Daily Football Model

2026-10-02 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

← all leagues

馃嚜馃嚫 Segunda Divisi贸n

league draws 25% · chaos 48lively

Eldense (19th) v Oviedo (8th)

1 29%
X 28%
2 43%
Prediction: Oviedo to win (lean) · BTTS: No (strong) · Over 2.5: 31%
Squad overlay · Oviedo stronger by 0.25, shifted the price by up to 0.5 pts
Match preview

The model makes Oviedo narrow favourites at 43%, with Eldense at 29% and the draw at 28%. Oviedo have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 3 conceded). The model expects at least one clean sheet: both teams to score sits at just 39%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 31%). Watch V铆ctor Garc铆a 馃嚜馃嚫 and Marc Mateu for Eldense, and Alem茫o 馃嚙馃嚪 and Dani Calvo 馃嚜馃嚫 for Oviedo.

Oviedo: Asturian giant (Real Oviedo), vast loyal fanbase at the Carlos Tartiere; historic club long chasing a top-flight return, atmosphere well above the level.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Eldense (19th)

Elda. Alicante club (Deportivo Eldense), small Nuevo Pepico Amat; modest Segunda side, survival-focused, tight budget.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2024
Squad quality 26.9 in league · 20th of 21
Seasons 2023: 16th | 2024: 19th | 2026 so far: 19th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 BurgosSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LH1-2 EibarSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA1-0 Sporting GijonSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DH0-0 MallorcaSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA0-1 LeganesSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYN match totals 1,0,1,3,1
Key players Ramon Vila 54.4, Javi Mart铆nez 馃嚜馃嚫 48.7, 脕lex Serradell 48.1, Juan Palomares 47.4, Justin Smith 46.2
Season pulse season 2026
162119th08-17 v Almeria: -4.008-22 v Cadiz: +0.008-29 v Leganes: -2.009-05 v Mallorca: +0.009-13 v Sporting Gijon: +2.009-19 v Eibar: -2.009-27 v Burgos: -2.0

Oviedo (8th)

Asturian giant (Real Oviedo), vast loyal fanbase at the Carlos Tartiere; historic club long chasing a top-flight return, atmosphere well above the level.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2024
Squad quality 56.0 in league · 7th of 21
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 2nd | 2026 so far: 8th (11 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 Sporting GijonSegunda Divisi贸n
  • LA1-3 SabadellSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA3-0 ValladolidSegunda Divisi贸n
  • DH0-0 BurgosSegunda Divisi贸n
  • WA1-0 AlbaceteSegunda Divisi贸n
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYN match totals 1,0,3,4,2
Key players Dani Calvo 馃嚜馃嚫 59.2, David Costas 馃嚜馃嚫 57.2, Pablo S谩enz 馃嚜馃嚫 55.6, Aar贸n Escandell 馃嚜馃嚫 53.5, Estanis Pedrola 52.4
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 17 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚭馃嚲 2 路 馃嚘馃嚪 2 路 馃嚮馃嚜 1 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
7188th08-15 v Granada CF: +0.008-22 v Leganes: -2.008-29 v Albacete: +2.009-06 v Burgos: +0.009-13 v Valladolid: +4.009-20 v Sabadell: -3.009-27 v Sporting Gijon: +3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.