Daily Football Model

Premier League DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League

Never Over — comebacks very high & late drama very high

Personality twin: 🇹🇷 Süper Lig (distance 20) · polar opposite: 🇪🇺 Europa League

Pass-dominant 18%Under siege 15%Punished on few chances 15%Cynical disruptor 12%strength +0.80σ

trait	this league
Draws	28%	p84
Both score	55%	p71
Tempo	2.76 goals/game	p51
Fortress	+12pp home	p48
Chaos	64/100	p64
Late drama	25% of goals 76'+	p88
Comebacks	19% won from behind	p92
Model grip	58% favourites landed (n=24)	p69

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (430 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.