Daily Football Model UAE UK Thailand Canada (ET)

The model makes Aston Villa narrow favourites at 50%, with Nottingham Forest at 26% and the draw at 24%. Watch Morgan Rogers 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Ollie Watkins 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Aston Villa, and Morgan Gibbs-White 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Elliot Anderson 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 for Nottingham Forest.

Nottingham Forest: Wild 25/26: coaching churn ended with Vitor Pereira from Feb; peaked with a 5-0 away rout of Sunderland.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Bournemouth narrow favourites at 44%, with Brentford at 31% and the draw at 25%. Brentford are unbeaten in five (8 scored, 5 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Justin Kluivert 🇳🇱 and Evanilson 🇧🇷 for Bournemouth, and Igor Thiago and Mikkel Damsgaard 🇩🇰 for Brentford.

Bournemouth: Best-ever 6th in 25/26 with an 18-game unbeaten run; sold Semenyo to City mid-season and Iraola left in June; Marco Rose now in charge.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Chelsea clear favourites at 64%, with Hull City at 14% and the draw at 21%. Chelsea have won 3 of their last five (11 scored, 10 conceded). Chelsea also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Cole Palmer 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Moises Caicedo 🇪🇨 for Chelsea, and Ivor Pandur 🇭🇷 and Mohamed Belloumi 🇩🇿 for Hull City.

Hull City: Promoted; first PL season since 2016/17 under Sergej Jakirovic.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Crystal Palace clear favourites at 65%, with Ipswich at 14% and the draw at 21%. Ipswich have lost 4 of their last five (5 scored, 13 conceded). Watch Jean-Philippe Mateta 🇫🇷 and Adam Wharton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Crystal Palace, and Sam Szmodics 🇮🇪 and Jacob Greaves 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Ipswich.

Ipswich: Bounced straight back after 24/25 relegation; second promotion-return cycle in three years.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Liverpool clear favourites at 61%, with Fulham at 16% and the draw at 23%. Fulham have lost 3 straight (7 scored, 8 conceded). Watch Florian Wirtz 🇩🇪 and Mohamed Salah 🇪🇬 for Liverpool, and Alex Iwobi 🇳🇬 and Emile Smith Rowe 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Fulham.

Liverpool: Fell from 24/25 champions to 5th in 25/26 - a turbulent title defence but salvaged UCL.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Tottenham the marginal call at 38%, with Everton at 37% and the draw at 25%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Mohammed Kudus 🇬🇭 and Joao Palhinha 🇵🇹 for Tottenham, and Jordan Pickford 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Iliman Ndiaye 🇸🇳 for Everton.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 66%, with Sunderland at 14% and the draw at 21%. Sunderland have won 3 of their last five (8 scored, 5 conceded). Arsenal arrive on a 5-game winning run (9 scored, 2 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 39%). On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Arsenal the stronger. Arsenal also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Granit Xhaka 🇨🇭 and Chris Rigg 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Sunderland, and Bukayo Saka 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Viktor Gyokeres for Arsenal.

Sunderland: Promoted-season fairytale: 7th and a Europa League place under Regis Le Bris, despite that 0-5 home loss to Forest.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.