served draw probabilities with style-pair, club, league, season-phase and scoreline-context signals. Not frozen, not graded, not part of the track record.
score = model pD nudged by: style-pair ×2.2, club tendency ×1.6, league tendency ×2.0, early-season ×3.0 (each measured & clipped), low-scoring ×0.5, evenness ×0.35, draw-risk flag +0.08; total nudge capped at ±0.40 logit.