Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

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馃嚝馃嚠 Veikkausliiga

league draws 24% · chaos 64lively

KuPS (1st) v HJK Helsinki (3rd)

1 54%
X 24%
2 22%
Prediction: KuPS to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 63%
vs performances: KuPS +0.44 (7g) · HJK Helsinki +0.06 (5g)
Match preview

The model makes KuPS narrow favourites at 54%, with HJK Helsinki at 22% and the draw at 24%. HJK Helsinki have won 4 of their last five (10 scored, 5 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 63%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 63%. Watch Piotr Parzyszek 馃嚨馃嚤 and Clinton Antwi 馃嚞馃嚟 for KuPS, and Arttu Hoskonen 馃嚝馃嚠 and Anthony Olusanya 馃嚝馃嚠 for HJK Helsinki.

KuPS: Kuopio powerhouse: 2024+2025 champions, leaders again mid-2026 (30pts, one loss). · HJK Helsinki: Finland's record champions (30+ titles) in decline: title-less since 2023, 5th (22pts) mid-2026.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

KuPS (1st)

Kuopio powerhouse: 2024+2025 champions, leaders again mid-2026 (30pts, one loss). Deep squad, European group-stage experience (UECL). Savon Sanomat Areena turf. Three-peat is the base case; Euro-qualifier fatigue the main threat.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 1st | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 1st (44 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 GnistanVeikkausliiga
  • LA0-1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
  • WH1-0 Shamrock RoversUECL
  • LH2-4 MariehamnVeikkausliiga
  • DA1-1 Shamrock RoversUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 2,3,6,1,2
Key players Johannes Kreidl 馃嚘馃嚬 50.0, Petteri Pennanen 馃嚝馃嚠 41.5, Taneli H盲m盲l盲inen 馃嚝馃嚠 39.8, Bob Nii Armah 馃嚞馃嚟 38.7, Kasim Adams 馃嚞馃嚟 37.1
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚠 26 路 馃嚞馃嚟 5 路 馃嚫馃嚜 3 路 馃嚞馃嚦 2 路 馃嚘馃嚬 1 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
141st06-23 v Ilves: +2.806-27 v HJK Helsinki: +5.007-18 v SJK: +3.007-25 v VPS: +3.008-01 v Gnistan: +2.008-09 v Turku PS: +0.008-16 v Lahti: +2.008-23 v Mariehamn: -3.008-31 v Inter Turku: -2.009-08 v Gnistan: +0.0

HJK Helsinki (3rd)

Finland's record champions (30+ titles) in decline: title-less since 2023, 5th (22pts) mid-2026. Bolt Arena 10.7k, artificial turf, only Finnish club with UCL group history. Rebuild year; Europe via cup/placings still possible.

Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 3rd (40 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
  • WA2-1 IlvesVeikkausliiga
  • LH2-3 GnistanVeikkausliiga
  • WH3-0 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
  • LA0-2 MotherwellUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 1,3,5,3,3
Key players Ville Tikkanen 馃嚝馃嚠 39.5, Lucas Lingman 馃嚝馃嚠 36.7, Matej Markovi膰 29.6
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚠 34 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚞馃嚪 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 2 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
253rd06-27 v KuPS: -5.007-11 v Lahti: -3.007-18 v VPS: +2.007-26 v Turku PS: +2.008-03 v SJK: -4.008-09 v AC Oulu: +2.008-16 v FF Jaro: +4.008-23 v Gnistan: -2.008-31 v Ilves: +2.009-09 v Inter Turku: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.