Daily Football Model

2026-07-18 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki (5th) v VPS (3rd)

1 49%
X 25%
2 26%
Prediction: HJK Helsinki to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong)
Club briefings

HJK Helsinki (5th)

Finland's superpower: over 30 titles, the only Finnish side to reach the Champions League group stage (1998); every season starts with them as favourites and usually ends that way.

Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 5th (22 pts)
Form WDWLL
Goals for 5,3,4,0,0 conceded 2,3,0,4,2
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 7,6,4,4,2

VPS (3rd)

Vaasa's coastal club, two 1940s titles and a habit of bouncing between divisions; honest Ostrobothnian football.

Seasons 2023: 1st | 2024: 8th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 3rd (27 pts)
Form WWDWW
Goals for 2,5,1,4,1 conceded 1,1,1,0,0
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 3,6,2,4,1

AC Oulu (4th) v Gnistan (7th)

1 40%
X 26%
2 34%
Prediction: AC Oulu to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong)
Club briefings

AC Oulu (4th)

The north's top-flight outpost, football at the Baltic's latitude limit; survival specialists since returning in 2020.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 9th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 4th (26 pts)
Form DWLDL
Goals for 0,2,1,1,0 conceded 0,1,5,1,3
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 0,3,6,2,3

Gnistan (7th)

Helsinki's fourth club from the Oulunkylä district, a neighbourhood outfit living a top-flight dream.

Seasons 2024: 7th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 7th (22 pts)
Form WDDLW
Goals for 1,1,1,0,4 conceded 0,1,1,1,2
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 1,2,2,1,6

SJK (10th) v KuPS (1st)

1 23%
X 25%
2 53%
Prediction: KuPS to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong)
Club briefings

SJK (10th)

Seinäjoki's modern project, 2015 champions in only their eighth year of existence; artificial pitch, big ambitions, uneven delivery.

Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 4th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 10th (14 pts)
Form LDDWL
Goals for 1,1,2,3,0 conceded 2,1,2,1,1
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 3,2,4,4,1

KuPS (1st)

Kuopio's yellow machine, champions in 2019 and 2023-24 era contenders; the closest thing HJK has to a sustained rival.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 1st | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 1st (30 pts)
Form DDWWW
Goals for 1,1,2,4,4 conceded 1,1,1,3,0
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYY match totals 2,2,3,7,4