Daily Football Model

Chance Liga DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇨🇿 Chance Liga

The Early Settler — late drama very low & fortress low

Personality twin: 🇸🇪 Allsvenskan (distance 17) · polar opposite: 🇮🇸 Besta deild

Pass-dominant 24%Cynical disruptor 18%Direct and dangerous 18%Long ball, physical 12%strength -0.22σ

trait	this league
Draws	24%	p28
Both score	51%	p26
Tempo	2.68 goals/game	p43
Fortress	+9pp home	p21
Chaos	74/100	p74
Late drama	20% of goals 76'+	p0
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p42
Model grip	55% favourites landed (n=29)	p64

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (334 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.