Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 2 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

← all leagues

馃嚙馃嚞 Parva Liga

league draws 27% · chaos 46lively

CSKA 1948 (4th) v Dunav Ruse (12th)

1 76%
X 19%
2 5%
Prediction: CSKA 1948 to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 54%
Match preview

The model makes CSKA 1948 clear favourites at 76%, with Dunav Ruse at 5% and the draw at 19%. CSKA 1948 have won 3 of their last five (9 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Mamadou Diallo 馃嚛馃嚜 and Brian Sobrero 馃嚘馃嚪 for CSKA 1948.

CSKA 1948: Breakaway Sofia club (distinct from CSKA Sofia), a rapid modern rise into Europe; small ground. · Dunav Ruse: Danube club (Ruse), a modest top-flight side; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

CSKA 1948 (4th)

FOREIGN CORE 72%

Breakaway Sofia club (distinct from CSKA Sofia), a rapid modern rise into Europe; small ground. Ambitious upstart.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 4th (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 Levski SofiaParva Liga
  • WH2-0 Lokomotiv PlovdivParva Liga
  • LA0-1 Septemvri SofiaParva Liga
  • WH4-1 Cherno More VarnaParva Liga
  • LH1-2 PanathinaikosUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 4,5,1,2,1
Key players Lasha Dvali 馃嚞馃嚜 46.9, Mamadou Diallo 馃嚛馃嚜 42.9, Brian Sobrero 馃嚘馃嚪 39.8, Florian Krebs 馃嚛馃嚜 36.6, Elias Franco 馃嚙馃嚪 32.7
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 9 路 馃嚛馃嚜 3 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚙馃嚧 2 路 馃嚥馃嚜 2 路 +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
164th07-17 v Spartak Varna: +0.007-25 v Botev Vratsa: +2.007-31 v Arda Kardzhali: +2.008-08 v Lokomotiv Sofia: +3.008-14 v Cherno More Varna: +4.008-23 v Septemvri Sofia: -2.008-28 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: +3.009-05 v Levski Sofia: -2.0

Dunav Ruse (12th)

Danube club (Ruse), a modest top-flight side; small ground. Yo-yo, survival-level.

Seasons 2026 so far: 12th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-1 Slavia SofiaParva Liga
  • DH2-2 Lokomotiv SofiaParva Liga
  • LA1-3 Cherno More VarnaParva Liga
  • WA2-1 Lokomotiv PlovdivParva Liga
  • LH0-2 Arda KardzhaliParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,3,4,4,1
Season pulse season 2026
101412th07-17 v Levski Sofia: -2.007-27 v Ludogorets: -3.008-02 v CSKA Sofia: -2.008-08 v Arda Kardzhali: -3.008-16 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: +2.008-21 v Cherno More Varna: -3.008-31 v Lokomotiv Sofia: +0.009-07 v Slavia Sofia: -2.0
league draws 27% · chaos 46lively

CSKA Sofia (3rd)🔥 v Arda Kardzhali (5th)

1 56%
X 25%
2 19%
Prediction: CSKA Sofia to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 37%
Match preview

The model makes CSKA Sofia clear favourites at 56%, with Arda Kardzhali at 19% and the draw at 25%. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in five (14 scored, 3 conceded). Arda Kardzhali have won 4 of their last five (10 scored, 4 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 37%). Watch Ioannis Pittas 馃嚚馃嚲 for CSKA Sofia, and Birsent Karagaren 馃嚙馃嚞 and Lachezar Kotev 馃嚙馃嚞 for Arda Kardzhali.

CSKA Sofia: Bulgaria's record champions (army club), huge fanbase; Balgarska Armia. · Arda Kardzhali: Small-town Arda (Kardzhali), a modern Bulgarian riser into Europe; Arena Arda.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

CSKA Sofia (3rd)🔥

strong at homeFOREIGN CORE 75%

Bulgaria's record champions (army club), huge fanbase; Balgarska Armia. 2025/26 cup winners, fierce Levski rivalry, in a rebuild.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 3rd (17 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Spartak VarnaParva Liga
  • WH3-1 Cherno More VarnaParva Liga
  • LH0-2 OFIUEL
  • LA0-3 OFIUEL
  • WH5-0 Botev VratsaParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 3,3,5,4,2
Key players James Eto'o 馃嚚馃嚥 46.7, Fedor Lapoukhov 馃嚙馃嚲 39.9, 脕ngelo Martino 馃嚘馃嚪 39.4, Pastor 馃嚙馃嚪 39.1, Bruno Jord茫o 馃嚨馃嚬 38.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 8 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚱馃嚢 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚙馃嚲 2 路 馃嚘馃嚪 2 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
283rd07-20 v Slavia Sofia: +0.007-27 v Botev Plovdiv: +2.008-02 v Dunav Ruse: +2.008-09 v Septemvri Sofia: +4.008-16 v Botev Vratsa: +6.008-30 v Cherno More Varna: +3.009-05 v Spartak Varna: +0.0

Arda Kardzhali (5th)

Small-town Arda (Kardzhali), a modern Bulgarian riser into Europe; Arena Arda. Overachieving provincial side.

Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 5th (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-3 Botev PlovdivParva Liga
  • WH2-0 Botev VratsaParva Liga
  • WA1-0 Lokomotiv PlovdivParva Liga
  • WH3-1 Lokomotiv SofiaParva Liga
  • WA2-0 Dunav RuseParva Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 2,4,1,2,5
Key players Anatoli Gospodinov 馃嚙馃嚞 44.4, F茅lix Eboa Eboa 馃嚚馃嚥 43.8, Birsent Karagaren 馃嚙馃嚞 38.7, Lachezar Kotev 馃嚙馃嚞 38.1, Vyacheslav Velev 馃嚭馃嚘 37.1
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚞 14 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 馃嚭馃嚘 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚘馃嚳 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
165th07-18 v Septemvri Sofia: +0.007-24 v Slavia Sofia: +2.007-31 v CSKA 1948: -2.008-08 v Dunav Ruse: +3.008-17 v Lokomotiv Sofia: +3.008-24 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: +2.008-31 v Botev Vratsa: +3.009-04 v Botev Plovdiv: -2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.