Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

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馃嚙馃嚜 Belgian Pro League

league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

Club Brugge KV (3rd) v Antwerp (10th)

⚡ SQUAD GAP: CLUB BRUGGE KV
1 71%
X 20%
2 9%
Prediction: Club Brugge KV to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 58%
vs performances: Club Brugge KV +0.24 (4g) · Antwerp +0.22 (3g)
Squad overlay · Club Brugge KV stronger by 0.44, shifted the price by up to 1.3 pts
xG overlay · Antwerp better on chances than on results by 0.46 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.6 pts
Match preview

The model makes Club Brugge KV clear favourites at 71%, with Antwerp at 9% and the draw at 20%. Club Brugge KV have won 4 of their last five (9 scored, 2 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 58%. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Club Brugge KV the stronger. Watch Hans Vanaken 馃嚙馃嚜 and Ferran Jutgl脿 馃嚜馃嚫 for Club Brugge KV, and V. Janssen 馃嚦馃嚤 and M. Fofana for Antwerp.

Antwerp: 2023 Belgian champions, big fanbase; the historic Bosuil.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Club Brugge KV (3rd)

strong at home

Bruges. Belgium's dominant modern club, multiple recent titles and UCL knockout runs; Jan Breydel Stadium. Predicted qualifier; deepest squad in Belgium, elite trading model.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 78.2 in league · 1st of 16
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 3rd (12 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-3 Aston VillaUCL
  • WA1-0 Lommel UnitedBelgian Pro League
  • LA1-2 GentBelgian Pro League
  • WH1-0 Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League
  • WA3-0 OH LeuvenBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 3,3,1,3,1
Key players Brandon Mechele 馃嚙馃嚜 80.6, Carlos Forbs 馃嚨馃嚬 78.0, Hans Vanaken 馃嚙馃嚜 77.2, Nicol貌 Tresoldi 馃嚛馃嚜 75.3, Mamadou Diakhon 馃嚝馃嚪 68.7
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 14 路 馃嚦馃嚤 3 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
143rd08-07 v Kortrijk: +5.208-15 v OH Leuven: +5.108-23 v Cercle Brugge: +2.508-30 v Gent: -2.409-04 v Lommel United: +2.0

Antwerp (10th)

2023 Belgian champions, big fanbase; the historic Bosuil. Predicted qualifier; title-winning core aging, still top-6.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 39.2 in league · 13th of 16
Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 10th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 Standard LiegeBelgian Pro League
  • LH1-4 St. TruidenBelgian Pro League
  • DH4-4 GenkBelgian Pro League
  • WA3-0 KortrijkBelgian Pro League
  • WH2-1 SK BeverenBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 3,3,8,5,1
Key players Anthony Valencia 馃嚜馃嚚 60.9, Rein Van Helden 馃嚙馃嚜 60.8, Daam Foulon 馃嚙馃嚜 60.3, Mauricio Benitez 55.9, Vincent Janssen 馃嚦馃嚤 54.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 17 路 馃嚦馃嚤 4 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 馃嚥馃嚤 2 路 馃嚡馃嚨 2 路 馃嚙馃嚞 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
21010th08-09 v SK Beveren: +2.608-15 v Kortrijk: +4.008-22 v Genk: -0.308-30 v St. Truiden: -5.309-05 v Standard Liege: -2.0
league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

Genk (8th) v Gent (1st)🔥

1 46%
X 26%
2 28%
Prediction: Genk to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
vs performances: Genk -0.58 (3g) · Gent +1.06 (3g)
Squad overlay · Genk stronger by 0.14, shifted the price by up to 0.6 pts
xG overlay · Genk better on chances than on results by 0.28 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.4 pts
Match preview

The model makes Genk narrow favourites at 46%, with Gent at 28% and the draw at 26%. Gent arrive on a 5-game winning run (10 scored, 2 conceded). Watch D. Heymans 馃嚙馃嚜 and Z. El Ouahdi 馃嚥馃嚘 for Genk, and L. Messi and Lautaro Mart铆nez 馃嚘馃嚪 for Gent.

Genk: Belgian champions of 2019, elite academy (Cercl茅 Brugge-style production line); Cegeka Arena.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Genk (8th)

draw merchants

Belgian champions of 2019, elite academy (Cercl茅 Brugge-style production line); Cegeka Arena. Predicted qualifier; top-4 regular, sells stars every window.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 68.3 in league · 3rd of 16
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 8th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 AnderlechtBelgian Pro League
  • WH4-0 SK BeverenBelgian Pro League
  • DA4-4 AntwerpBelgian Pro League
  • WH3-2 KVC WesterloBelgian Pro League
  • LA1-2 Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 3,5,8,4,0
Key players Josue Ndenge Kongolo 馃嚙馃嚜 71.7, Joris Kayembe Ditu 70.9, Matte Smets 馃嚙馃嚜 70.1, Bryan Heynen 馃嚙馃嚜 69.2, Junya Ito 馃嚡馃嚨 68.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 17 路 馃嚦馃嚞 3 路 馃嚘馃嚬 2 路 馃嚡馃嚨 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 馃嚚馃嚛 1 路 +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
5127th08-09 v Zulte Waregem: -2.008-15 v KVC Westerlo: +2.008-22 v Antwerp: +0.308-28 v SK Beveren: +6.009-06 v Anderlecht: +0.0

Gent (1st)🔥

Ghent. 2015 Belgian champions, UCL group alumni; Planet Group Arena. UECL entrant; consistent European qualifier, develops and sells.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 55.7 in league · 5th of 16
Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 9th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 1st (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-0 Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League
  • WH1-0 OH LeuvenBelgian Pro League
  • WH2-1 Club Brugge KVBelgian Pro League
  • WA3-2 HibernianUECL
  • DH0-0 HibernianUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 2,3,3,1,3
Key players Tibe De Vlieger 馃嚙馃嚜 74.2, Christian Burgess 69.2, Tiago Ara煤jo 馃嚨馃嚬 63.9, Davy Roef 馃嚙馃嚜 63.1, Mathias Delorge 61.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 15 路 馃嚡馃嚨 3 路 馃嚨馃嚬 3 路 馃嚫馃嚦 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 +14 more
Season pulse season 2026
181st08-09 v KV Mechelen: +3.408-16 v RAAL La Louvi猫re: +2.308-30 v Club Brugge KV: +2.409-03 v OH Leuven: +2.009-06 v Cercle Brugge: +4.0
league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

Zulte Waregem (5th) v Charleroi (4th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 37%
X 26%
2 37%
Prediction: Charleroi to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
vs performances: Zulte Waregem +0.77 (3g) · Charleroi +0.88 (4g)
Squad overlay · Zulte Waregem stronger by 0.01, shifted the price by up to 0.1 pts
xG overlay · Charleroi better on chances than on results by 0.31 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.5 pts
Match preview

The model makes Charleroi the marginal call at 37%, with Zulte Waregem at 37% and the draw at 26%. Zulte Waregem are unbeaten in five (10 scored, 3 conceded). Charleroi have won 4 of their last five (11 scored, 5 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Jeppe Erenbjerg 馃嚛馃嚢 and Joseph Opoku 馃嚞馃嚟 for Zulte Waregem, and Aur茅lien Scheidler 馃嚝馃嚪 and Parfait Guiagon 馃嚚馃嚠 for Charleroi.

Zulte Waregem: West-Flanders club (Essevee), two-time cup winner; Elindus Arena. · Charleroi: Hainaut club (the Zebras), solid Pro League mid-table fixture; Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Mambourg).

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Zulte Waregem (5th)

West-Flanders club (Essevee), two-time cup winner; Elindus Arena. Yo-yo side recently back up, attacking tradition, mid-table-to-scrappy.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 55.1 in league · 6th of 16
Seasons 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 5th (11 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 KortrijkBelgian Pro League
  • DA2-2 KVC WesterloBelgian Pro League
  • WH4-0 SK BeverenBelgian Pro League
  • DA0-0 Union St. GilloiseBelgian Pro League
  • WH2-1 GenkBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 3,0,4,4,2
Key players Anosike Ementa 馃嚛馃嚢 69.3, Tobias Hedl 馃嚘馃嚬 68.4, Brent Gabriel 68.3, Marley Ak茅 馃嚝馃嚪 64.2, Yannick Cappelle 馃嚙馃嚜 58.0
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 16 路 馃嚛馃嚢 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
275th08-09 v Genk: +2.008-15 v Union St. Gilloise: +0.008-22 v SK Beveren: +5.908-30 v KVC Westerlo: -0.309-06 v Kortrijk: +3.0

Charleroi (4th)

Hainaut club (the Zebras), solid Pro League mid-table fixture; Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Mambourg). Develops and sells, industrial-city support, rarely troubles the top but rarely drops.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 53.9 in league · 7th of 16
Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 4th (12 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-3 Union St. GilloiseBelgian Pro League
  • WA3-1 KortrijkBelgian Pro League
  • WH2-0 KV MechelenBelgian Pro League
  • WA1-0 Lommel UnitedBelgian Pro League
  • WH3-1 OH LeuvenBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 4,1,2,4,5
Key players Aiham Ousou 馃嚫馃嚜 69.8, Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 馃嚛馃嚳 69.0, Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 馃嚦馃嚧 62.7, Patrick Pfl眉cke 馃嚛馃嚜 61.7, Yassine Khalifi 馃嚥馃嚘 58.8
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 13 路 馃嚝馃嚪 7 路 馃嚥馃嚘 3 路 馃嚦馃嚧 2 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚛馃嚳 2 路 +8 more
Season pulse season 2026
154th08-09 v OH Leuven: +3.908-16 v Lommel United: +2.508-22 v KV Mechelen: +3.608-29 v Kortrijk: +3.209-05 v Union St. Gilloise: -2.0
league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

RAAL La Louvi猫re (16th) v Kortrijk (18th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 49%
X 25%
2 25%
Prediction: RAAL La Louvi猫re to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 43%
vs performances: RAAL La Louvi猫re -0.80 (3g)
xG overlay · RAAL La Louvi猫re better on chances than on results by 0.20 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.0 pts
Match preview

The model makes RAAL La Louvi猫re narrow favourites at 49%, with Kortrijk at 25% and the draw at 25%. RAAL La Louvi猫re have lost 4 of their last five (4 scored, 12 conceded). Kortrijk have lost 5 straight (1 scored, 12 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Jordi Liongola 馃嚙馃嚠 and Pape Moussa Fall 馃嚫馃嚦 for RAAL La Louvi猫re.

RAAL La Louvi猫re: Resurrected Wallonia club, freshly promoted after a rapid rise; modest ground. · Kortrijk: West-Flanders club (the Kerels), Guldensporen Stadion; lower-mid Pro League side, frequent relegation battler, modest budget.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

RAAL La Louvi猫re (16th)

FOREIGN CORE 79%

Resurrected Wallonia club, freshly promoted after a rapid rise; modest ground. Ambitious newcomer, top-flight survival the first task.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 27.9 in league · 16th of 16
Seasons 2025: 15th | 2026 so far: 16th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-4 St. TruidenBelgian Pro League
  • DH2-2 KV MechelenBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-2 Standard LiegeBelgian Pro League
  • LH1-2 GentBelgian Pro League
  • LA1-2 AnderlechtBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,3,2,4,4
Key players Elias Filet 56.4, Zsombor Gruber 馃嚟馃嚭 55.4, Nolan Gillot 馃嚝馃嚪 54.7, Wagane Faye 馃嚫馃嚦 54.7, Sami Lahssaini 馃嚙馃嚜 52.4
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 14 路 馃嚙馃嚜 7 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 馃嚘馃嚪 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
131616th08-09 v Anderlecht: -3.208-16 v Gent: -2.308-21 v Standard Liege: -3.008-29 v KV Mechelen: +0.009-05 v St. Truiden: -5.0

Kortrijk (18th)

West-Flanders club (the Kerels), Guldensporen Stadion; lower-mid Pro League side, frequent relegation battler, modest budget.

Seasons 2023: 14th | 2024: 15th | 2026 so far: 18th (0 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-1 AnderlechtBelgian Pro League
  • LH1-3 CharleroiBelgian Pro League
  • LH0-3 AntwerpBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-3 Club Brugge KVBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 3,3,4,1,2
Key players Brecht Dejaegere 52.2, R. 艩torman 馃嚫馃嚠 50.7, Gilles Ruyssen 50.0, Thierry Ambrose 48.8, Goduine Koyalipou 馃嚝馃嚪 47.1
Season pulse season 2026
171818th08-07 v Club Brugge KV: -5.208-15 v Antwerp: -4.008-29 v Charleroi: -3.209-03 v Anderlecht: -2.009-06 v Zulte Waregem: -3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.