Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚜馃嚜 Meistriliiga

league draws 13% · chaos 69lively

Kalju Nomme (4th) v Trans Narva (10th)

1 75%
X 16%
2 8%
Prediction: Kalju Nomme to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 58%
Match preview

The model makes Kalju Nomme clear favourites at 75%, with Trans Narva at 8% and the draw at 16%. Kalju Nomme have lost 4 straight (7 scored, 9 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 58%. Watch M. M盲nnilaan 馃嚜馃嚜 and K. Kask 馃嚜馃嚜 for Kalju Nomme.

Kalju Nomme: N玫mme Kalju - Tallinn club, 2012/2018 champions and European regular; artificial pitch, cold calendar. · Trans Narva: Club from Narva on the Russian border, Estonia's Russian-speaking east, roughly 200km from Tallinn.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Kalju Nomme (4th)

N玫mme Kalju - Tallinn club, 2012/2018 champions and European regular; artificial pitch, cold calendar. UECL entrant; mid-to-strong domestic side.

Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 4th (44 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-2 N玫mme UnitedMeistriliiga
  • LA1-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
  • LH2-3 FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
  • LA0-1 LaagriMeistriliiga
  • WH3-1 VaprusMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 4,1,5,3,3
Key players M. M盲nnilaan 馃嚜馃嚜, K. Kask 馃嚜馃嚜, N. Ivanov 馃嚜馃嚜
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 17 路 馃嚭馃嚘 2 路 馃嚞馃嚩 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚠馃嚬 1 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
143rd06-28 v Paide: +0.007-03 v N玫mme United: +3.007-19 v Kuressaare: +0.008-02 v Tammeka: +5.008-08 v Trans Narva: +3.008-16 v Vaprus: +3.008-22 v Laagri: -2.008-30 v FC Levadia Tallinn: -2.009-05 v Flora Tallinn: -2.009-08 v N玫mme United: -2.0

Trans Narva (10th)

Club from Narva on the Russian border, Estonia's Russian-speaking east, roughly 200km from Tallinn. Collapsed in 2026: bottom on 9 pts from 14, three wins and 37 conceded. Artificial pitch, cold spring-autumn calendar.

Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 10th (18 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
  • LA1-3 KuressaareMeistriliiga
  • LH0-2 TammekaMeistriliiga
  • LA0-4 FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
  • DH1-1 PaideMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYY match totals 2,4,2,4,4
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 17 路 馃嚪馃嚭 4 路 馃嚭馃嚘 2 路 馃嚘馃嚪 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
51010th07-04 v FC Levadia Tallinn: -3.007-10 v Laagri: -4.007-18 v Vaprus: +3.007-31 v N玫mme United: +2.008-08 v Kalju Nomme: -3.008-16 v Paide: +0.008-21 v FC Levadia Tallinn: -5.008-30 v Tammeka: -3.009-05 v Kuressaare: -3.009-08 v Flora Tallinn: +0.0
league draws 13% · chaos 69lively

FC Levadia Tallinn (1st)🔥 v Vaprus (6th)

1 80%
X 15%
2 5%
Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 69%
Match preview

The model makes FC Levadia Tallinn clear favourites at 80%, with Vaprus at 5% and the draw at 15%. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive on a 5-game winning run (15 scored, 3 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 69%. Watch E. Otoo 馃嚞馃嚟 and R. Musaba 馃嚦馃嚤 for FC Levadia Tallinn.

FC Levadia Tallinn: Tallinn giant, serial Estonian champions; artificial pitches, cold Baltic calendar. · Vaprus: Parnu club from Estonia's summer resort city, mid-table in 2026 on 19 pts from 14 but leaky (29 conceded); capable of freak scorelines both ways.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC Levadia Tallinn (1st)🔥

Tallinn giant, serial Estonian champions; artificial pitches, cold Baltic calendar. UECL entrant; one of Estonia's big two, develops youth.

Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 1st | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 1st (65 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH4-0 KuressaareMeistriliiga
  • WA2-0 PaideMeistriliiga
  • WA3-2 Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
  • WH4-0 Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
  • WA2-1 LaagriMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 3,4,5,2,4
Key players E. Otoo 馃嚞馃嚟, R. Musaba 馃嚦馃嚤, E. Agyiri 馃嚞馃嚟
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 24 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 馃嚞馃嚦 1 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
131st06-20 v Kalju Nomme: +0.006-28 v Flora Tallinn: -2.007-04 v Trans Narva: +3.008-02 v Vaprus: +0.008-09 v N玫mme United: +6.008-16 v Laagri: +2.008-21 v Trans Narva: +5.008-30 v Kalju Nomme: +2.009-06 v Paide: +3.009-09 v Kuressaare: +5.0

Vaprus (6th)

Parnu club from Estonia's summer resort city, mid-table in 2026 on 19 pts from 14 but leaky (29 conceded); capable of freak scorelines both ways. Artificial pitch, spring-autumn calendar, modest crowds.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 6th (34 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-2 LaagriMeistriliiga
  • WH1-0 N玫mme UnitedMeistriliiga
  • DA2-2 KuressaareMeistriliiga
  • LH1-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
  • LA1-3 Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 4,3,4,1,5
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 26
Season pulse season 2026
3107th06-26 v Kuressaare: +2.007-04 v Paide: -3.007-11 v Tammeka: +5.007-18 v Trans Narva: -3.008-02 v FC Levadia Tallinn: +0.008-16 v Kalju Nomme: -3.008-23 v Flora Tallinn: -2.008-29 v Kuressaare: +0.009-05 v N玫mme United: +2.009-09 v Laagri: +2.0
league draws 13% · chaos 69lively

N玫mme United (9th) v Flora Tallinn (2nd)

1 9%
X 17%
2 74%
Prediction: Flora Tallinn to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 72%
Match preview

The model makes Flora Tallinn clear favourites at 74%, with N玫mme United at 9% and the draw at 17%. N玫mme United have lost 4 of their last five (4 scored, 9 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 66%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 72%. Watch R. Sappinen 馃嚜馃嚜 and M. Poom 馃嚜馃嚜 for Flora Tallinn.

N玫mme United: Young club from the Nomme district of Tallinn, still finding its level: 8th in 2026 on 13 pts from 14, but involved in open games (27 scored, 36 conceded). · Flora Tallinn: Estonia's most successful club, record champions; Lillek眉la (artificial turf), harsh winters.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

N玫mme United (9th)

Young club from the Nomme district of Tallinn, still finding its level: 8th in 2026 on 13 pts from 14, but involved in open games (27 scored, 36 conceded). Artificial pitch, minimal crowds, spring-autumn calendar.

Seasons 2024: 10th | 2026 so far: 9th (28 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-1 Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
  • LA0-1 VaprusMeistriliiga
  • LH1-2 LaagriMeistriliiga
  • LA1-4 PaideMeistriliiga
  • LH0-1 TammekaMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 1,5,3,1,3
Season pulse season 2026
3109th07-03 v Kalju Nomme: -3.007-11 v Kuressaare: +2.007-17 v Flora Tallinn: +2.007-31 v Trans Narva: -2.008-09 v FC Levadia Tallinn: -6.008-14 v Tammeka: -2.008-23 v Paide: -4.008-29 v Laagri: -2.009-05 v Vaprus: -2.009-08 v Kalju Nomme: +2.0

Flora Tallinn (2nd)

strong away

Estonia's most successful club, record champions; Lillek眉la (artificial turf), harsh winters. UCL/UECL entrant; academy powerhouse.

Seasons 2023: 1st | 2024: 4th | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 2nd (49 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
  • WH2-1 Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
  • WH3-2 TammekaMeistriliiga
  • LH1-2 PaideMeistriliiga
  • LA1-3 TammekaMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,3,5,3,4
Key players R. Sappinen 馃嚜馃嚜, M. Poom 馃嚜馃嚜, E. T玫ugjas 馃嚜馃嚜
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 33
Season pulse season 2026
172nd07-02 v Kuressaare: +4.007-17 v N玫mme United: -2.008-02 v Laagri: +2.008-16 v Kuressaare: -2.008-23 v Vaprus: +2.008-26 v Tammeka: -3.008-30 v Paide: -2.009-02 v Tammeka: +2.009-05 v Kalju Nomme: +2.009-08 v Trans Narva: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.