Daily Football Model UAE UK Thailand Canada (ET)

The model makes France clear favourites at 72%, with Italy at 9% and the draw at 19%. France have won 3 of their last five (8 scored, 8 conceded). Italy have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Randal Kolo Muani and Lucas Digne for France, and Sandro Tonali and Federico Dimarco for Italy.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Belgium clear favourites at 58%, with Türkiye at 18% and the draw at 24%. Türkiye have lost 4 of their last five (4 scored, 10 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 69%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Loïs Openda and Leandro Trossard for Belgium, and Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Arda Güler for Türkiye.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Hungary clear favourites at 59%, with Georgia at 17% and the draw at 24%. Watch Dominik Szoboszlai and Zsolt Nagy for Hungary, and Georges Mikautadze and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia for Georgia.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Ukraine clear favourites at 62%, with Northern Ireland at 15% and the draw at 23%. Ukraine have won 3 of their last five (5 scored, 2 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 38%). Watch Georgiy Sudakov and Illia Zabarnyi for Ukraine, and Isaac Price and Shea Charles for Northern Ireland.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Poland clear favourites at 65%, with Romania at 13% and the draw at 22%. Watch Piotr Zieliński and Nicola Zalewski for Poland, and Răzvan Marin and Valentin Mihăilă for Romania.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Sweden the marginal call at 39%, with Bosnia & Herzegovina at 34% and the draw at 27%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Edin Džeko and Ermedin Demirović for Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Viktor Gyökeres and Dejan Kulusevski for Sweden.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Slovakia clear favourites at 58%, with Faroe Islands at 18% and the draw at 24%. Slovakia are unbeaten in five (10 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Viljormur Davidsen and Hanus Sørensen for Faroe Islands, and David Strelec and Dávid Hancko for Slovakia.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.