Daily Football Model

2026-09-16 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇱🇻 Virslīga

league draws 23% · chaos 56lively

Auda (3rd) v Ogre United (10th)

1 73%
X 18%
2 9%
Prediction: Auda to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 64%
Match preview

The model makes Auda clear favourites at 73%, with Ogre United at 9% and the draw at 18%. Auda are unbeaten in five (8 scored, 3 conceded). Ogre United have lost 4 of their last five (6 scored, 14 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 64%. Watch Ramazotti and Robertinho for Auda.

Auda: Modern Riga-area club (Ķekava), rapid rise to Latvian honours and Europe; artificial pitches common, cold-weather calendar. · Ogre United: Newly promoted and badly out of their depth: bottom in 2026 with 3 wins from 23 and a 21:59 goal difference, conceding heavily every week.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Auda (3rd)

FOREIGN CORE 67%

Modern Riga-area club (Ķekava), rapid rise to Latvian honours and Europe; artificial pitches common, cold-weather calendar. UECL entrant; overachiever.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 4th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 3rd (57 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 RigaVirslīga
  • WH1-0 GrobiņaVirslīga
  • DH1-1 Super NovaVirslīga
  • WH1-0 FK LiepajaVirslīga
  • WH3-0 TukumsVirslīga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNY match totals 3,1,2,1,4
Key players Ramazotti, Robertinho, Altair
Nationalities 🇱🇻 9 · 🇨🇮 4 · 🇧🇷 3 · 🇬🇭 1 · 🇸🇳 1 · 🇦🇷 1 · +8 more
Season pulse season 2026
133rd06-25 v Grobiņa: +0.006-29 v Riga: -3.007-04 v Rīgas FS: +0.007-26 v BFC Daugavpils: +2.008-09 v FS Jelgava: +2.008-21 v Tukums: +4.008-25 v FK Liepaja: +2.008-29 v Super Nova: +0.009-06 v Grobiņa: +2.009-11 v Riga: +0.0

Ogre United (10th)

Newly promoted and badly out of their depth: bottom in 2026 with 3 wins from 23 and a 21:59 goal difference, conceding heavily every week. Small ground, artificial pitch, spring-autumn calendar.

Seasons 2026 so far: 10th (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 FK LiepajaVirslīga
  • LA1-2 TukumsVirslīga
  • LH0-3 Rīgas FSVirslīga
  • LH2-3 FS JelgavaVirslīga
  • LA1-4 RigaVirslīga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 5,5,3,3,4
Season pulse season 2026
91010th06-26 v Tukums: +2.006-30 v FK Liepaja: -5.007-06 v Super Nova: +2.007-19 v BFC Daugavpils: -5.007-27 v Grobiņa: +0.008-09 v Riga: -4.008-22 v FS Jelgava: -2.008-30 v Rīgas FS: -4.009-05 v Tukums: -2.009-11 v FK Liepaja: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.