Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚚馃嚟 Swiss Super League

league draws 24% · chaos 90volatile

FC ST. Gallen (4th) v FC Sion (3rd)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 40%
X 26%
2 34%
Prediction: FC ST. Gallen to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 54%
vs performances: FC ST. Gallen -0.40 (5g) · FC Sion -0.45 (4g)
Squad overlay · FC Sion stronger by 0.14, shifted the price by up to 0.9 pts
xG overlay · FC ST. Gallen better on chances than on results by 0.20 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes FC ST. Gallen the marginal call at 40%, with FC Sion at 34% and the draw at 26%. FC Sion have won 4 of their last five (12 scored, 7 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Alessandro Vogt 馃嚚馃嚟 and Lukas G枚rtler 馃嚛馃嚜 for FC ST. Gallen, and D. Rrudhani 馃嚱馃嚢 and I. Chouaref 馃嚝馃嚪 for FC Sion.

FC ST. Gallen: Eastern-Swiss club, big passionate fanbase; Kybunpark, best atmosphere in Switzerland. · FC Sion: Valais club, record Swiss Cup winners; Tourbillon, hostile Alpine venue.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC ST. Gallen (4th)

FOREIGN CORE 71%

Eastern-Swiss club, big passionate fanbase; Kybunpark, best atmosphere in Switzerland. 2nd in the 25/26 Super League for a UEL spot; attacking identity, Alessandro Vogt the top scorer.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 49.3 in league · 7th of 13
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 4th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 Servette FCSwiss Super League
  • LA0-2 GrasshoppersSwiss Super League
  • LH3-4 FC ThunSwiss Super League
  • LH2-3 FC NordsjaellandUECL
  • LA0-1 FC NordsjaellandUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 5,4,7,2,2
Key players Lukas G枚rtler 馃嚛馃嚜 67.1, Lukas Daschner 馃嚛馃嚜 57.8, Aliou Balde 馃嚫馃嚦 56.0, Andrin Hunziker 馃嚚馃嚟 55.2, Chima Okoroji 馃嚛馃嚜 54.6
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 10 路 馃嚛馃嚜 9 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚟馃嚪 2 路 馃嚱馃嚢 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
364th07-26 v FC Zurich: +2.308-02 v FC Vaduz: +2.108-09 v FC Luzern: +1.008-30 v FC Thun: -1.209-02 v Grasshoppers: -3.209-06 v Servette FC: +3.0

FC Sion (3rd)

Valais club, record Swiss Cup winners; Tourbillon, hostile Alpine venue. UECL entrant; volatile under owner Constantin, cup pedigree.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 64.2 in league · 3rd of 13
Seasons 2024: 9th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 3rd (12 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-2 FC ThunSwiss Super League
  • WA2-1 FC Basel 1893Swiss Super League
  • LH1-2 FC LuganoSwiss Super League
  • LA3-5 AjaxUECL
  • LH2-4 AjaxUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,5,3,3,5
Key players Ylyas Chouaref 72.1, Winsley Boteli 67.6, Donat Rrudhani 馃嚱馃嚢 64.7, Kreshnik Hajrizi 馃嚱馃嚢 64.1, Baltazar Costa 馃嚙馃嚪 61.3
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 19 路 馃嚱馃嚢 4 路 馃嚝馃嚪 4 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚞馃嚨 1 路 馃嚠馃嚬 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
3123rd07-26 v BSC Young Boys: -3.408-02 v FC Luzern: +5.208-09 v FC Vaduz: +2.508-30 v FC Lugano: -1.409-03 v FC Basel 1893: +2.009-06 v FC Thun: +2.0
league draws 24% · chaos 90volatile

FC Thun (7th) v Grasshoppers (11th)

1 57%
X 25%
2 18%
Prediction: FC Thun to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 70%
vs performances: FC Thun +0.83 (4g) · Grasshoppers -0.52 (5g)
Squad overlay · FC Thun stronger by 0.07, shifted the price by up to 0.4 pts
xG overlay · Grasshoppers better on chances than on results by 0.48 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes FC Thun clear favourites at 57%, with Grasshoppers at 18% and the draw at 25%. Both teams to score looks likely at 64%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 70%. Watch L. Bertone 馃嚚馃嚟 and E. Rastoder 馃嚚馃嚟 for FC Thun, and Jonathan Asp Jensen 馃嚛馃嚢 and Luke Plange 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Grasshoppers.

FC Thun: Bernese Oberland club (Thun) enjoying a remarkable rise into the Champions League route - a breakthrough for the modest Stockhorn Arena side. · Grasshoppers: Zurich's record Swiss champions (27 titles) long fallen from their peak; groundshare at the Letzigrund.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC Thun (7th)

Bernese Oberland club (Thun) enjoying a remarkable rise into the Champions League route - a breakthrough for the modest Stockhorn Arena side. Overachiever; Alpine setting.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 36.1 in league · 10th of 13
Seasons 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 7th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA2-3 FC SionSwiss Super League
  • DH0-0 LausanneSwiss Super League
  • WA4-3 FC ST. GallenSwiss Super League
  • DH2-2 Lech PoznanUEL
  • LA0-7 Lech PoznanUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 6,6,7,0,5
Key players Gen铆s Montolio 馃嚜馃嚫 61.2, Jan Bamert 馃嚚馃嚟 55.7, Nico Maier 馃嚚馃嚟 51.2, Nicolas B眉rgy 馃嚚馃嚟 50.9, Fabio Fehr 馃嚚馃嚟 49.3
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 23 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 馃嚜馃嚜 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 1 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
1107th07-25 v FC Luzern: +2.608-01 v BSC Young Boys: -6.008-09 v FC Basel 1893: -3.208-30 v FC ST. Gallen: +1.209-02 v Lausanne: +0.009-06 v FC Sion: -2.0

Grasshoppers (11th)

Zurich's record Swiss champions (27 titles) long fallen from their peak; groundshare at the Letzigrund. Huge historic pedigree, now a relegation-threatened mid/lower side under foreign ownership.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 29.2 in league · 13th of 13
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 11th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 FC ZurichSwiss Super League
  • WH2-0 FC ST. GallenSwiss Super League
  • LA2-5 FC VaduzSwiss Super League
  • LA1-2 Servette FCSwiss Super League
  • LH1-4 FC LuganoSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 5,3,7,2,4
Key players Dirk Abels 馃嚦馃嚤 56.6, Young-Jun Lee 53.2, Sven K枚hler 馃嚛馃嚜 53.1, Bujar Pllana 馃嚱馃嚢 51.8, Luke Plange 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 47.4
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 14 路 馃嚠馃嚬 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚚馃嚘 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 +15 more
Season pulse season 2026
31211th07-25 v Lausanne: -0.008-02 v FC Lugano: -4.208-08 v Servette FC: -2.508-30 v FC Vaduz: -3.709-02 v FC ST. Gallen: +3.209-05 v FC Zurich: +0.0
league draws 24% · chaos 90volatile

FC Lugano (1st)🔥 v BSC Young Boys (2nd)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 45%
X 26%
2 28%
Prediction: FC Lugano to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 67%
vs performances: FC Lugano +1.32 (4g) · BSC Young Boys +0.39 (5g)
Squad overlay · FC Lugano stronger by 0.05, shifted the price by up to 0.3 pts
xG overlay · BSC Young Boys better on chances than on results by 0.26 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.1 pts
Match preview

The model makes FC Lugano narrow favourites at 45%, with BSC Young Boys at 28% and the draw at 26%. FC Lugano arrive on a 5-game winning run (15 scored, 3 conceded). BSC Young Boys are unbeaten in five (16 scored, 12 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 66%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 67%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch R. Steffen 馃嚚馃嚟 and A. Grgi膰 馃嚚馃嚟 for FC Lugano, and A. Sanches 馃嚚馃嚟 and C. Fassnacht 馃嚚馃嚟 for BSC Young Boys.

FC Lugano: Italian-Swiss club (Lugano/Ticino), European regular and cup winner; Cornaredo (redevelopment era). · BSC Young Boys: Bern's dominant modern club, serial champions and UCL-group regular; Wankdorf, artificial pitch (a genuine surface edge for visitors).

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC Lugano (1st)🔥

strong at home

Italian-Swiss club (Lugano/Ticino), European regular and cup winner; Cornaredo (redevelopment era). UECL entrant; top-6 Swiss side.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 76.6 in league · 1st of 13
Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 4th | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 1st (18 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-1 FC Basel 1893Swiss Super League
  • WH1-0 Servette FCSwiss Super League
  • WA2-1 FC SionSwiss Super League
  • DA1-1 Maccabi Tel AvivUECL
  • WH2-1 Maccabi Tel AvivUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 5,5,3,1,4
Key players Anto Grgi膰 馃嚚馃嚟 70.5, Lars Lukas Mai 馃嚛馃嚜 68.5, Hannes Delcroix 馃嚙馃嚜 67.3, Kevin Behrens 馃嚛馃嚜 64.3, Uran Bislimi 馃嚚馃嚟 63.9
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 14 路 馃嚛馃嚜 4 路 馃嚠馃嚬 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚞馃嚪 2 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1 路 +13 more
Season pulse season 2026
141st07-26 v FC Vaduz: +2.708-02 v Grasshoppers: +4.208-09 v FC Zurich: +6.008-30 v FC Sion: +1.409-03 v Servette FC: +2.009-06 v FC Basel 1893: +3.0

BSC Young Boys (2nd)

Bern's dominant modern club, serial champions and UCL-group regular; Wankdorf, artificial pitch (a genuine surface edge for visitors). Predicted qualifier. Deep squad.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 71.2 in league · 2nd of 13
Seasons 2023: 1st | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 2nd (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH3-3 FC LuzernSwiss Super League
  • WA4-2 FC ZurichSwiss Super League
  • DH3-3 FC Basel 1893Swiss Super League
  • WH4-2 FC VaduzSwiss Super League
  • DA2-2 LausanneSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,6,6,6,6
Key players Alvyn Sanches 馃嚚馃嚟 77.6, Samuel Essende 馃嚝馃嚪 76.4, Kastriot Imeri 馃嚚馃嚟 60.9, Sandro Lauper 馃嚚馃嚟 59.0, Edimilson Fernandes 馃嚚馃嚟 58.8
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚟 23 路 馃嚝馃嚪 4 路 馃嚞馃嚥 2 路 馃嚚馃嚳 2 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 馃嚥馃嚞 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
132nd07-26 v FC Sion: +3.408-01 v FC Thun: +6.008-08 v Lausanne: -0.208-23 v FC Vaduz: +3.308-29 v FC Basel 1893: +0.309-01 v FC Zurich: +3.009-05 v FC Luzern: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.