Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚙馃嚞 Parva Liga

league draws 27% · chaos 46lively

Slavia Sofia (6th) v Spartak Varna (8th)

1 52%
X 25%
2 23%
Prediction: Slavia Sofia to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 45%
Match preview

The model makes Slavia Sofia narrow favourites at 52%, with Spartak Varna at 23% and the draw at 25%. Watch Ivan Minchev 馃嚙馃嚞 and Yanis Guermouche 馃嚛馃嚳 for Slavia Sofia, and Xandy and Georg Stojanovski 馃嚥馃嚢 for Spartak Varna.

Slavia Sofia: Historic Sofia club, one of the oldest with a loyal following; the redeveloped Slavia stadium. · Spartak Varna: Black Sea club (Varna), a historic name revived; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Slavia Sofia (6th)

Historic Sofia club, one of the oldest with a loyal following; the redeveloped Slavia stadium. Cup pedigree, mid-table.

Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 6th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 Dunav RuseParva Liga
  • LH1-2 Levski SofiaParva Liga
  • DH1-1 Septemvri SofiaParva Liga
  • DA1-1 LudogoretsParva Liga
  • WA3-0 Botev VratsaParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYN match totals 3,2,2,3,1
Key players Levi Ntumba 馃嚝馃嚪 49.4, Nikola Savi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 39.6, Yanis Guermouche 馃嚛馃嚳 38.8, Ivan Minchev 馃嚙馃嚞 38.6, Iliyan Stefanov 馃嚙馃嚞 34.3
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 18 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚙馃嚲 1 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
6126th07-20 v CSKA Sofia: +0.007-24 v Arda Kardzhali: -2.007-31 v Lokomotiv Sofia: +0.008-10 v Botev Vratsa: +4.008-22 v Ludogorets: +0.008-28 v Septemvri Sofia: +0.009-02 v Levski Sofia: -2.009-07 v Dunav Ruse: +2.0

Spartak Varna (8th)

Black Sea club (Varna), a historic name revived; small ground. Yo-yo, survival-level.

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 39.4 in league · 2nd of 2
Seasons 2024: 7th | 2025: 13th | 2026 so far: 8th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 CSKA SofiaParva Liga
  • DH1-1 LudogoretsParva Liga
  • LA0-6 Levski SofiaParva Liga
  • LH0-1 Septemvri SofiaParva Liga
  • LA2-3 Botev PlovdivParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNN match totals 5,1,6,2,2
Key players Tom谩s Silva 馃嚨馃嚬 41.7, Vasco Oliveira 馃嚨馃嚬 39.4, Angel Granchov 馃嚙馃嚞 37.5, Xandy 34.5, Maksym Kovalov 33.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 17 路 馃嚟馃嚪 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚭馃嚘 1 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
2128th07-17 v CSKA 1948: +0.007-26 v Cherno More Varna: +4.008-03 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: +2.008-10 v Botev Plovdiv: -2.008-17 v Septemvri Sofia: -2.008-22 v Levski Sofia: -6.008-30 v Ludogorets: +0.009-05 v CSKA Sofia: +0.0
league draws 27% · chaos 46lively

Botev Vratsa (10th) v Levski Sofia (1st)🔥

1 11%
X 22%
2 67%
Prediction: Levski Sofia to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 41%
Match preview

The model makes Levski Sofia clear favourites at 67%, with Botev Vratsa at 11% and the draw at 22%. Levski Sofia arrive on a 5-game winning run (14 scored, 2 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 41%). Watch Martin Petkov 馃嚙馃嚞 and Milen Stoev 馃嚙馃嚞 for Botev Vratsa, and Everton Bala 馃嚙馃嚪 and Mazire Soula 馃嚝馃嚪 for Levski Sofia.

Botev Vratsa: North-western club (Vratsa), a modest top-flight fixture; small ground. · Levski Sofia: Sofia giant, 2025/26 champions (first title since 2009, ending Ludogorets' grip); Georgi Asparuhov, massive fanbase.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Botev Vratsa (10th)

North-western club (Vratsa), a modest top-flight fixture; small ground. Mid-to-lower, survival-focused.

Seasons 2023: 14th | 2024: 14th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 10th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 Septemvri SofiaParva Liga
  • LA0-2 Arda KardzhaliParva Liga
  • WH1-0 Botev PlovdivParva Liga
  • LA0-5 CSKA SofiaParva Liga
  • LH0-3 Slavia SofiaParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 3,5,1,2,5
Key players Marin Orlinov 馃嚙馃嚞 42.0, Radoslav Tsonev 馃嚙馃嚞 40.2, Martin Petkov 馃嚙馃嚞 37.4, Ivan Goranov 馃嚙馃嚞 36.1, Jos茅 Gallegos 馃嚭馃嚫 33.2
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 22 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 馃嚨馃嚘 1 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
41410th07-19 v Cherno More Varna: +0.007-25 v CSKA 1948: -2.008-02 v Ludogorets: -2.008-10 v Slavia Sofia: -4.008-16 v CSKA Sofia: -6.008-24 v Botev Plovdiv: +2.008-31 v Arda Kardzhali: -3.009-04 v Septemvri Sofia: +2.0

Levski Sofia (1st)🔥

strong awayFOREIGN CORE 72%

Sofia giant, 2025/26 champions (first title since 2009, ending Ludogorets' grip); Georgi Asparuhov, massive fanbase. Title storyline of the season.

Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 1st (24 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 CSKA 1948Parva Liga
  • WA2-1 Slavia SofiaParva Liga
  • WA3-1 Botev PlovdivParva Liga
  • LA0-4 AEK Athens FCUCL
  • WH6-0 Spartak VarnaParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,6,4,3,1
Key players Everton Bala 馃嚙馃嚪 54.7, Kristian Dimitrov 馃嚙馃嚞 46.4, Maicon Araujo dos Santos 43.8, Aldair 馃嚨馃嚬 43.3, Akram Bouras 馃嚛馃嚳 40.4
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 7 路 馃嚙馃嚪 5 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚟馃嚪 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
141st07-17 v Dunav Ruse: +2.007-25 v Lokomotiv Sofia: +2.008-01 v Septemvri Sofia: +4.008-07 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: +3.008-22 v Spartak Varna: +6.008-30 v Botev Plovdiv: +3.009-02 v Slavia Sofia: +2.009-05 v CSKA 1948: +2.0
league draws 27% · chaos 46lively

Botev Plovdiv (7th) v Lokomotiv Plovdiv (11th)

1 49%
X 26%
2 25%
Prediction: Botev Plovdiv to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 40%
Match preview

The model makes Botev Plovdiv narrow favourites at 49%, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 25% and the draw at 26%. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 4 of their last five (2 scored, 7 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 40%). Watch Nikolay Minkov 馃嚙馃嚞 and Franklin Mascote 馃嚙馃嚪 for Botev Plovdiv, and Julien Lamy 馃嚝馃嚪 and Adri谩n Cova 馃嚮馃嚜 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Botev Plovdiv: Historic Plovdiv club, cup pedigree and a fierce Lokomotiv derby; Hristo Botev Stadium. · Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Plovdiv railway club, cup winners with a loyal following; the modern Lokomotiv stadium and a fierce Botev derby.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Botev Plovdiv (7th)

Historic Plovdiv club, cup pedigree and a fierce Lokomotiv derby; Hristo Botev Stadium. Passionate support, mid-to-upper.

Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 7th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 Arda KardzhaliParva Liga
  • LH1-3 Levski SofiaParva Liga
  • LA0-1 Botev VratsaParva Liga
  • LA0-2 LudogoretsParva Liga
  • WH3-2 Spartak VarnaParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 5,2,1,4,5
Key players Nikola Soldo 馃嚟馃嚪 46.3, Todor Nedelev 馃嚙馃嚞 41.2, Franklin Mascote 馃嚙馃嚪 39.6, Daniel Naumov 馃嚙馃嚞 38.7, Lucas Araujo 36.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 13 路 馃嚙馃嚪 6 路 馃嚦馃嚞 3 路 馃嚞馃嚪 1 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
4107th07-21 v Lokomotiv Sofia: +0.007-27 v CSKA Sofia: -2.008-01 v Cherno More Varna: +2.008-10 v Spartak Varna: +2.008-15 v Ludogorets: -3.008-24 v Botev Vratsa: -2.008-30 v Levski Sofia: -3.009-04 v Arda Kardzhali: +2.0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv (11th)

Plovdiv railway club, cup winners with a loyal following; the modern Lokomotiv stadium and a fierce Botev derby. Mid-to-upper, European push.

Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 11th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Cherno More VarnaParva Liga
  • LA0-2 CSKA 1948Parva Liga
  • LH0-1 Arda KardzhaliParva Liga
  • LH1-2 Dunav RuseParva Liga
  • LA0-2 Levski SofiaParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,3,1,2,1
Key players Lucas Ryan 馃嚙馃嚪 38.4, Parvizdzhon Umarbaev 38.2, Todor Pavlov 馃嚙馃嚞 33.9, Ivaylo Ivanov 馃嚙馃嚞 33.9, Adri谩n Cova 馃嚮馃嚜 31.3
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 13 路 馃嚘馃嚪 2 路 馃嚪馃嚧 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚮馃嚜 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
61411th07-18 v Ludogorets: -2.007-26 v Septemvri Sofia: +2.008-03 v Spartak Varna: -2.008-07 v Levski Sofia: -3.008-16 v Dunav Ruse: -2.008-24 v Arda Kardzhali: -2.008-28 v CSKA 1948: -3.009-06 v Cherno More Varna: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.