Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 5 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚞馃嚪 Super League Greece

league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

Kalamata (11th) v Volos NFC (9th)

1 56%
X 27%
2 17%
Prediction: Kalamata to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
Match preview

The model makes Kalamata clear favourites at 56%, with Volos NFC at 17% and the draw at 27%. Watch Lazaros Lamprou 馃嚞馃嚪 and Maximiliano Comba 馃嚘馃嚪 for Volos NFC.

Kalamata: Messinian port club promoted as SL2 South champions on an 11-game winning run - top-flight football for the first time in decades. · Volos NFC: Survived 25/26, including a wild 5-2 win at doomed AEL.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Kalamata (11th)

Messinian port club promoted as SL2 South champions on an 11-game winning run - top-flight football for the first time in decades. Tiny ground, long trips for northern sides. The league's rank outsider.

Seasons 2026 so far: 11th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 AtromitosSuper League Greece
  • LA0-2 PanetolikosSuper League Greece
  • LH2-3 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 YNN match totals 5,2,2
Key players Julio Alonso 馃嚜馃嚫 41.1
Season pulse season 2026
101311th08-22 v Aris Thessalonikis: -2.008-29 v Panetolikos: -3.709-06 v Atromitos: +0.1

Volos NFC (9th)

Survived 25/26, including a wild 5-2 win at doomed AEL. Panthessaliko oversized and empty. Squad churn club with heavy loan traffic; lower-mid projection.

Style Territorial control from 2025
Squad quality 21.1 in league · 13th of 13
Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 9th (2 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League Greece
  • DH1-1 Iraklis 1908Super League Greece
  • LA0-2 OFISuper League Greece
  • LA1-3 OFISuper League Greece
  • LH1-2 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 3,4,2,2,2
Key players Giannis Kargas 馃嚞馃嚪 58.3, Juanpi A帽or 馃嚮馃嚜 50.5, Maximiliano Comba 馃嚘馃嚪 50.4, Joca Fernandes 馃嚨馃嚬 45.7, Lazaros Lamprou 馃嚞馃嚪 45.6
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 14 路 馃嚜馃嚫 3 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚮馃嚜 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
7129th08-23 v OFI: -3.308-29 v Iraklis 1908: +0.009-05 v Olympiakos Piraeus: +0.0
league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

Asteras Tripolis (13th) v AEK Athens FC (3rd)

⚡ SQUAD GAP: AEK ATHENS FC
1 10%
X 24%
2 66%
Prediction: AEK Athens FC to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 42%
Match preview

The model makes AEK Athens FC clear favourites at 66%, with Asteras Tripolis at 10% and the draw at 24%. Asteras Tripolis have lost 3 straight (3 scored, 7 conceded). AEK Athens FC are unbeaten in five (12 scored, 3 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 42%). On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with AEK Athens FC the stronger. Watch Juli谩n Bartolo 馃嚘馃嚪 and Federico Macheda 馃嚠馃嚬 for Asteras Tripolis, and Luka Jovic and Anthony Martial 馃嚝馃嚪 for AEK Athens FC.

Asteras Tripolis: Village-scale club from Arcadian Tripoli (crowds ~1-2k, mild upland setting). · AEK Athens FC: 2025/26 champions: 3rd Super League title (14th Greek), built on a 24-game unbeaten run.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Asteras Tripolis (13th)

Village-scale club from Arcadian Tripoli (crowds ~1-2k, mild upland setting). Survived 25/26 as usual. Perennial 8th-12th; organised, low-scoring, tough at home.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 44.3 in league · 8th of 13
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 13th (0 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League Greece
  • LH0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League Greece
  • LA1-3 PanetolikosSuper League Greece
  • WA2-1 PanetolikosSuper League Greece
  • DH0-0 KifisiaSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 0,3,4,1,2
Key players Juli谩n Bartolo 馃嚘馃嚪 67.3, Eder Gonz谩lez 馃嚜馃嚫 58.3, Issiaga Sylla 馃嚞馃嚦 54.8, Dimitris Kourbelis 54.7, Kalvin Ketu 馃嚚馃嚥 53.1
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 16 路 馃嚜馃嚫 4 路 馃嚘馃嚪 4 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 馃嚙馃嚘 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
111313th08-23 v Panetolikos: -2.708-30 v Olympiakos Piraeus: -2.409-07 v Iraklis 1908: -3.0

AEK Athens FC (3rd)

FOREIGN CORE 74%

2025/26 champions: 3rd Super League title (14th Greek), built on a 24-game unbeaten run. OPAP Arena is Greece's best modern ground. Star-laden veteran attack (Jovic, Martial, Pineda). Straight to UCL qualifying; title defence favourite.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 80.4 in league · 1st of 13
Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 5th | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 3rd (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Lask LinzUCL
  • WH5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League Greece
  • DA1-1 KifisiaSuper League Greece
  • WH4-0 Levski SofiaUCL
  • WH4-0 Iraklis 1908Super League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 2,2,4,2,5
Key players R膬zvan Marin 馃嚪馃嚧 73.1, Barnab谩s Varga 馃嚟馃嚭 72.1, Filipe Relvas 馃嚨馃嚬 72.0, Mil谩n Vit谩lis 馃嚟馃嚭 68.2, Lazaros Rota 馃嚞馃嚪 66.7
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 9 路 馃嚪馃嚫 3 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚘馃嚤 1 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 +17 more
Season pulse season 2026
153rd08-22 v Iraklis 1908: +5.008-30 v Kifisia: -0.309-05 v Aris Thessalonikis: +6.0
league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

Kifisia (12th) v Levadiakos (14th)

1 33%
X 30%
2 37%
Prediction: Levadiakos to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 60%
Match preview

The model makes Levadiakos the marginal call at 37%, with Kifisia at 33% and the draw at 30%. Levadiakos have lost 4 straight (3 scored, 13 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 62%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 60%. Watch Jorge Pombo 馃嚜馃嚫 and Jakub Pokorn媒 馃嚚馃嚳 for Kifisia, and Triantafyllos Tsapras 馃嚞馃嚪 and Sebasti谩n Palacios 馃嚘馃嚪 for Levadiakos.

Kifisia: Leafy-Athens-suburb minnows who keep beating the odds - survived 25/26 after promotion. · Levadiakos: Overachieving 25/26: mid-table with real firepower (6-0 over Panetolikos, two 5-2 wins).

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Kifisia (12th)

Leafy-Athens-suburb minnows who keep beating the odds - survived 25/26 after promotion. Groundshare logistics, near-zero fanbase. Relegation favourite every season; somehow still here.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 37.9 in league · 11th of 13
Seasons 2023: 13th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 12th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 PanathinaikosSuper League Greece
  • LA0-2 OFISuper League Greece
  • DH1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League Greece
  • WH3-2 LarisaSuper League Greece
  • DA0-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 0,5,2,2,4
Key players Jorge Pombo 馃嚜馃嚫 69.1, Bernardo Martins 馃嚨馃嚬 55.2, Konstantinos Roukounakis 馃嚞馃嚪 54.5, Aleks Petkov 馃嚙馃嚞 54.2, Dimitris Theodoridis 馃嚞馃嚪 51.3
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 15 路 馃嚜馃嚫 4 路 馃嚨馃嚬 4 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
71212th08-30 v AEK Athens FC: +0.309-06 v OFI: -2.809-10 v Panathinaikos: -3.0

Levadiakos (14th)

Overachieving 25/26: mid-table with real firepower (6-0 over Panetolikos, two 5-2 wins). Small Livadeia ground. Overs-friendly profile; regression risk but a nuisance for everyone.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 43.8 in league · 10th of 13
Seasons 2024: 6th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 14th (0 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 PanetolikosSuper League Greece
  • LH0-2 PanathinaikosSuper League Greece
  • LA0-4 PAOKSuper League Greece
  • LA0-3 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League Greece
  • WH3-2 OFISuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 5,3,4,2,2
Key players Fabricio Pedrozo 馃嚘馃嚪 65.4, Panagiotis Liagas 馃嚞馃嚪 61.1, Giannis Tsivelekidis 57.0, Ioannis Kosti 馃嚚馃嚲 55.8, Panagiotis Symelidis 53.8
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 16 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚫馃嚠 2 路 馃嚘馃嚤 2 路 馃嚠馃嚤 2 路 馃嚘馃嚭 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
141414th08-23 v PAOK: -5.908-31 v Panathinaikos: -3.009-06 v Panetolikos: -3.0
league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

PAOK (6th) v Aris Thessalonikis (7th)

1 61%
X 26%
2 13%
Prediction: PAOK to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
vs performances: PAOK +0.46 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes PAOK clear favourites at 61%, with Aris Thessalonikis at 13% and the draw at 26%. Aris Thessalonikis have won 4 of their last five (10 scored, 9 conceded). Watch Kiril Despodov 馃嚙馃嚞 and Andrija Zivkovic for PAOK, and Loren Moron for Aris Thessalonikis.

Aris Thessalonikis: Thessaloniki's third force; upper-mid 25/26 without a European finish after their 24/25 UECL spot.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

PAOK (6th)

strong at home

Thessaloniki. Toumba's intimidation remains elite, but 25/26 ended trophyless: 3rd-4th league finish and a cup-final defeat to OFI. Savvidis-era resources vs Athens duopoly. Europa League; title outsider.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 62.8 in league · 3rd of 13
Seasons 2023: 1st | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 6th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 PanathinaikosSuper League Greece
  • WA2-1 AtromitosSuper League Greece
  • LA2-3 BrannUECL
  • WH4-0 LevadiakosSuper League Greece
  • DH1-1 BrannUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 2,4,4,3,4
Key players Andrija 沤ivkovi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 73.8, Ioannis Michailidis 70.3, Dimitrios Pelkas 馃嚞馃嚪 63.4, Taison 馃嚙馃嚪 62.0, Tomasz K臋dziora 馃嚨馃嚤 60.9
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 14 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 2 路 馃嚪馃嚭 2 路 馃嚠馃嚬 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
166th08-23 v Levadiakos: +5.908-30 v Atromitos: +2.209-06 v Panathinaikos: -3.9

Aris Thessalonikis (7th)

FOREIGN CORE 78%

Thessaloniki's third force; upper-mid 25/26 without a European finish after their 24/25 UECL spot. Kleanthis Vikelidis intense. Big spending, modest returns; top-5 target.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 44.1 in league · 9th of 13
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 4th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 7th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-5 AEK Athens FCSuper League Greece
  • WH2-1 OFISuper League Greece
  • WA3-2 KalamataSuper League Greece
  • WH3-0 LevadiakosSuper League Greece
  • WA2-1 Volos NFCSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,3,5,3,5
Key players Fabiano 馃嚙馃嚪 69.6, Uro拧 Ra膷i膰 馃嚪馃嚫 59.4, Benjam铆n Garr茅 馃嚘馃嚪 59.3, Giannis Gianniotas 馃嚞馃嚪 55.9, Tino Kadewere 馃嚳馃嚰 54.6
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 9 路 馃嚜馃嚫 5 路 馃嚫馃嚦 3 路 馃嚚馃嚥 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 +16 more
Season pulse season 2026
277th08-22 v Kalamata: +2.008-30 v OFI: +2.209-05 v AEK Athens FC: -6.0
league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

Panathinaikos (2nd) v Panetolikos (1st)

1 67%
X 23%
2 9%
Prediction: Panathinaikos to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
Match preview

The model makes Panathinaikos clear favourites at 67%, with Panetolikos at 9% and the draw at 23%. Panathinaikos arrive on a 3-game winning run (10 scored, 5 conceded). Panetolikos arrive on a 3-game winning run (9 scored, 4 conceded). Watch Anastasios Bakasetas 馃嚞馃嚪 and Karol Swiderski for Panathinaikos, and Alexandru M膬葲an 馃嚪馃嚧 and Diego Esteban 馃嚜馃嚫 for Panetolikos.

Panetolikos: Agrinio's survivors: another playout-zone escape in 25/26 (shipped five to AEK twice).

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Panathinaikos (2nd)

FOREIGN CORE 72%

Athens. Perennial nearly-club: Conference League spot from 25/26, still chasing a first title since 2010. Votanikos new-stadium project inches on; Leoforos meanwhile. Talented, streaky; top-3 baseline.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 58.8 in league · 4th of 13
Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 2nd (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-1 KifisiaSuper League Greece
  • WH3-1 PAOKSuper League Greece
  • WA2-0 LevadiakosSuper League Greece
  • WA2-1 Hradec Kr谩lov茅UECL
  • DH2-2 Hradec Kr谩lov茅UECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYY match totals 1,4,2,4,4
Key players Andrews Tetteh 馃嚞馃嚟 66.0, Rick Van Drongelen 馃嚦馃嚤 65.3, Anastasios Bakasetas 馃嚞馃嚪 62.9, Vicente Taborda 馃嚘馃嚪 59.3, Anass Zaroury 馃嚥馃嚘 57.1
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 11 路 馃嚪馃嚫 3 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚨馃嚤 2 路 +16 more
Season pulse season 2026
161st08-31 v Levadiakos: +3.009-06 v PAOK: +3.909-10 v Kifisia: +3.0

Panetolikos (1st)

Agrinio's survivors: another playout-zone escape in 25/26 (shipped five to AEK twice). Small-town intensity, long trips for Athens clubs. Relegation-battle projection again.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 48.7 in league · 7th of 13
Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 1st (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 LevadiakosSuper League Greece
  • WH2-0 KalamataSuper League Greece
  • WH3-1 Asteras TripolisSuper League Greece
  • LH1-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League Greece
  • DA1-1 PanserraikosSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 2,3,4,2,2
Key players Yevhenii Kucherenko 馃嚭馃嚘 72.3, Gustav Granath 馃嚫馃嚜 63.7, Alexandru M膬葲an 馃嚪馃嚧 59.5, Lazar Koji膰 馃嚪馃嚫 58.8, Youssouph Badji 馃嚫馃嚦 55.9
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 14 路 馃嚜馃嚫 4 路 馃嚪馃嚫 4 路 馃嚘馃嚪 2 路 馃嚚馃嚲 2 路 馃嚪馃嚧 2 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
142nd08-23 v Asteras Tripolis: +2.708-29 v Kalamata: +3.709-06 v Levadiakos: +3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.