Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 2 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚞馃嚪 Super League Greece

league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

Olympiakos Piraeus (4th) v OFI (5th)

1 73%
X 21%
2 6%
Prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 50%
vs performances: OFI +0.70 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes Olympiakos Piraeus clear favourites at 73%, with OFI at 6% and the draw at 21%. Olympiakos Piraeus are unbeaten in five (5 scored, 2 conceded). OFI have won 3 of their last five (10 scored, 6 conceded). Watch Ayoub El Kaabi 馃嚥馃嚘 and Konstantinos Tzolakis 馃嚞馃嚪 for Olympiakos Piraeus, and Thiago Nuss 馃嚘馃嚪 and Eddie Salcedo 馃嚠馃嚬 for OFI.

Olympiakos Piraeus: Dethroned: 24/25 champions finished 2nd in 25/26 despite El Kaabi's 18 goals and a 7-game win run; 2024 UECL winners pedigree intact. · OFI: Cup winners: beat PAOK in the final for their 2nd Greek Cup (first since 1987), earning a UEL playoff-round spot.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Olympiakos Piraeus (4th)

FOREIGN CORE 72%

Dethroned: 24/25 champions finished 2nd in 25/26 despite El Kaabi's 18 goals and a 7-game win run; 2024 UECL winners pedigree intact. Karaiskakis cauldron. UCL qualifying entry; biggest budget, must respond.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 65.3 in league · 2nd of 13
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 1st | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 4th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Volos NFCSuper League Greece
  • WA1-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League Greece
  • WH1-0 AtromitosSuper League Greece
  • LA1-2 NEC NijmegenUCL
  • DH0-0 NEC NijmegenUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNN match totals 1,2,1,1,2
Key players Rodinei 馃嚙馃嚪 71.2, Lorenzo Pirola 馃嚠馃嚬 68.4, Zinedin Smajlovi膰 馃嚙馃嚘 61.3, Panagiotis Retsos 馃嚞馃嚪 60.8, Bruno Onyemaechi 60.3
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 9 路 馃嚨馃嚬 6 路 馃嚙馃嚪 5 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
264th08-22 v Atromitos: +3.408-30 v Asteras Tripolis: +2.409-05 v Volos NFC: +0.0

OFI (5th)

Cup winners: beat PAOK in the final for their 2nd Greek Cup (first since 1987), earning a UEL playoff-round spot. Heraklion, Crete = flight-only away trip, island heat. Historic overachievement; Europe vs league balance now the test.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 56.1 in league · 5th of 13
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 5th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 KifisiaSuper League Greece
  • LA1-2 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League Greece
  • WA2-0 CSKA SofiaUEL
  • WH2-0 Volos NFCSuper League Greece
  • WH3-0 CSKA SofiaUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 5,4,2,3,2
Key players Nikos Christogeorgos 馃嚞馃嚪 76.9, Athanasios Androutsos 64.4, Andreas Bouchalakis 馃嚞馃嚪 60.7, Nikolaos Athanasiou 馃嚞馃嚪 57.6, Eddie Salcedo 馃嚠馃嚬 56.1
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 20 路 馃嚘馃嚪 2 路 馃嚥馃嚜 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚠馃嚬 1 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
375th08-23 v Volos NFC: +3.308-30 v Aris Thessalonikis: -2.209-06 v Kifisia: +2.8
league draws 28% · chaos 61lively

Iraklis 1908 (8th) v Atromitos (10th)

1 43%
X 29%
2 27%
Prediction: Iraklis 1908 to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 46%
vs performances: Atromitos -0.41 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes Iraklis 1908 narrow favourites at 43%, with Atromitos at 27% and the draw at 29%. Watch Makana Baku 馃嚛馃嚜 and Peter Michorl 馃嚘馃嚬 for Atromitos.

Iraklis 1908: Sleeping giant returns: historic Thessaloniki club (founded 1908) promoted as SL2 North champions with a 24-game unbeaten run after years of financial exile. · Atromitos: Peristeri survivors; closed 25/26 with a 6-0 rout of doomed Panserraikos.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Iraklis 1908 (8th)

Sleeping giant returns: historic Thessaloniki club (founded 1908) promoted as SL2 North champions with a 24-game unbeaten run after years of financial exile. Kaftanzoglio Stadium (27k). Restores a third Thessaloniki derby; survival-first.

Seasons 2026 so far: 8th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League Greece
  • DA1-1 Volos NFCSuper League Greece
  • LA0-4 AEK Athens FCSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 YNN match totals 4,2,2
Key players K. Ka茂bou茅 馃嚝馃嚪 55.4, Giorgos Athanasiadis 馃嚞馃嚪 49.4, Carles Soria 馃嚜馃嚫 47.0, Y. Roche 馃嚙馃嚡 46.7, Pi帽a 馃嚜馃嚫 44.8
Season pulse season 2026
8148th08-22 v AEK Athens FC: -5.008-29 v Volos NFC: +0.009-07 v Asteras Tripolis: +3.0

Atromitos (10th)

Peristeri survivors; closed 25/26 with a 6-0 rout of doomed Panserraikos. Small, awkward ground. Classic Greek mid-lower grinder; playout-zone gravity most years.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 50.0 in league · 6th of 13
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 9th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 10th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 KalamataSuper League Greece
  • LH1-2 PAOKSuper League Greece
  • LA0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League Greece
  • WH6-0 PanserraikosSuper League Greece
  • LA1-2 LarisaSuper League Greece
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 3,6,1,3,2
Key players Lefteris Choutesiotis 馃嚞馃嚪 65.9, Mattheos Mountes 馃嚞馃嚪 59.9, Dimitrios Stavropoulos 58.5, Steven Zuber 馃嚚馃嚟 58.2, Theocharis Tsingaras 馃嚞馃嚪 56.8
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 13 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚝馃嚠 1 路 馃嚘馃嚬 1 路 馃嚙馃嚜 1 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
91210th08-22 v Olympiakos Piraeus: -3.408-30 v PAOK: -2.209-06 v Kalamata: -0.1

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.