Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇹🇷 TFF 1. Lig

league draws 26% · chaos 36orderly

Boluspor (20th) v Pendikspor (12th)

1 24%
X 24%
2 51%
Prediction: Pendikspor to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 50%
Squad overlay · Pendikspor stronger by 0.26, shifted the price by up to 6.0 pts
Match preview

The model makes Pendikspor narrow favourites at 51%, with Boluspor at 24% and the draw at 24%. Boluspor have lost 5 straight (0 scored, 15 conceded). Watch Doğan Can Davas 🇹🇷 and Lucas Lima 🇧🇷 for Boluspor, and Mallik Wilks 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Đorđe Denić 🇷🇸 for Pendikspor.

Boluspor: North-western club (Bolu), historic second-tier fixture; modest ground, loyal support, promotion-minded. · Pendikspor: Istanbul club (Pendik), small ground; recently in the Süper Lig, yo-yo profile, modest budget.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Boluspor (20th)

North-western club (Bolu), historic second-tier fixture; modest ground, loyal support, promotion-minded.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 26.5 in league · 19th of 20
Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 15th | 2026 so far: 20th (0 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-6 BandırmasporTFF 1. Lig
  • LH0-2 KeçiörengücüTFF 1. Lig
  • LA0-2 MuğlasporTFF 1. Lig
  • LH0-3 Mardin 1969TFF 1. Lig
  • LA0-2 Batman PetrolsporTFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 2,3,2,2,6
Key players Mário Balbúrdia 🇦🇴 46.8, Kevin Cuesta 🇨🇴 42.6, Turker Dirdiroglu 39.4, Muhammed Mert 37.9, Gökhan Akkan 🇹🇷 36.0
Nationalities 🇹🇷 24 · 🇹🇷 2 · 🇫🇷 1 · 🇽🇰 1 · 🇦🇴 1 · 🇳🇬 1 · +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
142020th08-07 v Manisa F.K.: -2.008-17 v Batman Petrolspor: -3.008-23 v Mardin 1969: -4.008-28 v Muğlaspor: -3.009-01 v Keçiörengücü: -3.009-05 v Bandırmaspor: -6.0

Pendikspor (12th)

Istanbul club (Pendik), small ground; recently in the Süper Lig, yo-yo profile, modest budget.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 51.6 in league · 12th of 20
Seasons 2024: 17th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 12th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 ÜmraniyesporTFF 1. Lig
  • LA0-2 SarıyerTFF 1. Lig
  • DH1-1 BandırmasporTFF 1. Lig
  • WA3-2 AntalyasporTFF 1. Lig
  • LA1-4 KeçiörengücüTFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 5,5,2,2,1
Key players Bekir Karadeniz 🇹🇷 57.3, Mesut Özdemir 🇹🇷 54.9, Samuel Abifade 48.9, Utku Yuvakuran 🇹🇷 43.8, Nuno Sequeira 🇵🇹 43.6
Nationalities 🇹🇷 17 · 🇷🇸 1 · 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1 · 🇯🇲 1 · 🇵🇹 1 · 🇬🇷 1 · +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
91712th08-10 v Batman Petrolspor: +0.008-16 v Keçiörengücü: -4.008-22 v Antalyaspor: +2.008-28 v Bandırmaspor: +0.009-01 v Sarıyer: -3.009-05 v Ümraniyespor: +2.0
league draws 26% · chaos 36orderly

Vanspor FK (15th) v Keçiörengücü (6th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 26%
X 24%
2 50%
Prediction: Keçiörengücü to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 54%
Squad overlay · Keçiörengücü stronger by 0.05, shifted the price by up to 1.2 pts
Match preview

The model makes Keçiörengücü narrow favourites at 50%, with Vanspor FK at 26% and the draw at 24%. Keçiörengücü are unbeaten in five (12 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Iván Cédric 🇪🇸 and Jefferson Junior 🇳🇬 for Vanspor FK, and Francis Ezeh 🇳🇬 and Mame Biram Diouf 🇸🇳 for Keçiörengücü.

Vanspor FK: Far-eastern club (Van), remote high-altitude setting and extreme away travel for visitors; a second-tier side, minnow profile with a genuine travel quirk. · Keçiörengücü: Ankara club, small ground; established second-tier side, mid-table, modest budget.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Vanspor FK (15th)

Far-eastern club (Van), remote high-altitude setting and extreme away travel for visitors; a second-tier side, minnow profile with a genuine travel quirk.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 51.6 in league · 11th of 20
Seasons 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 15th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 MuğlasporTFF 1. Lig
  • LH0-2 Batman PetrolsporTFF 1. Lig
  • DA1-1 Mardin 1969TFF 1. Lig
  • WH3-2 İstanbulsporTFF 1. Lig
  • LA1-4 Manisa F.K.TFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 5,5,2,2,4
Key players Sinan Osmanoğlu 🇹🇷 53.0, Hikmet Çiftçi 🇹🇷 50.3, Can Kara Bekir 47.3, Ensar Çavuşoğlu 46.2, Jurgen Bardhi 🇦🇱 45.8
Nationalities 🇹🇷 19 · 🇪🇸 3 · 🇧🇷 2 · 🇹🇷 2 · 🇫🇷 1 · 🇬🇷 1 · +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
122015th08-09 v Kayserispor: -3.008-15 v Manisa F.K.: -4.008-23 v İstanbulspor: +2.008-29 v Mardin 1969: +0.009-02 v Batman Petrolspor: -3.009-06 v Muğlaspor: +0.0

Keçiörengücü (6th)

Ankara club, small ground; established second-tier side, mid-table, modest budget.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 55.9 in league · 8th of 20
Seasons 2023: 13th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 6th (11 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-0 SarıyerTFF 1. Lig
  • WA2-0 BolusporTFF 1. Lig
  • DH2-2 ÜmraniyesporTFF 1. Lig
  • DA1-1 BandırmasporTFF 1. Lig
  • WH4-1 PendiksporTFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNY match totals 5,2,4,2,3
Key players Mame Biram Diouf 🇸🇳 65.3, İbrahim Akdağ 🇹🇷 62.8, Jefferson Junior 🇳🇬 48.3, Süleyman Luş 🇹🇷 48.1, Odise Roshi 🇦🇱 47.9
Nationalities 🇹🇷 16 · 🇦🇱 2 · 🇹🇷 2 · 🇲🇿 1 · 🇨🇱 1 · 🇦🇹 1 · +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
3196th08-08 v Antalyaspor: -2.008-16 v Pendikspor: +4.008-23 v Bandırmaspor: +0.008-28 v Ümraniyespor: +0.009-01 v Boluspor: +3.009-05 v Sarıyer: +4.0
league draws 26% · chaos 36orderly

Bodrum FK (16th) v Batman Petrolspor (1st)🔥

1 49%
X 26%
2 25%
Prediction: Bodrum FK to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 53%
Squad overlay · Batman Petrolspor stronger by 0.05, shifted the price by up to 1.4 pts
Match preview

The model makes Bodrum FK narrow favourites at 49%, with Batman Petrolspor at 25% and the draw at 26%. Batman Petrolspor arrive on a 5-game winning run (12 scored, 5 conceded). Watch Taulant Seferi 🇦🇱 and Ali Habesoglu for Bodrum FK, and Dória 🇧🇷 for Batman Petrolspor.

Bodrum FK: Aegean resort club (Bodrum), a rapid modern riser; small ground, hot coastal setting. · Batman Petrolspor: South-eastern club (Batman), remote setting and long away travel for visitors; a second-tier newcomer, minnow profile.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Bodrum FK (16th)

Aegean resort club (Bodrum), a rapid modern riser; small ground, hot coastal setting. Recently in the Süper Lig, ambitious, yo-yo profile.

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 52.4 in league · 10th of 20
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 16th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 Mardin 1969TFF 1. Lig
  • DH0-0 Esenler EroksporTFF 1. Lig
  • DA0-0 Manisa F.K.TFF 1. Lig
  • DH0-0 MuğlasporTFF 1. Lig
  • DA2-2 İstanbulsporTFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 4,0,0,0,1
Key players Diogo Sousa 🇵🇹 59.2, Pedro Brazão 🇵🇹 54.1, Arlind Ajeti 🇦🇱 50.4, Ali Aytemur 🇹🇷 49.0, Ismail Tarim 48.4
Nationalities 🇹🇷 16 · 🇦🇱 3 · 🇵🇹 2 · 🇹🇷 2 · 🇧🇬 1 · 🇦🇴 1 · +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
141716th08-09 v Bursaspor: -3.008-15 v İstanbulspor: +0.008-22 v Muğlaspor: +0.008-30 v Manisa F.K.: +0.009-03 v Esenler Erokspor: +0.009-07 v Mardin 1969: -2.0

Batman Petrolspor (1st)🔥

South-eastern club (Batman), remote setting and long away travel for visitors; a second-tier newcomer, minnow profile.

Squad quality 57.6 in league · 6th of 20
Seasons 2026 so far: 1st (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH4-3 Fatih KaragümrükTFF 1. Lig
  • WA2-0 Vanspor FKTFF 1. Lig
  • WH2-1 SivassporTFF 1. Lig
  • WA2-1 SarıyerTFF 1. Lig
  • WH2-0 BolusporTFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 2,3,3,2,7
Key players Çağlar Şahin Akbaba 🇹🇷 58.6, Polat Yaldır 🇹🇷 53.3, Metehan Mert 51.4, Omar Imeri 🇦🇱 51.1, Jo Jin-ho 🇰🇷 50.9
Season pulse season 2026
1121st08-10 v Pendikspor: +0.008-17 v Boluspor: +3.008-23 v Sarıyer: +2.008-29 v Sivasspor: +2.009-02 v Vanspor FK: +3.009-06 v Fatih Karagümrük: +2.0
league draws 26% · chaos 36orderly

Ümraniyespor (18th) v Antalyaspor (14th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 48%
X 26%
2 26%
Prediction: Ümraniyespor to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
Squad overlay · Ümraniyespor stronger by 0.05, shifted the price by up to 1.2 pts
Match preview

The model makes Ümraniyespor narrow favourites at 48%, with Antalyaspor at 26% and the draw at 26%. Antalyaspor have lost 4 of their last five (5 scored, 9 conceded). Watch Batuhan Çelik 🇹🇷 and Bernardo Sousa for Ümraniyespor.

Ümraniyespor: Istanbul club (Ümraniye), small ground; recently in the Süper Lig, yo-yo profile, modest budget. · Antalyaspor: Mediterranean club (Antalya), hot coastal venue; a long-running Süper Lig side of recent vintage now in the second tier, foreign-flavoured, promotion the aim.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Ümraniyespor (18th)

Istanbul club (Ümraniye), small ground; recently in the Süper Lig, yo-yo profile, modest budget.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 49.9 in league · 15th of 20
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 16th | 2026 so far: 18th (3 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 PendiksporTFF 1. Lig
  • LH0-1 MuğlasporTFF 1. Lig
  • DA2-2 KeçiörengücüTFF 1. Lig
  • DH1-1 Esenler EroksporTFF 1. Lig
  • LA1-2 Fatih KaragümrükTFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNN match totals 3,2,4,1,1
Key players Cihan Topaloğlu 🇹🇷 55.8, Tomislav Glumac 🇭🇷 49.4, Santeri Hostikka 🇫🇮 46.9, Batuhan Çelik 🇹🇷 44.8, Engjell Hoti 🇽🇰 43.7
Nationalities 🇹🇷 17 · 🇹🇷 3 · 🇦🇱 1 · 🇧🇯 1 · 🇭🇷 1 · 🇧🇦 1 · +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
71818th08-08 v Mardin 1969: +0.008-15 v Fatih Karagümrük: -2.008-22 v Esenler Erokspor: +0.008-28 v Keçiörengücü: +0.009-01 v Muğlaspor: -2.009-05 v Pendikspor: -2.0

Antalyaspor (14th)

Mediterranean club (Antalya), hot coastal venue; a long-running Süper Lig side of recent vintage now in the second tier, foreign-flavoured, promotion the aim.

Squad quality 45.5 in league · 17th of 20
Seasons 2026 so far: 14th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-2 SivassporTFF 1. Lig
  • WA1-0 BandırmasporTFF 1. Lig
  • LH1-2 SarıyerTFF 1. Lig
  • LH2-3 PendiksporTFF 1. Lig
  • LA0-2 Mardin 1969TFF 1. Lig
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 2,5,3,1,3
Key players Ramzi Safouri 🇮🇱 57.0, Pedrinho 51.0, Ensar Bugra Tivsiz 45.5, Mert Yilmaz 45.1, Bünyamin Balcı 🇹🇷 42.7
Nationalities 🇹🇷 19 · 🇹🇷 5 · 🇷🇺 1 · 🇧🇪 1 · 🇸🇷 1 · 🇳🇱 1 · +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
21714th08-08 v Keçiörengücü: +2.008-16 v Mardin 1969: -3.008-22 v Pendikspor: -2.008-28 v Sarıyer: -2.009-01 v Bandırmaspor: +2.009-06 v Sivasspor: -2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.