Daily Football Model

Parva Liga DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇧🇬 Parva Liga

First Blood Wins — comebacks very low & model grip very high

Personality twin: Africa Cup of Nations (distance 11) · polar opposite: 🇮🇸 Besta deild

Punished on few chances 27%Frugal finishers 18%Under siege 18%Direct and dangerous 9%strength -0.45σ

trait	this league
Draws	28%	p81
Both score	46%	p17
Tempo	2.36 goals/game	p10
Fortress	+13pp home	p55
Chaos	49/100	p49
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p62
Comebacks	12% won from behind	p4
Model grip	69% favourites landed (n=36)	p95

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (362 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.