Daily Football Model

2026-10-03 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚜馃嚫 Segunda Divisi贸n

league draws 25% · chaos 48lively

Albacete (22nd) v Eibar (2nd)🔥

1 31%
X 29%
2 41%
Prediction: Eibar to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 43%↑1.8
Squad overlay · Eibar stronger by 0.13, shifted the price by up to 0.2 pts
Match preview

The model makes Eibar the marginal call at 41%, with Albacete at 31% and the draw at 29%. Albacete have lost 4 of their last five (2 scored, 8 conceded). Eibar arrive on a 5-game winning run (13 scored, 3 conceded). Watch Jeft茅 Betancor 馃嚜馃嚫 and Antonio Puertas 馃嚜馃嚫 for Albacete, and Jos茅 Corpas 馃嚜馃嚫 and Javier Mart贸n 馃嚜馃嚫 for Eibar.

Albacete: Castilla-La Mancha club (Queso Mec谩nico), Carlos Belmonte; steady mid-table Segunda fixture, modest budget, disciplined. · Eibar: Basque small-town club, the tiny Ipurua; a La Liga overachiever in recent years, now an established, well-run Segunda side.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Albacete (22nd)

Castilla-La Mancha club (Queso Mec谩nico), Carlos Belmonte; steady mid-table Segunda fixture, modest budget, disciplined.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 50.8 in league · 11th of 21
Seasons 2023: 14th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 22nd (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-2 GironaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH1-2 CordobaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DA1-1 Granada CFSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA0-2 Castell贸nSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH0-1 OviedoSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYN match totals 1,2,2,3,2
Key players Fran G谩mez 馃嚜馃嚫 56.8, Pepe S谩nchez 馃嚜馃嚫 55.3, Rober Gonz谩lez 54.5, Victor San Bartolome 52.9, Llu铆s L贸pez 馃嚜馃嚫 52.3
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 27 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1
Season pulse season 2026
162222nd08-16 v Las Palmas: -2.008-22 v Real Sociedad II: -2.008-29 v Oviedo: -2.009-06 v Castell贸n: -3.009-12 v Granada CF: +0.009-18 v Cordoba: -2.009-25 v Girona: -3.0

Eibar (2nd)🔥

strong away

Basque small-town club, the tiny Ipurua; a La Liga overachiever in recent years, now an established, well-run Segunda side. Punches above its size.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 66.0 in league · 3rd of 21
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 9th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 2nd (18 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-2 Las PalmasSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA2-1 EldenseSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA4-0 Celta de Vigo IISegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH3-0 Granada CFSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA1-0 FC AndorraSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 1,3,4,3,5
Key players Malcom Ares 60.5, Jon Guruzeta 馃嚜馃嚫 59.1, Iv谩n Gil 馃嚜馃嚫 58.0, Jon Mikel Magunagoitia 57.5, Peru Nolaskoain Esnal 54.7
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 30 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2
Season pulse season 2026
1202nd08-16 v Tenerife: -3.008-23 v Valladolid: +2.008-30 v FC Andorra: +2.009-06 v Granada CF: +4.009-14 v Celta de Vigo II: +5.009-19 v Eldense: +2.009-27 v Las Palmas: +2.0
league draws 25% · chaos 48lively

Almeria (3rd) v Burgos (4th)

1 48%
X 30%
2 22%
Prediction: Almeria to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 46%↑0.9
Squad overlay · Almeria stronger by 0.18, shifted the price by up to 0.3 pts
Match preview

The model makes Almeria narrow favourites at 48%, with Burgos at 22% and the draw at 30%. Almeria arrive on a 4-game winning run (8 scored, 3 conceded). Burgos arrive on a 3-game winning run (8 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Sergio Arribas 馃嚜馃嚫 and Adri谩n Embarba 馃嚜馃嚫 for Almeria, and David Gonz谩lez 馃嚜馃嚫 and Iv谩n Morante 馃嚜馃嚫 for Burgos.

Almeria: Andalusian club, foreign-owned (Turki Al-Sheikh); the modern Power Horse Stadium. · Burgos: Castile club, tidy El Plant铆o; established mid-table Segunda side, pragmatic and organised, modest resources.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Almeria (3rd)

strong at home

Andalusian club, foreign-owned (Turki Al-Sheikh); the modern Power Horse Stadium. A La Liga side in recent seasons, now in the Segunda pushing for promotion, well-funded.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 72.8 in league · 2nd of 21
Seasons 2024: 6th | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 3rd (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 MallorcaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH2-0 Celta de Vigo IISegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA2-0 CordobaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH3-2 CadizSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA0-1 SabadellSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 1,5,2,2,1
Key players Sergio Arribas 馃嚜馃嚫 67.7, Andr茅s Fern谩ndez 馃嚜馃嚫 63.2, Brian Cipenga 馃嚚馃嚛 62.5, Javi Mu帽oz 馃嚜馃嚫 56.0, Federico Bonini 馃嚠馃嚬 54.7
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 16 路 馃嚙馃嚪 4 路 馃嚨馃嚬 3 路 馃嚠馃嚬 1 路 馃嚫馃嚦 1 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
2163rd08-17 v Eldense: +4.008-23 v Tenerife: -2.008-29 v Sabadell: -2.009-06 v Cadiz: +2.009-12 v Cordoba: +3.009-20 v Celta de Vigo II: +3.009-27 v Mallorca: +2.0

Burgos (4th)

Castile club, tidy El Plant铆o; established mid-table Segunda side, pragmatic and organised, modest resources.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 51.4 in league · 10th of 21
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 14th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 4th (14 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 EldenseSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA2-1 Las PalmasSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DA0-0 OviedoSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DH2-2 Real Sociedad IISegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 4,0,4,3,1
Key players 脕lex Lizancos 58.0, Ander Cantero 馃嚜馃嚫 56.6, Sergio Gonz谩lez 馃嚜馃嚫 54.7, 脕lex For茅s 馃嚜馃嚫 54.2, David Gonz谩lez 馃嚜馃嚫 54.2
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 27 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 馃嚥馃嚩 1 路 馃嚚馃嚧 1 路 馃嚚馃嚤 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
3154th08-16 v Cordoba: +2.008-23 v Sporting Gijon: -2.008-31 v Real Sociedad II: +0.009-06 v Oviedo: +0.009-11 v AD Ceuta FC: +3.009-20 v Las Palmas: +2.009-27 v Eldense: +2.0
league draws 25% · chaos 48lively

Cadiz (20th) v Leganes (10th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 38%
X 31%
2 31%
Prediction: Cadiz to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 36%↑0.7
Squad overlay · Leganes stronger by 0.21, shifted the price by up to 0.4 pts
Match preview

The model makes Cadiz the marginal call at 38%, with Leganes at 31% and the draw at 31%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 36%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Alvaro Garcia-Pascual and Iker Recio 馃嚜馃嚫 for Cadiz, and Amadou Diawara 馃嚞馃嚦 and Juan Cruz 馃嚜馃嚫 for Leganes.

Cadiz: Andalusian club (the Submarino Amarillo), famed Carranza atmosphere; a La Liga fixture in recent seasons, now down. · Leganes: Madrid-suburb club (los Pepineros), tiny Butarque; a La Liga side in recent seasons, now down.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Cadiz (20th)

Andalusian club (the Submarino Amarillo), famed Carranza atmosphere; a La Liga fixture in recent seasons, now down. Passionate support, promotion the aim.

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 34.2 in league · 18th of 21
Seasons 2024: 12th | 2025: 18th | 2026 so far: 20th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 TenerifeSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH1-2 GironaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH0-1 Las PalmasSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA2-3 AlmeriaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DH1-1 ValladolidSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYN match totals 2,5,1,3,2
Key players Jokin Ezkieta 馃嚜馃嚫 50.9, Iza Carcel茅n 馃嚜馃嚫 50.9, Juan D铆az 馃嚜馃嚫 50.3, Sergio Arribas 馃嚜馃嚫 48.2, Manu Fern谩ndez 馃嚜馃嚫 47.1
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 22 路 馃嚥馃嚤 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 馃嚜馃嚚 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
42020th08-15 v Celta de Vigo II: +0.008-22 v Eldense: +0.008-30 v Valladolid: +0.009-06 v Almeria: -2.009-12 v Las Palmas: -2.009-19 v Girona: -2.009-26 v Tenerife: +0.0

Leganes (10th)

Madrid-suburb club (los Pepineros), tiny Butarque; a La Liga side in recent seasons, now down. Overachiever on a modest budget, well-run.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 58.3 in league · 6th of 21
Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2025: 16th | 2026 so far: 10th (11 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 Castell贸nSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH3-2 Granada CFSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA0-2 TenerifeSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DA0-0 Las PalmasSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH1-0 EldenseSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYN match totals 1,0,2,5,2
Key players Ismael Gharbi 馃嚜馃嚫 61.2, Lalo Aguilar 馃嚜馃嚫 57.2, Luca Zidane 馃嚝馃嚪 53.9, Marvel 馃嚜馃嚫 53.7, Unax del Cura 52.7
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 21 路 馃嚞馃嚦 2 路 馃嚚馃嚮 1 路 馃嚙馃嚜 1 路 馃嚥馃嚪 1 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
1139th08-16 v Girona: +0.008-22 v Oviedo: +2.008-29 v Eldense: +2.009-04 v Las Palmas: +0.009-13 v Tenerife: -3.009-20 v Granada CF: +2.009-28 v Castell贸n: -3.0
league draws 25% · chaos 48lively

Sabadell (7th) v FC Andorra (17th)

1 47%
X 30%
2 22%
Prediction: Sabadell to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 49%↑0.6
Squad overlay · FC Andorra stronger by 0.21, shifted the price by up to 0.4 pts
Match preview

The model makes Sabadell narrow favourites at 47%, with FC Andorra at 22% and the draw at 30%. Sabadell have won 3 of their last five (8 scored, 6 conceded). FC Andorra have lost 4 of their last five (5 scored, 10 conceded). Watch Diego Fuoli for Sabadell, and Daniel Villahermosa 馃嚜馃嚫 and Thomas Carrique 馃嚝馃嚪 for FC Andorra.

Sabadell: Catalan club, historic Nova Creu Alta support; yo-yo Segunda/lower side, modest budget, loyal following.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sabadell (7th)

Catalan club, historic Nova Creu Alta support; yo-yo Segunda/lower side, modest budget, loyal following.

Style Patient but blunt from 2020
Squad quality 25.0 in league · 21st of 21
Seasons 2026 so far: 7th (12 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Celta de Vigo IISegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH3-1 OviedoSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA0-2 MallorcaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH3-2 CordobaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WH1-0 AlmeriaSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYN match totals 1,5,2,4,2
Key players Nicholas Gioacchini 馃嚭馃嚫 53.3, 脫scar Sanz 51.0, Q. Liameed 49.2, Ton Ripoll 47.2, Edgar Gonz谩lez 馃嚜馃嚫 46.0
Season pulse season 2026
4167th08-17 v Sporting Gijon: +0.008-23 v Castell贸n: +0.008-29 v Almeria: +2.009-07 v Cordoba: +2.009-13 v Mallorca: -3.009-20 v Oviedo: +3.009-26 v Celta de Vigo II: +0.0

FC Andorra (17th)

Andorra la Vella. Kosmos-owned (Piqu茅) Andorran club playing in the Spanish pyramid; Estadi Nacional (~1,000m altitude), a genuine travel-and-altitude quirk. Ambitious, well-backed, foreign-flavoured.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 49.1 in league · 13th of 21
Seasons 2023: 21st | 2025: 13th | 2026 so far: 17th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 Granada CFSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH1-3 Sporting GijonSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH1-3 Real Sociedad IISegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA0-1 ValladolidSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH0-1 EibarSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYY match totals 1,1,4,4,5
Key players Gael Alonso 馃嚜馃嚫 65.5, Jordi Cano 58.9, Sergio Molina 馃嚜馃嚫 54.9, Marc Dom茅nech 馃嚜馃嚫 54.6, Efe Akman 馃嚬馃嚪 53.0
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 18 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚟馃嚭 2 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 馃嚘馃嚪 1 路 馃嚞馃嚩 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
12017th08-15 v AD Ceuta FC: +5.008-24 v Celta de Vigo II: -3.008-30 v Eibar: -2.009-05 v Valladolid: -2.009-12 v Real Sociedad II: -3.009-19 v Sporting Gijon: -3.009-26 v Granada CF: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.