Daily Football Model

Parva Liga DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇧🇬 Parva Liga

First Blood Wins — comebacks very low & both score very low

Personality twin: 🇬🇷 Super League Greece (distance 16) · polar opposite: 🇮🇸 Besta deild

Punished on few chances 27%Cynical disruptor 18%Under siege 18%Direct and dangerous 9%strength -0.49σ

trait	this league
Draws	27%	p72
Both score	45%	p5
Tempo	2.36 goals/game	p7
Fortress	+14pp home	p57
Chaos	46/100	p46
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p62
Comebacks	12% won from behind	p4
Model grip	69% favourites landed (n=32)	p91

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (348 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.