Daily Football Model

Premier League DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League

Never Over — comebacks very high & late drama very high

Personality twin: 🇹🇷 Süper Lig (distance 18) · polar opposite: 🇪🇺 Europa League

Pass-dominant 15%Punished on few chances 15%Patient but blunt 12%Long ball, physical 12%strength +0.89σ

trait	this league
Draws	28%	p82
Both score	56%	p66
Tempo	2.76 goals/game	p56
Fortress	+13pp home	p48
Chaos	56/100	p56
Late drama	25% of goals 76'+	p88
Comebacks	19% won from behind	p92
Model grip	57% favourites landed (n=21)	p69

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (410 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.