Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚚馃嚳 Chance Liga

league draws 24% · chaos 74lively

Bohemians 1905 (12th) v Slov谩cko (14th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 53%
X 24%
2 23%
Prediction: Bohemians 1905 to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 35%
vs performances: Bohemians 1905 +0.02 (5g) · Slov谩cko -0.68 (5g)
xG overlay · Bohemians 1905 better on chances than on results by 0.24 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes Bohemians 1905 narrow favourites at 53%, with Slov谩cko at 23% and the draw at 24%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 35%). Watch Luk谩拧 H暖lka 馃嚚馃嚳 and Ale拧 膶erm谩k 馃嚚馃嚳 for Bohemians 1905, and Marek Havl铆k 馃嚚馃嚳 and Gigli Ndefe 馃嚘馃嚧 for Slov谩cko.

Bohemians 1905: Prague cult club (the Kangaroos), fiercely loyal following; the tight, atmospheric 膸ol铆膷ek. · Slov谩cko: Uhersk茅 Hradi拧t臎 club (Moravia), a well-run modern overachiever and European qualifier; M臎stsk媒 stadion.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Bohemians 1905 (12th)

Prague cult club (the Kangaroos), fiercely loyal following; the tight, atmospheric 膸ol铆膷ek. Mid-table battlers with a distinctive identity, punching above a modest budget.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 43.5 in league · 11th of 16
Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 12th | 2025: 13th | 2026 so far: 12th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-3 Sigma OlomoucChance Liga
  • DH1-1 FK JablonecChance Liga
  • DA2-2 Slavia PrahaChance Liga
  • WA2-0 ZlinChance Liga
  • DH0-0 Hradec Kr谩lov茅Chance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 0,2,4,2,3
Key players Tom谩拧 Fr眉hwald 馃嚫馃嚢 60.8, Ale拧 膶erm谩k 馃嚚馃嚳 50.6, David Lischka 馃嚚馃嚳 49.7, Michal Reichl 馃嚚馃嚳 45.5, V谩clav Pila艡 馃嚚馃嚳 43.3
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 20 路 馃嚫馃嚢 3 路 馃嚳馃嚥 2 路 馃嚥馃嚢 1 路 馃嚙馃嚟 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
81512th07-25 v Teplice: -3.908-02 v Hradec Kr谩lov茅: -0.108-08 v Zlin: +3.508-22 v Slavia Praha: -1.009-02 v FK Jablonec: +0.309-05 v Sigma Olomouc: -4.0

Slov谩cko (14th)

Uhersk茅 Hradi拧t臎 club (Moravia), a well-run modern overachiever and European qualifier; M臎stsk媒 stadion. Punches above its budget, top-half regular.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 46.7 in league · 9th of 16
Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 14th (3 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 PardubiceChance Liga
  • DA1-1 PlzenChance Liga
  • LA1-2 Mlada BoleslavChance Liga
  • LH1-2 Sigma OlomoucChance Liga
  • LA0-1 FK JablonecChance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 1,3,3,2,0
Key players Michal Tr谩vn铆k 馃嚚馃嚳 62.5, Simon Sloncik 54.5, Marek Havl铆k 馃嚚馃嚳 53.0, Daniel Tetour 馃嚚馃嚳 48.4, Milan He膷a 馃嚚馃嚳 45.6
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 18 路 馃嚫馃嚢 5 路 馃嚥馃嚢 2 路 馃嚚馃嚳 2 路 馃嚛馃嚜 1 路 馃嚘馃嚧 1 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
121614th07-26 v Slavia Praha: -6.008-01 v Artis: -0.108-09 v FK Jablonec: -1.908-15 v Sigma Olomouc: -2.008-22 v Mlada Boleslav: -1.508-30 v Plzen: -0.409-05 v Pardubice: +0.0
league draws 24% · chaos 74lively

Zbrojovka Brno (7th) v Artis (13th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 51%
X 25%
2 25%
Prediction: Zbrojovka Brno to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 59%
vs performances: Zbrojovka Brno +0.61 (4g) · Artis -1.01 (5g)
Match preview

The model makes Zbrojovka Brno narrow favourites at 51%, with Artis at 25% and the draw at 25%. Zbrojovka Brno have won 3 of their last five (6 scored, 7 conceded). Artis have lost 4 of their last five (3 scored, 11 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 59%. Watch Kauan Carneiro Kaka 馃嚙馃嚟 for Zbrojovka Brno, and Dominik Plechat媒 馃嚚馃嚳 and David 艩imek 馃嚚馃嚳 for Artis.

Zbrojovka Brno: Historic Brno club, 1978 Czechoslovak champions with a big loyal following; Srbsk谩. · Artis: Brno club, one of two from the city alongside historic Zbrojovka; a recent arrival in the Czech top flight from a modest base.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Zbrojovka Brno (7th)

Historic Brno club, 1978 Czechoslovak champions with a big loyal following; Srbsk谩. Recently promoted, atmosphere above the level, chasing stability.

Squad quality 35.3 in league · 14th of 16
Seasons 2026 so far: 7th (13 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-4 Slavia PrahaChance Liga
  • WH1-0 Hradec Kr谩lov茅Chance Liga
  • WH3-2 ZlinChance Liga
  • WA2-0 TepliceChance Liga
  • LH0-1 Slovan LiberecChance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 1,2,5,1,4
Key players Filip Vedral 馃嚚馃嚳 56.8, Adam Hrdina 馃嚫馃嚢 51.7, Daniel Vasulin 48.9, Kauan Carneiro Kaka 馃嚙馃嚟 48.7, Amadou Dante 47.7
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 15 路 馃嚫馃嚢 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚚馃嚳 1 路 馃嚙馃嚠 1 路 馃嚥馃嚤 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
3127th07-25 v Sparta Praha: +3.408-01 v Plzen: -0.108-07 v Slovan Liberec: -2.908-23 v Teplice: +2.908-29 v Zlin: +2.009-02 v Hradec Kr谩lov茅: +2.009-05 v Slavia Praha: -5.0

Artis (13th)

Brno club, one of two from the city alongside historic Zbrojovka; a recent arrival in the Czech top flight from a modest base. Small ground and crowds, top-flight newcomer with survival the aim.

Squad quality 31.9 in league · 15th of 16
Seasons 2026 so far: 13th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-3 PlzenChance Liga
  • WA2-1 PardubiceChance Liga
  • LH0-4 Sparta PrahaChance Liga
  • LA0-1 Ban铆k OstravaChance Liga
  • LH1-2 Sigma OlomoucChance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 3,1,4,3,3
Key players Tadeas Stoppen 馃嚚馃嚳 54.0, Alexis Alegue 46.6, Quadri Adebayo Adediran 馃嚦馃嚞 45.6, Neil Glossoa 馃嚝馃嚪 43.2, Martin Pospisil 41.8
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 15 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 馃嚤馃嚪 1 路 馃嚧馃嚥 1 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚥馃嚤 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
101513th07-27 v Mlada Boleslav: -3.308-01 v Slov谩cko: +0.108-09 v Sigma Olomouc: -1.708-16 v Ban铆k Ostrava: -2.708-22 v Sparta Praha: -5.308-29 v Pardubice: +2.009-05 v Plzen: -4.0
league draws 24% · chaos 74lively

Slovan Liberec (2nd)🔥 v Mlada Boleslav (3rd)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 52%
X 25%
2 23%
Prediction: Slovan Liberec to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 51%
vs performances: Slovan Liberec +0.09 (6g) · Mlada Boleslav +1.23 (4g)
xG overlay · Slovan Liberec better on chances than on results by 0.50 goals, shifted the price by up to 2.4 pts
Match preview

The model makes Slovan Liberec narrow favourites at 52%, with Mlada Boleslav at 23% and the draw at 25%. Slovan Liberec arrive on a 3-game winning run (7 scored, 2 conceded). Mlada Boleslav are unbeaten in five (11 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Marek Icha 馃嚚馃嚳 and Raimonds Krollis 馃嚤馃嚮 for Slovan Liberec, and Michal 艩ev膷铆k 馃嚚馃嚳 and Dominik Kostka 馃嚚馃嚳 for Mlada Boleslav.

Slovan Liberec: North-Bohemia club, former champions and European regular; the compact U Nisy. · Mlada Boleslav: 艩koda-town club, cup pedigree and occasional European qualifier; Lokotrans Ar茅na.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Slovan Liberec (2nd)🔥

North-Bohemia club, former champions and European regular; the compact U Nisy. Develops and sells, mid-table with upside.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 51.9 in league · 8th of 16
Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 2nd (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-1 FK JablonecChance Liga
  • WH2-0 Hradec Kr谩lov茅Chance Liga
  • WA1-0 ZlinChance Liga
  • DH1-1 Slavia PrahaChance Liga
  • WA1-0 Zbrojovka BrnoChance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 1,2,1,2,3
Key players Tom谩拧 Koubek 馃嚚馃嚳 60.0, Aziz Kayondo 馃嚭馃嚞 59.9, Luk谩拧 H暖lka 馃嚚馃嚳 52.8, Josef Ko啪eluh 馃嚚馃嚳 49.5, Augustin Drakpe 馃嚦馃嚤 47.3
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 19 路 馃嚫馃嚢 5 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1 路 馃嚤馃嚮 1 路 馃嚭馃嚘 1 路 馃嚘馃嚬 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
172nd07-25 v Plzen: +3.708-01 v Teplice: -2.008-07 v Zbrojovka Brno: +2.908-16 v Slavia Praha: +0.408-22 v Zlin: +2.408-30 v Hradec Kr谩lov茅: +3.909-06 v FK Jablonec: +2.0

Mlada Boleslav (3rd)

draw merchants

艩koda-town club, cup pedigree and occasional European qualifier; Lokotrans Ar茅na. Corporate-backed mid-table Czech side, steady if unspectacular.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 55.7 in league · 6th of 16
Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 3rd (14 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH4-0 Ban铆k OstravaChance Liga
  • WH2-1 Slov谩ckoChance Liga
  • DA1-1 PardubiceChance Liga
  • WH2-0 Sparta PrahaChance Liga
  • DA2-2 Sigma OlomoucChance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 4,2,2,3,4
Key players Ondrej Karafiat 59.2, Solomon John 馃嚦馃嚞 56.6, Martin 艩ubert 馃嚚馃嚳 54.8, David Kozel 馃嚚馃嚳 50.3, Denis Don谩t 馃嚚馃嚳 49.7
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 26 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 馃嚚馃嚳 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1
Season pulse season 2026
153rd07-27 v Artis: +3.308-02 v Sigma Olomouc: -0.708-08 v Sparta Praha: +3.408-15 v Pardubice: +0.008-22 v Slov谩cko: +1.509-06 v Ban铆k Ostrava: +5.0
league draws 24% · chaos 74lively

Sparta Praha (10th) v FK Jablonec (5th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 55%
X 24%
2 20%
Prediction: Sparta Praha to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 56%
vs performances: Sparta Praha -0.43 (6g) · FK Jablonec +0.73 (6g)
xG overlay · FK Jablonec better on chances than on results by 0.26 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.2 pts
Match preview

The model makes Sparta Praha clear favourites at 55%, with FK Jablonec at 20% and the draw at 24%. Watch Jan Kuchta 馃嚚馃嚳 and Luk谩拧 Harasl铆n 馃嚫馃嚢 for Sparta Praha, and Lamin Jawo 馃嚞馃嚥 and Nemanja Tekija拧ki 馃嚪馃嚫 for FK Jablonec.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sparta Praha (10th)

strong at homeFOREIGN CORE 66%

Prague. Czech giant, record champions and 2025/26 runners-up (UCL route); Letn谩 (epet Arena), huge fanbase. Deepest squad in Czechia.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 57.9 in league · 3rd of 16
Seasons 2023: 1st | 2024: 5th | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 10th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Hradec Kr谩lov茅Chance Liga
  • LH0-3 Slavia PrahaChance Liga
  • WA4-0 ArtisChance Liga
  • WH4-1 TepliceChance Liga
  • LA0-3 LyonUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 2,5,4,3,3
Key players Roman Macek 馃嚚馃嚳 61.4, Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal 馃嚦馃嚧 59.4, Adam Karabec 馃嚚馃嚳 56.7, Lo茂c Mbe Soh 馃嚝馃嚪 54.1, Andy Irving 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 54.1
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 16 路 馃嚛馃嚢 4 路 馃嚫馃嚢 3 路 馃嚦馃嚧 3 路 馃嚘馃嚤 2 路 馃嚜馃嚚 2 路 +14 more
Season pulse season 2026
41610th07-25 v Zbrojovka Brno: -3.407-31 v Zlin: +3.608-08 v Mlada Boleslav: -3.408-15 v Teplice: +4.008-22 v Artis: +5.308-30 v Slavia Praha: -3.809-06 v Hradec Kr谩lov茅: -2.0

FK Jablonec (5th)

Jablonec nad Nisou. North-Bohemia club, cup pedigree and European regular; St艡elnice in a hilly setting. Well-run mid-to-upper side, develops and sells.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 57.0 in league · 4th of 16
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 4th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 5th (13 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-0 Ban铆k OstravaChance Liga
  • LH1-2 Slovan LiberecChance Liga
  • DA1-1 Bohemians 1905Chance Liga
  • LA0-2 TepliceChance Liga
  • WH1-0 RangersUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 1,2,2,3,3
Key players Jan Suchan 馃嚚馃嚳 62.7, Nemanja Tekija拧ki 馃嚪馃嚫 57.0, Filip Nov谩k 馃嚚馃嚳 52.9, Sebastian Nebyla 馃嚫馃嚢 50.6, Martin Cedidla 馃嚚馃嚳 49.1
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 16 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚫馃嚠 2 路 馃嚫馃嚢 2 路 馃嚭馃嚘 2 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
275th07-26 v Sigma Olomouc: +2.608-02 v Pardubice: +2.008-09 v Slov谩cko: +1.908-30 v Teplice: -2.909-02 v Bohemians 1905: -0.309-06 v Slovan Liberec: -2.009-09 v Ban铆k Ostrava: +5.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.