Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚨馃嚬 Liga Portugal 2

league draws 24% · chaos 72lively

AVS (13th) v Farense (8th)

1 45%
X 27%
2 28%
Prediction: AVS to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 35%
Match preview

The model makes AVS narrow favourites at 45%, with Farense at 28% and the draw at 27%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 35%). Watch Claudio Falc茫o 馃嚙馃嚪 and Derick Poloni 馃嚙馃嚪 for Farense.

AVS: Vila das Aves club (AVS Futebol), small ground; recently a top-flight side now down, modest budget, survival-focused newcomer. · Farense: Faro club (the Algarve), S茫o Lu铆s; a top-flight side of recent vintage now down, loyal southern support, promotion the target.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

AVS (13th)

FOREIGN CORE 72%

Vila das Aves club (AVS Futebol), small ground; recently a top-flight side now down, modest budget, survival-focused newcomer.

Seasons 2023: 4th | 2026 so far: 13th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Lusit芒nia LourosaLiga Portugal 2
  • WH2-0 FeirenseLiga Portugal 2
  • DA2-2 ChavesLiga Portugal 2
  • DA1-1 Felgueiras 1932Liga Portugal 2
  • LH0-1 Sporting CP BLiga Portugal 2
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 1,2,4,2,3
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚪 10 路 馃嚨馃嚬 10 路 馃嚜馃嚫 4 路 馃嚚馃嚧 2 路 馃嚨馃嚲 2 路 馃嚜馃嚚 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
111413th08-09 v Sporting CP B: -2.008-17 v Felgueiras 1932: +0.008-23 v Chaves: +0.008-30 v Feirense: +3.009-07 v Lusit芒nia Lourosa: -2.0

Farense (8th)

Faro club (the Algarve), S茫o Lu铆s; a top-flight side of recent vintage now down, loyal southern support, promotion the target.

Seasons 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 8th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Sporting CP BLiga Portugal 2
  • DH1-1 Felgueiras 1932Liga Portugal 2
  • WA3-1 FC Porto BLiga Portugal 2
  • WH2-1 TorreenseLiga Portugal 2
  • DA0-0 CF Os BelenensesLiga Portugal 2
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 0,3,4,2,3
Key players Claudio Falc茫o 馃嚙馃嚪, Derick Poloni 馃嚙馃嚪, R煤ben Fernandes 馃嚨馃嚬
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚬 17 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚜馃嚫 3 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 馃嚚馃嚮 1 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
288th08-09 v Torreense: +2.008-16 v FC Porto B: +3.008-24 v Felgueiras 1932: +0.008-30 v Sporting CP B: -2.0
league draws 24% · chaos 72lively

Chaves (17th) v Feirense (18th)

1 46%
X 27%
2 27%
Prediction: Chaves to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 40%
Match preview

The model makes Chaves narrow favourites at 46%, with Feirense at 27% and the draw at 27%. Feirense have lost 4 straight (1 scored, 7 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 40%). Watch Reinaldo 馃嚙馃嚪 and Pedro Pinho 馃嚨馃嚬 for Chaves, and Jo茫o Oliveira 馃嚨馃嚬 and Antonio Leal 馃嚜馃嚫 for Feirense.

Chaves: Tr谩s-os-Montes club (GD Chaves), remote northern setting; the Est谩dio Municipal. · Feirense: Santa Maria da Feira club, Marcolino de Castro; established second-tier side, modest budget, develops and sells.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Chaves (17th)

Tr谩s-os-Montes club (GD Chaves), remote northern setting; the Est谩dio Municipal. Yo-yo side recently in the top flight, loyal support, promotion-minded.

Seasons 2024: 7th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 17th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Felgueiras 1932Liga Portugal 2
  • DH2-2 AVSLiga Portugal 2
  • LA0-1 Sporting CP BLiga Portugal 2
  • LH1-4 AcademicaLiga Portugal 2
  • WA3-1 MaritimoLiga Portugal 2
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 4,5,1,4,3
Key players Bruno Rodrigues 馃嚨馃嚬 42.0, Ktatau 馃嚙馃嚪 41.4
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚬 13 路 馃嚙馃嚪 4 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚚馃嚮 1 路 馃嚥馃嚬 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
171817th08-08 v Academica: -4.008-15 v Sporting CP B: -2.008-23 v AVS: +0.008-30 v Felgueiras 1932: -2.0

Feirense (18th)

FOREIGN CORE 68%

Santa Maria da Feira club, Marcolino de Castro; established second-tier side, modest budget, develops and sells.

Seasons 2023: 15th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 18th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-3 Sporting CP BLiga Portugal 2
  • LA0-2 AVSLiga Portugal 2
  • LH0-1 FC Porto BLiga Portugal 2
  • LA0-1 AcademicaLiga Portugal 2
  • DH0-0 Felgueiras 1932Liga Portugal 2
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 0,1,1,2,4
Key players Jo茫o Oliveira 馃嚨馃嚬, Antonio Leal 馃嚜馃嚫, Emanuel Fernandes 馃嚨馃嚬
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚬 9 路 馃嚙馃嚪 8 路 馃嚜馃嚫 3 路 馃嚥馃嚘 1 路 馃嚥馃嚤 1 路 馃嚪馃嚭 1 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
71818th08-09 v Felgueiras 1932: +0.008-14 v Academica: -2.008-24 v FC Porto B: -2.008-30 v AVS: -3.009-05 v Sporting CP B: -3.0
league draws 24% · chaos 72lively

Amarante (15th) v Uni茫o de Leiria (5th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 37%
X 28%
2 35%
Prediction: Amarante to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
Match preview

The model makes Amarante the marginal call at 37%, with Uni茫o de Leiria at 35% and the draw at 28%. Uni茫o de Leiria arrive on a 3-game winning run (8 scored, 5 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Juan Mu帽oz 馃嚜馃嚫 and Jordan van der Gaag 馃嚦馃嚤 for Uni茫o de Leiria.

Amarante: Small northern club (Amarante FC), a rare second-tier presence; tiny ground and crowds. · Uni茫o de Leiria: Leiria club, historic side revived from the lower leagues; the Est谩dio Dr.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Amarante (15th)

Small northern club (Amarante FC), a rare second-tier presence; tiny ground and crowds. Minnow, survival the aim.

Seasons 2026 so far: 15th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 LeixoesLiga Portugal 2
  • WH1-0 Benfica BLiga Portugal 2
  • DA0-0 VizelaLiga Portugal 2
  • LH0-1 Lusit芒nia LourosaLiga Portugal 2
  • LA1-2 TondelaLiga Portugal 2
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNY match totals 3,1,0,1,4
Season pulse season 2026
121615th08-08 v Tondela: -2.008-16 v Lusit芒nia Lourosa: -2.008-22 v Vizela: +0.008-30 v Benfica B: +2.009-06 v Leixoes: -3.0

Uni茫o de Leiria (5th)

FOREIGN CORE 74%

Leiria club, historic side revived from the lower leagues; the Est谩dio Dr. Magalh茫es Pessoa. Loyal support, promotion-minded, rebuilding.

Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 5th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 PortimonenseLiga Portugal 2
  • WH2-0 TondelaLiga Portugal 2
  • WA4-2 LeixoesLiga Portugal 2
  • LH1-2 Benfica BLiga Portugal 2
  • LA0-1 VizelaLiga Portugal 2
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 1,3,6,2,1
Key players Juan Mu帽oz 馃嚜馃嚫, Jordan van der Gaag 馃嚦馃嚤, Pablo Fern谩ndez 馃嚜馃嚫
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚬 8 路 馃嚙馃嚪 6 路 馃嚜馃嚫 6 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 馃嚘馃嚪 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
5175th08-09 v Vizela: -2.008-15 v Benfica B: -2.008-22 v Leixoes: +3.008-28 v Tondela: +3.009-06 v Portimonense: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.