Daily Football Model

2026-09-15 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

← all leagues

馃寧 Copa Libertadores

league draws 25% · chaos 7orderly
next day · Wednesday

Platense v Fluminense

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH⚡ SQUAD GAP: FLUMINENSE
1 29%
X 30%
2 42%
Prediction: Fluminense to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 33%
vs performances: Platense +0.06 (7g) · Fluminense -0.31 (7g)
Match preview

The model makes Fluminense the marginal call at 42%, with Platense at 29% and the draw at 30%. Fluminense are unbeaten in five (8 scored, 3 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 33%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Fluminense the stronger. Watch Franco Zapiola 馃嚘馃嚪 and Guido Mainero 馃嚘馃嚪 for Platense, and Jefferson Savarino 馃嚮馃嚜 and Agust铆n Canobbio 馃嚭馃嚲 for Fluminense.

Platense: Vicente L贸pez club (Buenos Aires), historic and recently resurgent; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Platense

Vicente L贸pez club (Buenos Aires), historic and recently resurgent; small ground.

Style Territorial control from 2026
Squad quality 40.8 all Europe · Liga Profesional
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional
  • LA0-2 FluminenseLibertadores
  • DH1-1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional
  • LA0-1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional
  • WA2-1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 3,2,2,0,2
Key players Juan Cozzani 馃嚘馃嚪 60.6, Franco Zapiola 馃嚘馃嚪 52.5, V铆ctor Cuesta 馃嚘馃嚪 47.8, Gonzalo Lencina 馃嚘馃嚪 43.2, Agust铆n Lagos 馃嚘馃嚪 41.6
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚪 25 路 馃嚭馃嚲 1 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚨馃嚲 1
Season pulse season 2026
12726th05-03 v Estudiantes L.P.: -3.007-25 v Union Santa Fe: -0.307-30 v Instituto Cordoba: -2.608-03 v Talleres Cordoba: -5.808-09 v Independiente: +1.908-16 v Boca Juniors: +0.008-23 v Barracas Central: +2.508-31 v Defensa Y Justicia: -2.309-04 v Deportivo Riestra: +0.009-12 v Estudiantes L.P.: -2.0

Fluminense

Rio de Janeiro. Rio club, 2023 Libertadores champions; Maracan茫. Well-run, veteran-laden, continental pedigree.

Style Pass-dominant from 2026
Squad quality 61.5 all Europe · Brasileir茫o
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 Atletico-MGBrasileir茫o
  • WH2-0 PlatenseLibertadores
  • WH1-0 Vasco DA GamaBrasileir茫o
  • DA3-3 Atletico ParanaenseBrasileir茫o
  • WH2-1 RemoBrasileir茫o
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 3,4,0,2,2
Key players Ign谩cio 71.5, Luciano Acosta 馃嚘馃嚪 68.5, Agust铆n Canobbio 馃嚭馃嚲 65.6, John Kennedy 馃嚙馃嚪 63.9, Juan Freytes 馃嚘馃嚪 63.4
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚪 20 路 馃嚘馃嚪 4 路 馃嚚馃嚧 2 路 馃嚮馃嚜 2 路 馃嚭馃嚲 2
Season pulse season 2026
294th05-31 v Cruzeiro: -0.307-17 v RB Bragantino: +0.307-26 v Gremio: -0.107-30 v Bahia: +0.908-09 v Botafogo: -0.108-15 v Palmeiras: +2.508-22 v Remo: +2.208-30 v Atletico Paranaense: -0.709-06 v Vasco DA Gama: +2.009-12 v Atletico-MG: -3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.