Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚙馃嚜 Belgian Pro League

league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

SK Beveren (12th) v St. Truiden (7th)

1 22%
X 24%
2 54%
Prediction: St. Truiden to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
vs performances: SK Beveren +0.27 (5g) · St. Truiden -0.09 (4g)
Match preview

The model makes St. Truiden narrow favourites at 54%, with SK Beveren at 22% and the draw at 24%. Watch Chris Lokesa 馃嚙馃嚜 and Yoni Gomis 馃嚫馃嚦 for SK Beveren, and Keisuke Goto 馃嚡馃嚨 and Ryotaro Ito 馃嚡馃嚨 for St. Truiden.

SK Beveren: Waasland club, 1979/1984 Belgian champions long fallen and now back up; the Freethiel.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

SK Beveren (12th)

Waasland club, 1979/1984 Belgian champions long fallen and now back up; the Freethiel. Historic pedigree, rebuilding, promoted-side profile.

Seasons 2026 so far: 12th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-0 OH LeuvenBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-4 GenkBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-4 Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro League
  • WH1-0 AnderlechtBelgian Pro League
  • LA1-2 AntwerpBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 3,1,4,4,3
Key players Johannes Schenk 馃嚛馃嚜 61.7🔥, Yoni Gomis 馃嚫馃嚦 57.4, Christian Br眉ls 57.2, Chris Lokesa 馃嚙馃嚜 52.8, Christophe Janssens 51.6
Season pulse season 2026
91412th08-09 v Antwerp: -2.608-16 v Anderlecht: +1.808-22 v Zulte Waregem: -5.908-28 v Genk: -6.009-06 v OH Leuven: +4.9

St. Truiden (7th)

Sint-Truiden. STVV, Japanese-owned (DMM) at Stayen; mid-table Pro League side and a landing spot for Japanese talent, whom it develops and sells on.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 61.7 in league · 4th of 16
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 14th | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 7th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH4-0 RAAL La Louvi猫reBelgian Pro League
  • LH0-3 Union St. GilloiseBelgian Pro League
  • WA4-1 AntwerpBelgian Pro League
  • LA2-4 Omonia NicosiaUEL
  • WH1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 2,6,5,3,4
Key players Ryan Merlen 馃嚝馃嚪 71.9, Ryotaro Ito 馃嚡馃嚨 67.9, Visar Musliu 馃嚥馃嚢 67.6, L茅o Kokubo 馃嚡馃嚨 65.6, Shogo Taniguchi 馃嚡馃嚨 65.6
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 12 路 馃嚡馃嚨 8 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚥馃嚘 2 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 馃嚥馃嚞 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
5128th08-08 v Lommel United: +0.208-14 v Cercle Brugge: -1.108-30 v Antwerp: +5.309-02 v Union St. Gilloise: -4.809-05 v RAAL La Louvi猫re: +5.0
league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

KVC Westerlo (13th) v Standard Liege (6th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 39%
X 26%
2 35%
Prediction: KVC Westerlo to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
vs performances: KVC Westerlo -0.77 (3g) · Standard Liege +0.67 (4g)
Squad overlay · Standard Liege stronger by 0.22, shifted the price by up to 0.9 pts
xG overlay · KVC Westerlo better on chances than on results by 0.76 goals, shifted the price by up to 3.7 pts
Match preview

The model makes KVC Westerlo the marginal call at 39%, with Standard Liege at 35% and the draw at 26%. Standard Liege arrive on a 3-game winning run (10 scored, 6 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Nacho Ferri 馃嚜馃嚫 and Isa Sakamoto 馃嚡馃嚨 for KVC Westerlo, and Rafiki Sa茂d 馃嚢馃嚥 and Ibe Hautekiet 馃嚙馃嚜 for Standard Liege.

KVC Westerlo: Small-town Kempen club, tidy Het Kuipje; established top-flight side that develops youth and sells. · Standard Liege: Fallen Li猫ge giant, multiple champions with a ferocious Sclessin support; among Belgium's biggest fanbases despite financial turmoil and years away from the title race.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

KVC Westerlo (13th)

FOREIGN CORE 66%

Small-town Kempen club, tidy Het Kuipje; established top-flight side that develops youth and sells. Overachiever relative to its size, mid-table profile.

Style Territorial control from 2025
Squad quality 32.3 in league · 14th of 16
Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 13th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA4-0 KV MechelenBelgian Pro League
  • DH2-2 Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-4 Lommel UnitedBelgian Pro League
  • LA2-3 GenkBelgian Pro League
  • LH1-5 Union St. GilloiseBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 6,5,4,4,4
Key players Do臒ucan Haspolat 馃嚬馃嚪 65.3, Shunsuke Saito 馃嚡馃嚨 59.1, Lasse Fl酶 馃嚛馃嚢 58.0, Amando Lapage 馃嚙馃嚜 52.3, Roman Neust盲dter 馃嚪馃嚭 52.3
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 13 路 馃嚬馃嚪 3 路 馃嚡馃嚨 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚭馃嚫 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
121813th08-08 v Union St. Gilloise: -5.508-15 v Genk: -2.008-23 v Lommel United: -5.308-30 v Zulte Waregem: +0.309-05 v KV Mechelen: +5.0

Standard Liege (6th)

Fallen Li猫ge giant, multiple champions with a ferocious Sclessin support; among Belgium's biggest fanbases despite financial turmoil and years away from the title race.

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 52.1 in league · 8th of 16
Seasons 2023: 13th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 6th (11 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 AntwerpBelgian Pro League
  • WA2-1 OH LeuvenBelgian Pro League
  • WH2-0 RAAL La Louvi猫reBelgian Pro League
  • DA3-3 KV MechelenBelgian Pro League
  • DH2-2 Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 4,6,2,3,1
Key players Casper Nielsen 馃嚛馃嚢 70.7, Adnane Abid 馃嚙馃嚜 70.1, Lucas Pirard 馃嚙馃嚜 64.2, Bruny Nsimba 馃嚙馃嚜 59.4, Dennis Eckert Ayensa 馃嚛馃嚜 58.7🔥
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 16 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 馃嚥馃嚞 1 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
3126th08-08 v Cercle Brugge: +0.608-16 v KV Mechelen: -0.608-21 v RAAL La Louvi猫re: +3.008-29 v OH Leuven: +1.709-05 v Antwerp: +2.0
league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

OH Leuven (17th) v Cercle Brugge (14th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 35%
X 26%
2 39%
Prediction: Cercle Brugge to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 53%
vs performances: OH Leuven -0.75 (4g) · Cercle Brugge -0.72 (4g)
Squad overlay · OH Leuven stronger by 0.04, shifted the price by up to 0.2 pts
xG overlay · Cercle Brugge better on chances than on results by 0.14 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.7 pts
Match preview

The model makes Cercle Brugge the marginal call at 39%, with OH Leuven at 35% and the draw at 26%. OH Leuven have lost 5 straight (2 scored, 12 conceded). Cercle Brugge have lost 3 straight (5 scored, 10 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Ewoud Pletinckx 馃嚙馃嚜 and Youssef Maziz 馃嚝馃嚪 for OH Leuven, and Fl谩vio Nazinho 馃嚨馃嚬 and E. Diop 馃嚝馃嚪 for Cercle Brugge.

OH Leuven: Leuven club, King Power-owned (Leicester's sister club) at Den Dreef; mid-table Pro League side, uses the group's loan pipeline. · Cercle Brugge: Monaco-linked Bruges club, development-focused; shares Jan Breydel.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

OH Leuven (17th)

Leuven club, King Power-owned (Leicester's sister club) at Den Dreef; mid-table Pro League side, uses the group's loan pipeline.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 43.7 in league · 10th of 16
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 12th | 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 17th (0 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-3 SK BeverenBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-1 GentBelgian Pro League
  • LH1-2 Standard LiegeBelgian Pro League
  • LH0-3 Club Brugge KVBelgian Pro League
  • LA1-3 CharleroiBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 4,3,3,1,3
Key players Youssef Maziz 馃嚝馃嚪 63.0, Siebe Schrijvers 馃嚙馃嚜 61.4, Dani van den Heuvel 馃嚦馃嚤 60.6, Takuma Ominami 馃嚡馃嚨 55.8, Davis Opoku 馃嚙馃嚜 54.7
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 19 路 馃嚡馃嚨 3 路 馃嚞馃嚦 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚥馃嚘 1 路 馃嚚馃嚛 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
161717th08-09 v Charleroi: -3.908-15 v Club Brugge KV: -5.108-29 v Standard Liege: -1.709-03 v Gent: -2.009-06 v SK Beveren: -4.9

Cercle Brugge (14th)

FOREIGN CORE 69%

Monaco-linked Bruges club, development-focused; shares Jan Breydel. Predicted qualifier; small budget, overachieving European qualifier.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 40.0 in league · 12th of 16
Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 13th | 2026 so far: 14th (2 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-3 GentBelgian Pro League
  • LH0-1 Lommel UnitedBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-1 Club Brugge KVBelgian Pro League
  • DH3-3 St. TruidenBelgian Pro League
  • DA2-2 Standard LiegeBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 4,6,1,1,3
Key players Geoffrey Kondo 馃嚝馃嚪 59.9, Gary Magnee 57.9, Valy Konat茅 馃嚚馃嚠 57.4, Oumar Diakit茅 馃嚚馃嚠 57.1, Christiaan Ravych 馃嚙馃嚜 56.6
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 11 路 馃嚝馃嚪 5 路 馃嚞馃嚦 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 3 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
31414th08-08 v Standard Liege: -0.608-14 v St. Truiden: +1.108-23 v Club Brugge KV: -2.508-29 v Lommel United: -2.209-06 v Gent: -4.0
league draws 25% · chaos 87volatile

Union St. Gilloise (2nd)🔥 v Lommel United (9th)

1 68%
X 21%
2 11%
Prediction: Union St. Gilloise to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 40%
vs performances: Union St. Gilloise +1.00 (3g) · Lommel United +0.44 (4g)
Squad overlay · Union St. Gilloise stronger by 0.23, shifted the price by up to 0.8 pts
Match preview

The model makes Union St. Gilloise clear favourites at 68%, with Lommel United at 11% and the draw at 21%. Union St. Gilloise arrive on a 3-game winning run (14 scored, 3 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 40%). Watch Anan Khalaili 馃嚠馃嚤 and Adem Zorgane 馃嚛馃嚳 for Union St. Gilloise, and Lucas Schoofs 馃嚙馃嚜 and Ralf Seuntjens 馃嚦馃嚤 for Lommel United.

Union St. Gilloise: Fairytale Brussels club: title challengers and UCL participants after decades away; tiny historic Stade Joseph Marien. · Lommel United: City Football Group-owned Limburg club, development-focused feeder in the CFG network; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Union St. Gilloise (2nd)🔥

strong at homeFOREIGN CORE 69%

Fairytale Brussels club: title challengers and UCL participants after decades away; tiny historic Stade Joseph Marien. Predicted qualifier; data-driven, punches far above its ground.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 71.2 in league · 2nd of 16
Seasons 2023: 1st | 2024: 1st | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 2nd (13 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 CharleroiBelgian Pro League
  • WA3-0 St. TruidenBelgian Pro League
  • WH3-0 AnderlechtBelgian Pro League
  • DH0-0 Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro League
  • LA2-3 Bodo/GlimtUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 6,0,3,3,5
Key players Besfort Zeneli 馃嚱馃嚢 76.4, Ross Sykes 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 72.1, Kevin Mac Allister 馃嚘馃嚪 71.8, Massire Sylla 馃嚫馃嚦 67.1, Mateo Biondic 馃嚛馃嚜 65.3
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 11 路 馃嚫馃嚦 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 2 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 +14 more
Season pulse season 2026
192nd08-08 v KVC Westerlo: +5.508-15 v Zulte Waregem: +0.008-30 v Anderlecht: +4.109-02 v St. Truiden: +4.809-05 v Charleroi: +2.0

Lommel United (9th)

City Football Group-owned Limburg club, development-focused feeder in the CFG network; small ground. Youth-heavy, results volatile, a talent conduit more than a title threat.

Squad quality 50.6 in league · 9th of 16
Seasons 2026 so far: 9th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-1 Club Brugge KVBelgian Pro League
  • WA1-0 Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League
  • WH4-0 KVC WesterloBelgian Pro League
  • LH0-1 CharleroiBelgian Pro League
  • DA1-1 St. TruidenBelgian Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNN match totals 2,1,4,1,1
Key players Jason van Duiven 馃嚦馃嚤 70.3, Dries Wouters 馃嚙馃嚜 69.0, Lucas Schoofs 馃嚙馃嚜 61.6, Tom Reyners 馃嚙馃嚜 60.0, Ralf Seuntjens 馃嚦馃嚤 57.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 7 路 馃嚦馃嚤 5 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1 路 馃嚟馃嚭 1 路 馃嚚馃嚧 1 路 馃嚘馃嚪 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
4139th08-08 v St. Truiden: -0.208-16 v Charleroi: -2.508-23 v KVC Westerlo: +5.308-29 v Cercle Brugge: +2.209-04 v Club Brugge KV: -2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.