Daily Football Model

2026-09-16 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃寧 Copa Libertadores

league draws 25% · chaos 7orderly
next day · Thursday

LDU de Quito v Palmeiras

✈ LONG TRIP: 4,307 KM
1 24%
X 29%
2 47%
Prediction: Palmeiras to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 37%
vs performances: LDU de Quito +0.34 (7g) · Palmeiras -0.11 (8g)
xG overlay · Palmeiras better on chances than on results by 0.37 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.7 pts
Match preview

The model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites at 47%, with LDU de Quito at 24% and the draw at 29%. Palmeiras have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 3 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 37%). Palmeiras travel 4,307 km for it. Watch Yerlin Quinonez 馃嚜馃嚚 and Jes煤s Pretell 馃嚨馃嚜 for LDU de Quito, and Jos茅 L贸pez 馃嚘馃嚪 and Jhon Arias 馃嚚馃嚧 for Palmeiras.

LDU de Quito: Quito giant at ~2,850m, 2008 Libertadores champions; a huge fanbase and a formidable altitude fortress. · Palmeiras: S茫o Paulo giant, serial recent champions and Libertadores winners; Allianz Parque.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

LDU de Quito

Quito giant at ~2,850m, 2008 Libertadores champions; a huge fanbase and a formidable altitude fortress.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 PalmeirasLibertadores
  • DH0-0 MirassolLibertadores
  • DA1-1 MirassolLibertadores
  • WH3-2 Always ReadyLibertadores
  • WH2-0 LanusLibertadores
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,5,2,0,1
Key players Gonzalo Valle 馃嚜馃嚚 65.0, Leonel Qui帽贸nez 58.8, Jos茅 Carabal铆 馃嚜馃嚚 57.7, Jes煤s Pretell 馃嚨馃嚜 56.4, Michael Estrada 馃嚜馃嚚 53.7
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚚 28 路 馃嚚馃嚤 2 路 馃嚚馃嚧 1 路 馃嚟馃嚬 1 路 馃嚙馃嚧 1 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 +3 more

Palmeiras

strong away

S茫o Paulo giant, serial recent champions and Libertadores winners; Allianz Parque. Elite academy, the domestic benchmark, deep squad.

Style Under siege from 2026
Squad quality 66.7 all Europe · Brasileir茫o
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 Sao PauloBrasileir茫o
  • WH1-0 LDU de QuitoLibertadores
  • DA0-0 BotafogoBrasileir茫o
  • DA1-1 MirassolBrasileir茫o
  • WH4-1 Vasco DA GamaBrasileir茫o
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 1,5,2,1,1
Key players Jos茅 L贸pez 馃嚘馃嚪 75.0, Andreas Pereira 馃嚙馃嚪 71.6, Murilo 馃嚙馃嚪 71.5, Gustavo G贸mez 馃嚨馃嚲 71.1, Bruno Fuchs 馃嚙馃嚪 69.2
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚪 31 路 馃嚭馃嚲 3 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚨馃嚲 2 路 馃嚚馃嚧 2
Season pulse season 2026
1101st05-31 v Chapecoense-sc: +1.707-22 v Coritiba: +3.007-26 v Atletico-MG: -2.107-30 v Vitoria: +5.508-09 v Internacional: +0.508-15 v Fluminense: -2.508-23 v Vasco DA Gama: +4.008-30 v Mirassol: +0.409-06 v Botafogo: +0.009-12 v Sao Paulo: +3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.