Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

← all leagues

馃嚚馃嚟 Swiss Super League

league draws 24% · chaos 90volatile

FC Zurich (8th) v FC Vaduz (9th)

1 39%
X 26%
2 34%
Prediction: FC Zurich to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 73%
vs performances: FC Zurich +0.05 (5g) · FC Vaduz -0.38 (5g)
Squad overlay · FC Vaduz stronger by 0.13, shifted the price by up to 0.8 pts
Match preview

The model makes FC Zurich the marginal call at 39%, with FC Vaduz at 34% and the draw at 26%. Both teams to score looks likely at 72%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 73%. Watch S. Zuber 馃嚚馃嚟 and P. Keny 馃嚫馃嚦 for FC Zurich, and N. Hasler 馃嚤馃嚠 and L. Mack 馃嚛馃嚜 for FC Vaduz.

FC Zurich: Z眉rich's bigger club, 2022 Swiss champions; Letzigrund (shared). · FC Vaduz: Liechtenstein's flagship (Vaduz), perennial Liechtenstein Cup winner (its only route to Europe) while playing league football in Switzerland; Rheinpark Stadion.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC Zurich (8th)

Z眉rich's bigger club, 2022 Swiss champions; Letzigrund (shared). Predicted qualifier; big-city fanbase, streaky.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 43.0 in league · 9th of 13
Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 8th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 GrasshoppersSwiss Super League
  • LH2-4 BSC Young BoysSwiss Super League
  • WA3-2 LausanneSwiss Super League
  • LH1-2 FC Basel 1893Swiss Super League
  • LA0-5 FC LuganoSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 5,3,5,6,4
Key players Alexander Hack 馃嚛馃嚜 62.2, Lindrit Kamberi 馃嚚馃嚟 57.3, Yanick Brecher 馃嚚馃嚟 56.6, Heinz Lindner 馃嚘馃嚬 53.7, Miguel Reichmuth 馃嚚馃嚟 53.2
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 22 路 馃嚚馃嚧 3 路 馃嚦馃嚤 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
6108th07-26 v FC ST. Gallen: -2.308-01 v Servette FC: +2.008-09 v FC Lugano: -6.008-22 v FC Basel 1893: -2.308-29 v Lausanne: +2.309-01 v BSC Young Boys: -3.009-05 v Grasshoppers: +0.0

FC Vaduz (9th)

Liechtenstein's flagship (Vaduz), perennial Liechtenstein Cup winner (its only route to Europe) while playing league football in Switzerland; Rheinpark Stadion. UECL entrant; unique cross-border setup.

Style Frugal finishers from 2020
Squad quality 56.0 in league · 5th of 13
Seasons 2026 so far: 9th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-1 LausanneSwiss Super League
  • LA1-2 FC LuzernSwiss Super League
  • WH5-2 GrasshoppersSwiss Super League
  • LA2-4 BSC Young BoysSwiss Super League
  • DH2-2 Inter TurkuUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 5,6,7,3,4
Key players Lutfi Dalipi 馃嚨馃嚬 74.3, Leon Schaffran 馃嚛馃嚜 58.6, Julian Stark 馃嚛馃嚜 58.5, Juan Cabrera 馃嚭馃嚲 56.5, Denis Simani 馃嚚馃嚟 55.8
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 9 路 馃嚛馃嚜 4 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚤馃嚠 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚘馃嚬 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
8129th07-26 v FC Lugano: -2.708-02 v FC ST. Gallen: -2.108-09 v FC Sion: -2.508-23 v BSC Young Boys: -3.308-30 v Grasshoppers: +3.709-02 v FC Luzern: -2.009-05 v Lausanne: +3.0
league draws 24% · chaos 90volatile

Lausanne (10th) v Servette FC (12th)

1 32%
X 26%
2 42%
Prediction: Servette FC to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 59%
vs performances: Lausanne -0.10 (5g) · Servette FC -0.51 (4g)
Squad overlay · Servette FC stronger by 0.19, shifted the price by up to 1.1 pts
xG overlay · Lausanne better on chances than on results by 0.22 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes Servette FC the marginal call at 42%, with Lausanne at 32% and the draw at 26%. Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 59%. Watch G. Diakit茅 馃嚥馃嚤 and N. Dussenne 馃嚙馃嚜 for Lausanne, and M. Stevanovi膰 馃嚙馃嚘 and J. Kadile 馃嚝馃嚪 for Servette FC.

Lausanne: Lausanne-Sport - Ineos-owned, ambitious Lake Geneva club; Stade de la Tuili猫re. · Servette FC: Geneva's historic club, European regular; Stade de Gen猫ve.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Lausanne (10th)

FOREIGN CORE 70%

Lausanne-Sport - Ineos-owned, ambitious Lake Geneva club; Stade de la Tuili猫re. Predicted qualifier; rising, well-funded.

Style Territorial control from 2025
Squad quality 34.0 in league · 11th of 13
Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 10th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 FC VaduzSwiss Super League
  • DA0-0 FC ThunSwiss Super League
  • LH2-3 FC ZurichSwiss Super League
  • LA0-1 FC LuzernSwiss Super League
  • DH2-2 BSC Young BoysSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNY match totals 4,1,5,0,4
Key players Abdou Karim Sow 59.7, Beyatt Lekoueiry 馃嚥馃嚪 53.7, Koba Koindredi 馃嚝馃嚪 51.1, Brandon Soppy 馃嚝馃嚪 49.6, Melvin Mastil 馃嚝馃嚪 48.5
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 11 路 馃嚝馃嚪 7 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 2 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚥馃嚤 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
21010th07-25 v Grasshoppers: +0.008-01 v FC Basel 1893: +1.708-08 v BSC Young Boys: +0.208-22 v FC Luzern: -2.408-29 v FC Zurich: -2.309-02 v FC Thun: +0.009-05 v FC Vaduz: -3.0

Servette FC (12th)

Geneva's historic club, European regular; Stade de Gen猫ve. Predicted qualifier; top-4 Swiss side, develops and sells.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 53.1 in league · 6th of 13
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 12th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 FC ST. GallenSwiss Super League
  • LA0-1 FC LuganoSwiss Super League
  • DH1-1 FC LuzernSwiss Super League
  • WH2-1 GrasshoppersSwiss Super League
  • LA1-2 FC ZurichSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 3,3,2,1,2
Key players Junior Kadile 馃嚝馃嚪 65.4, Timoth茅 Cognat 馃嚝馃嚪 63.6, Steve Rouiller 馃嚚馃嚟 58.8, Miroslav Stevanovi膰 馃嚙馃嚘 56.9, Bradley Mazikou 馃嚚馃嚞 55.5
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 17 路 馃嚝馃嚪 10 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 馃嚬馃嚦 1 路 馃嚞馃嚥 1 路 馃嚚馃嚞 1 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
71212th07-25 v FC Basel 1893: -2.308-01 v FC Zurich: -2.008-08 v Grasshoppers: +2.508-29 v FC Luzern: +0.109-03 v FC Lugano: -2.009-06 v FC ST. Gallen: -3.0
league draws 24% · chaos 90volatile

FC Luzern (6th) v FC Basel 1893 (5th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 41%
X 26%
2 32%
Prediction: FC Luzern to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 65%
vs performances: FC Luzern -0.15 (5g) · FC Basel 1893 +0.37 (5g)
Squad overlay · FC Basel 1893 stronger by 0.10, shifted the price by up to 0.6 pts
xG overlay · FC Basel 1893 better on chances than on results by 0.58 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.2 pts
Match preview

The model makes FC Luzern the marginal call at 41%, with FC Basel 1893 at 32% and the draw at 26%. FC Luzern are unbeaten in five (9 scored, 7 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 65%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 65%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch M. Di Giusto 馃嚚馃嚟 and O. Kabwit for FC Luzern, and X. Shaqiri 馃嚚馃嚟 and B. Traor茅 馃嚚馃嚠 for FC Basel 1893.

FC Luzern: Central-Swiss club (Lucerne), cup pedigree; Swissporarena. · FC Basel 1893: Switzerland's biggest club, UCL knockout pedigree (2018) and 24/25 double winners; St.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC Luzern (6th)

Central-Swiss club (Lucerne), cup pedigree; Swissporarena. Predicted qualifier; mid-to-strong side.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 47.4 in league · 8th of 13
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 6th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA3-3 BSC Young BoysSwiss Super League
  • WH2-1 FC VaduzSwiss Super League
  • DA1-1 Servette FCSwiss Super League
  • WH1-0 LausanneSwiss Super League
  • DA2-2 FC ST. GallenSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 4,1,2,3,6
Key players Andrejs Ciga艈iks 馃嚤馃嚮 68.0, Matteo Di Giusto 馃嚚馃嚟 60.2, Ruben Dantas 馃嚚馃嚟 59.6, Bung Meng Freimann 馃嚚馃嚟 57.0, Daniel Miko艂ajewski 馃嚨馃嚤 54.9
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 19 路 馃嚛馃嚜 3 路 馃嚘馃嚤 2 路 馃嚘馃嚬 1 路 馃嚤馃嚮 1 路 馃嚡馃嚨 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
4126th07-25 v FC Thun: -2.608-02 v FC Sion: -5.208-09 v FC ST. Gallen: -1.008-22 v Lausanne: +2.408-29 v Servette FC: -0.109-02 v FC Vaduz: +2.009-05 v BSC Young Boys: +0.0

FC Basel 1893 (5th)

FOREIGN CORE 73%

Switzerland's biggest club, UCL knockout pedigree (2018) and 24/25 double winners; St. Jakob-Park (38k), largest crowds. Predicted qualifier. Elite academy.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 57.5 in league · 4th of 13
Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 1st | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 5th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-3 FC LuganoSwiss Super League
  • LH1-2 FC SionSwiss Super League
  • DA3-3 BSC Young BoysSwiss Super League
  • WA2-1 FC ZurichSwiss Super League
  • WH4-2 FC ThunSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 6,3,6,3,4
Key players Asane Sow 66.5, Xherdan Shaqiri 馃嚚馃嚟 61.0, Marwin Hitz 馃嚚馃嚟 59.9, Keigo Tsunemoto 馃嚡馃嚨 58.8, Benie Traore 57.6
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 12 路 馃嚝馃嚪 5 路 馃嚞馃嚟 3 路 馃嚛馃嚜 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 +14 more
Season pulse season 2026
265th07-25 v Servette FC: +2.308-01 v Lausanne: -1.708-09 v FC Thun: +3.208-22 v FC Zurich: +2.308-29 v BSC Young Boys: -0.309-03 v FC Sion: -2.009-06 v FC Lugano: -3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.