Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 2 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚘馃嚬 Austrian Bundesliga

league draws 24% · chaos 44orderly

SCR Altach (11th) v Grazer AK (10th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 41%
X 26%
2 34%
Prediction: SCR Altach to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 44%
vs performances: SCR Altach -0.65 (5g) · Grazer AK -0.12 (4g)
Squad overlay · Grazer AK stronger by 0.01, shifted the price by up to 0.0 pts
xG overlay · SCR Altach better on chances than on results by 0.15 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.7 pts
Match preview

The model makes SCR Altach the marginal call at 41%, with Grazer AK at 34% and the draw at 26%. SCR Altach have lost 3 straight (4 scored, 8 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Patrick Greil 馃嚘馃嚬 and Yann Massombo 馃嚝馃嚪 for SCR Altach, and Ramiz Harakate and Beres Owusu 馃嚝馃嚪 for Grazer AK.

SCR Altach: Vorarlberg club, tidy Cashpoint Arena; established mid-to-lower Austrian side, develops and sells, relegation battler most years. · Grazer AK: Historic Graz club (GAK), 2004 champions/cup winners revived from the lower leagues; Merkur Arena groundshare.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

SCR Altach (11th)

Vorarlberg club, tidy Cashpoint Arena; established mid-to-lower Austrian side, develops and sells, relegation battler most years.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 38.9 in league · 9th of 11
Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 12th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 11th (3 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-3 Lask LinzAustrian Bundesliga
  • LH1-2 TSV HartbergAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA0-1 Sturm GrazAustrian Bundesliga
  • WH3-1 WSG WattensAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA0-1 Rapid ViennaAustrian Bundesliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYY match totals 1,4,1,3,3
Key players Patrick Greil 馃嚘馃嚬 58.8, Niklas Niehoff 馃嚛馃嚜 58.0, Dejan Stojanovi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 52.7, Mike-Steven B盲hre 馃嚛馃嚜 47.9, Benjamin B枚ckle 馃嚘馃嚬 47.2
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚬 27 路 馃嚙馃嚝 2 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚥馃嚤 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚘馃嚤 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
51111th08-02 v Rapid Vienna: -2.108-07 v WSG Wattens: +3.508-15 v Sturm Graz: -2.208-22 v TSV Hartberg: -1.708-29 v Lask Linz: -5.3

Grazer AK (10th)

Historic Graz club (GAK), 2004 champions/cup winners revived from the lower leagues; Merkur Arena groundshare. Passionate support, back up, survival-focused.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 40.1 in league · 8th of 11
Seasons 2024: 10th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 10th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 Wolfsberger ACAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA0-1 RiedAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA0-8 Rapid ViennaAustrian Bundesliga
  • WH2-1 Austria LustenauAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA0-3 Lask LinzAustrian Bundesliga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 3,3,8,1,0
Key players Jacob Italiano 馃嚘馃嚭 54.3, Alexander Hofleitner 馃嚘馃嚬 53.3, Peter Michorl 馃嚘馃嚬 53.3, Mark Gro脽e 馃嚘馃嚬 52.1, Donovan Pines 馃嚭馃嚫 49.3
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚬 19 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1 路 馃嚪馃嚧 1 路 馃嚬馃嚞 1 路 +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
71210th07-31 v Lask Linz: -4.808-08 v Austria Lustenau: +2.508-16 v Rapid Vienna: -6.008-21 v Ried: -2.408-29 v Wolfsberger AC: +0.0
league draws 24% · chaos 44orderly

Wolfsberger AC (7th) v Rapid Vienna (3rd)

⚡ SQUAD GAP: RAPID VIENNA
1 32%
X 26%
2 42%
Prediction: Rapid Vienna to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 48%
vs performances: Wolfsberger AC +0.14 (3g) · Rapid Vienna +0.94 (4g)
Squad overlay · Rapid Vienna stronger by 0.39, shifted the price by up to 0.7 pts
xG overlay · Rapid Vienna better on chances than on results by 0.60 goals, shifted the price by up to 2.8 pts
Match preview

The model makes Rapid Vienna narrow favourites at 42%, with Wolfsberger AC at 32% and the draw at 26%. Rapid Vienna have won 4 of their last five (15 scored, 7 conceded). On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Rapid Vienna the stronger. Watch D. Zuki膰 馃嚪馃嚫 and D. Baumgartner 馃嚘馃嚬 for Wolfsberger AC, and M. Seidl 馃嚘馃嚬 and B. Bolla 馃嚟馃嚭 for Rapid Vienna.

Wolfsberger AC: Small-town Carinthian club (Wolfsberg), punching into Europe; Lavanttal Arena. · Rapid Vienna: Austria's most-supported club, record 32 titles; Allianz Stadion, ferocious West-stand atmosphere.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Wolfsberger AC (7th)

Small-town Carinthian club (Wolfsberg), punching into Europe; Lavanttal Arena. Predicted qualifier; overachiever with a modest budget.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 35.1 in league · 11th of 11
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 7th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-3 Lask LinzAustrian Bundesliga
  • DA0-0 Grazer AKAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA1-2 Austria LustenauAustrian Bundesliga
  • DH1-1 Red Bull SalzburgAustrian Bundesliga
  • WH3-0 Austria ViennaAustrian Bundesliga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNY match totals 3,2,3,0,4
Key players Boris Matic 52.7, Nicolas Wimmer 馃嚘馃嚬 50.0, Giacomo Vrioni 馃嚘馃嚤 49.2, Thorsten Schriebl 馃嚘馃嚬 49.1, Raffael Behounek 馃嚘馃嚬 46.5
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚬 20 路 馃嚚馃嚠 4 路 馃嚪馃嚫 3 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 2 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
277th08-02 v Austria Vienna: +5.108-09 v Red Bull Salzburg: -1.308-15 v Austria Lustenau: -2.808-29 v Grazer AK: +0.009-01 v Lask Linz: -3.0

Rapid Vienna (3rd)

Austria's most-supported club, record 32 titles; Allianz Stadion, ferocious West-stand atmosphere. UECL entrant; European regular, title challenger.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 67.0 in league · 2nd of 11
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 3rd (12 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-5 Red Bull SalzburgAustrian Bundesliga
  • WH3-1 Sturm GrazAustrian Bundesliga
  • DH1-1 Heart Of MidlothianUECL
  • DA2-2 Heart Of MidlothianUECL
  • WH8-0 Grazer AKAustrian Bundesliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 1,3,8,4,6
Key players Matthias Seidl 馃嚘馃嚬 71.6, Yusuf Demir 馃嚘馃嚬 68.2, Nenad Cvetkovi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 64.3, Tonni Adamsen 馃嚛馃嚢 62.4, Jakob Sch枚ller 馃嚘馃嚬 56.0
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚬 20 路 馃嚝馃嚪 4 路 馃嚦馃嚧 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚛馃嚜 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
143rd08-02 v SCR Altach: +2.108-09 v Ried: +2.208-16 v Grazer AK: +6.008-30 v Sturm Graz: +3.609-02 v Red Bull Salzburg: -5.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.