Daily Football Model

2026-09-15 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃寧 Copa Sudamericana

league draws 32% · chaos 21orderly
next day · Wednesday

Vasco DA Gama v Santa Fe

⚡ SQUAD GAP: VASCO DA GAMA✈ LONG TRIP: 4,540 KM
1 55%
X 27%
2 17%
Prediction: Vasco DA Gama to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 39%
vs performances: Vasco DA Gama -0.16 (9g) · Santa Fe +0.11 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes Vasco DA Gama clear favourites at 55%, with Santa Fe at 17% and the draw at 27%. Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in five (7 scored, 3 conceded). Santa Fe are unbeaten in five (6 scored, 1 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 39%). Santa Fe travel 4,540 km for it. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Vasco DA Gama the stronger. Watch Nuno Moreira 馃嚨馃嚬 and Claudio Spinelli 馃嚘馃嚪 for Vasco DA Gama.

Santa Fe: Bogot谩 giant at ~2,640m, a big fanbase; El Camp铆n, the Bogot谩 derby.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Vasco DA Gama

Rio de Janeiro. Rio giant, a huge fanbase and 777-linked ownership; the tight, hostile S茫o Janu谩rio. Passionate support, streaky.

Style Territorial control from 2026
Squad quality 59.0 all Europe · Brasileir茫o
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-1 GremioBrasileir茫o
  • DA0-0 Santa FeSudamericana
  • LA0-1 FluminenseBrasileir茫o
  • WH3-1 CruzeiroBrasileir茫o
  • LA1-4 PalmeirasBrasileir茫o
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYN match totals 4,1,0,5,0
Key players Thiago Mendes 馃嚙馃嚪 74.1, Cuiabano 馃嚙馃嚪 70.5, Bruno Duarte 馃嚙馃嚪 67.2, Santiago Sosa 63.5, Jos茅 Luis Rodr铆guez 馃嚭馃嚲 62.8
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚪 49 路 馃嚘馃嚪 4 路 馃嚚馃嚧 4 路 馃嚭馃嚲 3 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
72018th05-24 v RB Bragantino: -5.005-31 v Atletico-MG: -1.607-16 v Vitoria: -1.907-25 v Mirassol: +0.508-09 v Bahia: +0.108-16 v Santos: -4.408-23 v Palmeiras: -4.008-30 v Cruzeiro: +4.309-06 v Fluminense: -2.009-12 v Gremio: +2.0

Santa Fe

Bogot谩 giant at ~2,640m, a big fanbase; El Camp铆n, the Bogot谩 derby. Recent champions.

Style Frugal finishers from 2026
Squad quality 42.4 all Europe · Primera A
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
  • DH0-0 Vasco DA GamaSudamericana
  • DH2-2 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
  • WH3-2 MillonariosPrimera A
  • DA1-1 JuniorPrimera A
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,3,0,2,0
Key players Franco Fag煤ndez 馃嚭馃嚲 57.2, Emanuel Olivera 馃嚘馃嚪 50.9, Nahuel Bustos 馃嚘馃嚪 49.7, Hugo Rodallega 馃嚚馃嚧 48.3, Andr茅s Mosquera 馃嚚馃嚧 45.9
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚧 15 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1
Season pulse season 2026
4165th05-13 v America de Cali: +5.905-17 v Junior: +0.707-26 v 脕guilas Doradas: -2.008-03 v Once Caldas: -0.508-08 v Chico: +3.108-22 v America de Cali: +0.008-29 v Junior: -0.309-03 v Millonarios: +2.009-05 v Fortaleza FC: +0.009-12 v Deportes Tolima: +2.0