Daily Football Model

2026-09-16 · 9 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

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馃嚜馃嚭 Europa League

league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Ararat-Armenia v Sparta Praha

✈ LONG TRIP: 2,580 KM
1 21%
X 25%
2 54%
Prediction: Sparta Praha to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 48%
Match preview

The model makes Sparta Praha narrow favourites at 54%, with Ararat-Armenia at 21% and the draw at 25%. Sparta Praha travel 2,580 km for it. Watch L. Harasl铆n 馃嚫馃嚢 and J. Kuchta 馃嚚馃嚳 for Sparta Praha.

Ararat-Armenia: Modern Armenian force, several recent titles and European runs; Yerevan-based (~1,000m altitude).

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Ararat-Armenia

Modern Armenian force, several recent titles and European runs; Yerevan-based (~1,000m altitude). Qualified via the Champions League route. Foreign-heavy squad.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Universitatea CraiovaUEL
  • DA1-1 Universitatea CraiovaUEL
  • LA0-2 CeljeUCL
  • WH2-1 CeljeUCL
  • LA1-2 Shamrock RoversUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 3,3,2,2,1
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚥 8 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚨馃嚬 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 +1 more

Sparta Praha

Prague. Czech giant, record champions and 24/25 UCL league-phase participant; Letn谩 (epet Arena). Predicted qualifier. Deepest squad in Czechia, huge fanbase.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 49.2 all Europe · Chance Liga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 FK JablonecChance Liga
  • LA1-2 Hradec Kr谩lov茅Chance Liga
  • LH0-3 Slavia PrahaChance Liga
  • WA4-0 ArtisChance Liga
  • WH4-1 TepliceChance Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,3,4,3,3
Key players Roman Macek 馃嚚馃嚳 62.6, Adam Karabec 馃嚚馃嚳 61.2, Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal 馃嚦馃嚧 60.0, John Mercado 馃嚜馃嚚 55.5, Lo茂c Mbe Soh 馃嚝馃嚪 55.3
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚳 16 路 馃嚛馃嚢 4 路 馃嚫馃嚢 3 路 馃嚦馃嚧 3 路 馃嚘馃嚤 2 路 馃嚜馃嚚 2 路 +14 more
Season pulse season 2026
4169th07-25 v Zbrojovka Brno: -3.407-31 v Zlin: +3.608-08 v Mlada Boleslav: -3.408-15 v Teplice: +4.008-22 v Artis: +5.308-30 v Slavia Praha: -3.809-06 v Hradec Kr谩lov茅: -2.009-12 v FK Jablonec: +3.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo

✈ LONG TRIP: 3,697 KM
1 20%
X 25%
2 56%
Prediction: Celta Vigo to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 46%
Match preview

The model makes Celta Vigo clear favourites at 56%, with Omonia Nicosia at 20% and the draw at 25%. Celta Vigo travel 3,697 km for it. Watch Willy Semedo 馃嚚馃嚮 and Ewandro 馃嚙馃嚪 for Omonia Nicosia.

Omonia Nicosia: Cyprus's biggest fanbase (green half of Nicosia), 2021-22 UEL group alumni; GSP Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Omonia Nicosia

Cyprus's biggest fanbase (green half of Nicosia), 2021-22 UEL group alumni; GSP Stadium. Qualified via the Champions League route as domestic champions. Loud home support; heat a factor.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH4-2 St. TruidenUEL
  • LA0-1 St. TruidenUEL
  • WH1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEL
  • DA1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEL
  • LA0-1 Kairat AlmatyUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 0,2,1,1,6
Key players Willy Semedo 馃嚚馃嚮, Ewandro 馃嚙馃嚪, R. Mmaee 馃嚥馃嚘
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚲 10 路 馃嚞馃嚪 3 路 馃嚥馃嚘 3 路 馃嚥馃嚜 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚨馃嚤 2 路 +10 more

Celta Vigo

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 64.4 all Europe · La Liga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 MalagaLa Liga
  • DA1-1 GetafeLa Liga
  • DA0-0 Real SociedadLa Liga
  • LH0-2 Athletic ClubLa Liga
  • LH1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 1,2,2,3,4
Key players Marcos Alonso 馃嚜馃嚫 72.9, Carl Starfelt 馃嚫馃嚜 72.4, Aleix Febas 馃嚜馃嚫 71.2, Ferran Jutgl脿 馃嚜馃嚫 67.3, Alvaro N煤帽ez 66.2
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 23 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚪馃嚧 1 路 馃嚞馃嚦 1 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1 路 馃嚘馃嚪 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
71715th08-22 v Valencia: +0.008-27 v Osasuna: -3.308-30 v Athletic Club: -4.009-03 v Real Sociedad: +0.009-07 v Getafe: +0.209-13 v Malaga: +0.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

AC Milan v Benfica🔥

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 44%
X 27%
2 29%
Prediction: AC Milan to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
Match preview

The model makes AC Milan narrow favourites at 44%, with Benfica at 29% and the draw at 27%. Benfica are unbeaten in five (18 scored, 4 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Vangelis Pavlidis 馃嚞馃嚪 and Anatoliy Trubin 馃嚭馃嚘 for Benfica.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

AC Milan

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 71.8 all Europe · Serie A
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 LazioSerie A
  • DA1-1 JuventusSerie A
  • WH2-0 VeneziaSerie A
  • WA2-1 TorinoSerie A
  • LH1-2 CagliariSerie A
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNN match totals 3,1,3,1,2
Key players Mario Gila Fuentes 馃嚚馃嚤 79.6, Luka Modri膰 馃嚟馃嚪 78.5, Strahinja Pavlovi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 77.4, Mike Maignan 馃嚝馃嚪 76.7, Adrien Rabiot 馃嚝馃嚪 75.9
Nationalities 馃嚠馃嚬 11 路 馃嚝馃嚪 5 路 馃嚭馃嚫 2 路 馃嚙馃嚜 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 2 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
155th08-23 v Torino: +2.308-28 v Venezia: +3.709-06 v Juventus: +0.009-12 v Lazio: -0.5

Benfica🔥

Lisbon. Wild 25/26: Mourinho arrived Sept 2025, went 34 league games unbeaten - and still finished 3rd (80pts) behind Porto and Sporting on draws. Rui Costa re-elected. Luz 65k. Europa League; draw-heavy profile must convert to wins.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 64.6 all Europe · Primeira Liga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-1 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
  • WA4-0 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
  • WA3-0 MaritimoPrimeira Liga
  • WH2-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga
  • WA3-1 AarhusUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 5,7,2,4,4
Key players Gianluca Prestianni 馃嚘馃嚪 81.7, Andreas Schjelderup 馃嚦馃嚧 76.8, Vangelis Pavlidis 馃嚞馃嚪 76.1, Cl茅ment Lenglet 馃嚝馃嚪 67.9, Tom谩s Ara煤jo 馃嚨馃嚬 66.9
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚬 19 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚭馃嚘 2 路 馃嚦馃嚧 2 路 馃嚙馃嚘 1 路 馃嚙馃嚜 1 路 +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
292nd08-09 v Academico Viseu: +1.008-17 v Casa Pia: +6.008-31 v Estoril: +2.809-05 v Maritimo: +4.009-09 v Moreirense: +6.009-13 v GIL Vicente: +3.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Anderlecht🔥 v Lyon

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH⚡ SQUAD GAP: LYON
1 32%
X 27%
2 41%
Prediction: Lyon to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
Match preview

The model makes Lyon the marginal call at 41%, with Anderlecht at 32% and the draw at 27%. Anderlecht arrive on a 5-game winning run (13 scored, 3 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Lyon the stronger. Watch Yari Verschaeren 馃嚙馃嚜 and Mario Stroeykens 馃嚙馃嚜 for Anderlecht, and Corentin Tolisso 馃嚝馃嚪 and Malick Fofana 馃嚙馃嚜 for Lyon.

Lyon: 4th = back in the Champions League, a real recovery after the DNCG financial scare era.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Anderlecht🔥

Brussels. Belgium's record champions (34 titles) in a long trophy drought; Lotto Park, huge fanbase. UEL entrant; elite academy, top-4 profile, title pressure constant.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 55.8 all Europe · Belgian Pro League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 KV MechelenBelgian Pro League
  • DH0-0 GenkBelgian Pro League
  • WH1-0 KortrijkBelgian Pro League
  • LA0-3 Union St. GilloiseBelgian Pro League
  • WH3-0 Kairat AlmatyUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 4,1,5,3,3
Key players Giulian Biancone 馃嚝馃嚪 68.6, L茅o P茅trot 馃嚝馃嚪 61.0, Luk谩拧 Ambros 馃嚚馃嚳 60.4, Marten Winkler 馃嚛馃嚜 59.9, Tawfik Bentayeb 馃嚥馃嚘 58.9
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚜 19 路 馃嚛馃嚢 3 路 馃嚪馃嚫 3 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚥馃嚤 2 路 馃嚥馃嚘 1 路 +12 more
Season pulse season 2026
5117th08-09 v RAAL La Louvi猫re: +3.208-16 v SK Beveren: -1.808-30 v Union St. Gilloise: -4.109-03 v Kortrijk: +2.009-06 v Genk: +0.009-11 v KV Mechelen: +2.0

Lyon

4th = back in the Champions League, a real recovery after the DNCG financial scare era. Groupama Stadium 59k. Textor-era turbulence easing. Talented young core; UCL load vs squad depth the 26/27 question.

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 68.2 all Europe · Ligue 1
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 Paris FCLigue 1
  • WH3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
  • DH1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
  • LH1-2 Fenerbah莽eUCL
  • WA2-0 ToulouseLigue 1
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 2,3,3,2,3
Key players Moussa Niakhat茅 馃嚫馃嚦 76.1, Zachary Athekame 馃嚚馃嚟 75.5, Corentin Tolisso 馃嚝馃嚪 74.6, Dominik Greif 馃嚫馃嚢 73.0, Ernest Nuamah 馃嚞馃嚟 69.1
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 6 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 3 路 馃嚚馃嚳 2 路 馃嚙馃嚜 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 +13 more
Season pulse season 2026
244th08-22 v Toulouse: +1.808-29 v Le Havre: +0.509-04 v Auxerre: +3.009-12 v Paris FC: +0.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Bayer Leverkusen v Celje

1 82%
X 16%
2 2%
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 59%
Match preview

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites at 82%, with Celje at 2% and the draw at 16%. Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 59%. Watch F. Kova膷evi膰 馃嚟馃嚪 and S. Sluga 馃嚟馃嚪 for Celje.

Celje: Reigning-era force: 24/25 Slovenian champions and a strong 25/26 UECL run; Arena Z'de啪ele.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Bayer Leverkusen

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 71.7 all Europe · Bundesliga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
  • WH4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
  • LA2-3 SV ElversbergBundesliga
  • DH1-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
  • LA1-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 3,2,0,2,2
Key players Aleix Garc铆a 馃嚜馃嚫 84.4, Patrik Schick 馃嚚馃嚳 79.2, Lo茂c Bad茅 馃嚝馃嚪 76.9, Edmond Tapsoba 馃嚙馃嚝 73.6, Ibrahim Maza 馃嚛馃嚜 72.6
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚜 9 路 馃嚘馃嚪 4 路 馃嚝馃嚪 4 路 馃嚜馃嚫 3 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 2 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
5157th08-29 v SV Elversberg: -1.609-05 v Union Berlin: +5.009-12 v FC Augsburg: +0.0

Celje

Reigning-era force: 24/25 Slovenian champions and a strong 25/26 UECL run; Arena Z'de啪ele. Qualified via the Champions League route. Attacking, well-coached, sells stars.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-2 Slovan BratislavaUCL
  • DA1-1 Slovan BratislavaUCL
  • WH2-0 Ararat-ArmeniaUCL
  • LA1-2 Ararat-ArmeniaUCL
  • DH1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhin毛UCL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,3,2,2,2
Key players F. Kova膷evi膰 馃嚟馃嚪, S. Sluga 馃嚟馃嚪, M. Kvesi膰 馃嚙馃嚘
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚠 17 路 馃嚟馃嚪 4 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚤馃嚬 2 路 馃嚙馃嚘 1 路 馃嚪馃嚭 1 路 +5 more
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Hapoel Beer Sheva🔥 v Dinamo Zagreb

1 25%
X 26%
2 49%
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 53%
Match preview

The model makes Dinamo Zagreb narrow favourites at 49%, with Hapoel Beer Sheva at 25% and the draw at 26%. Hapoel Beer Sheva are unbeaten in five (9 scored, 3 conceded). Watch K. Kangwa and D. Biton for Hapoel Beer Sheva, and Dion Drena Beljo 馃嚟馃嚪 and Miha Zajc 馃嚫馃嚠 for Dinamo Zagreb.

Hapoel Beer Sheva: Desert-city force, multiple recent titles and UEL group alumni; Turner Stadium. · Dinamo Zagreb: Croatia's dominant club, record champions and UCL/UEL group regular; Maksimir Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Hapoel Beer Sheva🔥

Desert-city force, multiple recent titles and UEL group alumni; Turner Stadium. Qualified via the Champions League route. European home ties staged abroad.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA2-5 Sabah FAUCL
  • WH2-1 Sabah FAUCL
  • WA2-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaUCL
  • WH1-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaUCL
  • WH2-0 Vikingur ReykjavikUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 2,1,2,3,4
Key players K. Kangwa, D. Biton, E. Peretz

Dinamo Zagreb

Croatia's dominant club, record champions and UCL/UEL group regular; Maksimir Stadium. Qualified via the Champions League route as 25/26 champions. Elite academy (Modri膰/Kova膷i膰 lineage).

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 57.6 all Europe · HNL
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA2-4 NK OsijekHNL
  • WH1-0 HNK GoricaHNL
  • DA2-2 Istra 1961HNL
  • LA1-3 VikingUCL
  • WH3-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,5,3,4,4
Key players Dion Drena Beljo 馃嚟馃嚪 77.7, Stjepan Radelji膰 馃嚙馃嚘 65.7, Sergi Dom铆nguez 馃嚜馃嚫 63.6, Josip Mi拧i膰 馃嚟馃嚪 62.5, Luka Stojkovi膰 馃嚟馃嚪 60.9
Nationalities 馃嚟馃嚪 20 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚫馃嚠 1 路 馃嚘馃嚬 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
143rd07-31 v NK Slaven Belupo: +4.108-14 v Rudes: +6.008-22 v NK Varazdin: +3.008-29 v Istra 1961: +0.509-05 v HNK Gorica: +2.009-12 v NK Osijek: -3.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Olympiakos Piraeus v Jagiellonia

1 61%
X 24%
2 15%
Prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 42%
Match preview

The model makes Olympiakos Piraeus clear favourites at 61%, with Jagiellonia at 15% and the draw at 24%. Jagiellonia are unbeaten in five (11 scored, 5 conceded). Watch Ayoub El Kaabi 馃嚥馃嚘 and Konstantinos Tzolakis 馃嚞馃嚪 for Olympiakos Piraeus, and Jes煤s Imaz 馃嚜馃嚫 and M. Piekutowski 馃嚨馃嚤 for Jagiellonia.

Olympiakos Piraeus: Dethroned: 24/25 champions finished 2nd in 25/26 despite El Kaabi's 18 goals and a 7-game win run; 2024 UECL winners pedigree intact. · Jagiellonia: Bia艂ystok club, breakthrough champions and 24/25 UECL semi-finalists; Stadion Miejski.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Olympiakos Piraeus

Dethroned: 24/25 champions finished 2nd in 25/26 despite El Kaabi's 18 goals and a 7-game win run; 2024 UECL winners pedigree intact. Karaiskakis cauldron. UCL qualifying entry; biggest budget, must respond.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 60.6 all Europe · Super League Greece
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-1 OFISuper League Greece
  • DA1-1 Volos NFCSuper League Greece
  • WA1-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League Greece
  • WH1-0 AtromitosSuper League Greece
  • LA1-2 NEC NijmegenUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 3,2,0,0,2
Key players Rodinei 馃嚙馃嚪 70.9, Kostas Fortounis 馃嚞馃嚪 70.3, Lorenzo Pirola 馃嚠馃嚬 68.1, Panagiotis Retsos 馃嚞馃嚪 62.5, Zinedin Smajlovi膰 馃嚙馃嚘 61.5
Nationalities 馃嚞馃嚪 9 路 馃嚨馃嚬 6 路 馃嚙馃嚪 5 路 馃嚘馃嚪 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
266th08-22 v Atromitos: +3.408-30 v Asteras Tripolis: +2.409-05 v Volos NFC: +0.009-12 v OFI: -2.0

Jagiellonia

Bia艂ystok club, breakthrough champions and 24/25 UECL semi-finalists; Stadion Miejski. Predicted qualifier; overachieving eastern-Poland side.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 51.4 all Europe · Ekstraklasa
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-2 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • WH2-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • LA1-2 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
  • WA5-2 Rak贸w Cz臋stochowaEkstraklasa
  • WA2-1 FC Iberia 1999UEL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 4,3,2,4,3
Key players Bernardo Vital 馃嚨馃嚬 62.9, S艂awomir Abramowicz 馃嚨馃嚤 61.9, Taras Romanczuk 馃嚨馃嚤 60.1, Sergio Lozano 馃嚜馃嚫 58.4, Guilherme Mont贸ia 馃嚨馃嚬 55.9
Nationalities 馃嚨馃嚤 18 路 馃嚜馃嚫 5 路 馃嚨馃嚬 4 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚡馃嚨 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
1138th07-25 v Korona Kielce: +2.207-31 v Motor Lublin: +1.408-09 v Widzew 艁贸d藕: -3.008-30 v Rak贸w Cz臋stochowa: +5.609-03 v Lech Poznan: -2.009-06 v Slask Wroclaw: +1.809-11 v Wisla Krakow: -3.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Sturm Graz v Rennes

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH⚡ SQUAD GAP: RENNES
1 31%
X 27%
2 42%
Prediction: Rennes to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
Match preview

The model makes Rennes narrow favourites at 42%, with Sturm Graz at 31% and the draw at 27%. Sturm Graz have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 3 conceded). Rennes have won 3 of their last five (11 scored, 9 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Rennes the stronger. Watch Otar Kiteishvili 馃嚞馃嚜 and Dimitri Laval茅e 馃嚙馃嚜 for Sturm Graz.

Sturm Graz: Back-to-back-era Austrian champions, breaking Salzburg's grip; Merkur Arena, loud Graz support.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sturm Graz

Back-to-back-era Austrian champions, breaking Salzburg's grip; Merkur Arena, loud Graz support. Qualified via the Champions League route. Strong, well-coached.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 53.7 all Europe · Austrian Bundesliga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-1 Lask LinzAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA1-3 Rapid ViennaAustrian Bundesliga
  • DH1-1 Austria LustenauAustrian Bundesliga
  • WH1-0 SCR AltachAustrian Bundesliga
  • LH0-1 Fenerbah莽eUCL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 1,4,2,2,1
Key players Daniil Khudyakov 馃嚪馃嚭 65.3, Otar Kiteishvili 馃嚞馃嚜 64.3, Emran Soglo 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 61.5, Albert Vallci 馃嚘馃嚬 58.9, Simon Seidl 馃嚘馃嚬 57.4
Nationalities 馃嚘馃嚬 12 路 馃嚫馃嚠 4 路 馃嚛馃嚢 3 路 馃嚛馃嚜 2 路 馃嚙馃嚜 1 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
184th08-01 v WSG Wattens: +0.808-08 v TSV Hartberg: +3.608-15 v SCR Altach: +2.208-22 v Austria Lustenau: +0.508-30 v Rapid Vienna: -3.609-13 v Lask Linz: +2.0

Rennes

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 69.2 all Europe · Ligue 1
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 MarseilleLigue 1
  • WA2-1 AngersLigue 1
  • WH3-2 Le MansLigue 1
  • DH2-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
  • LA1-3 MarseilleLigue 1
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,3,5,3,5
Key players Valentin Rongier 馃嚝馃嚪 79.7, Adrien Thomasson 馃嚝馃嚪 76.8, Esteban Lepaul 馃嚝馃嚪 75.1, Sebastian Szyma艅ski 馃嚨馃嚤 73.9, Brice Samba 馃嚝馃嚪 71.6🔥
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 17 路 馃嚥馃嚘 3 路 馃嚨馃嚤 2 路 馃嚚馃嚥 2 路 馃嚬馃嚪 2 路 馃嚚馃嚟 2 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
1143rd08-23 v Paris Saint Germain: -0.408-30 v Le Mans: +1.809-06 v Angers: +2.009-11 v Marseille: +2.0
league draws 20% · chaos 10orderly

Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar

⚡ SQUAD GAP: SUNDERLAND
1 72%
X 21%
2 7%
Prediction: Sunderland to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 56%
Match preview

The model makes Sunderland clear favourites at 72%, with AZ Alkmaar at 7% and the draw at 21%. AZ Alkmaar have won 3 of their last five (12 scored, 6 conceded). On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Sunderland the stronger.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sunderland

Style Under siege from 2025
Squad quality 72.1 all Europe · Premier League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 ArsenalPremier League
  • WH1-0 Hull CityEFL Cup
  • DA1-1 BrentfordPremier League
  • WH1-0 FulhamPremier League
  • LA1-2 IpswichPremier League
Key players Granit Xhaka 馃嚚馃嚟 86.0, Enzo Le F茅e 馃嚝馃嚪 76.2, Nordi Mukiele 馃嚝馃嚪 75.3, Wilson Isidor 馃嚝馃嚪 74.6, Trai Hume 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 74.3
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 10 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚚馃嚛 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
111614th08-22 v Ipswich: -2.508-30 v Fulham: +2.509-05 v Brentford: +0.009-12 v Arsenal: -3.0

AZ Alkmaar

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 57.8 all Europe · Eredivisie
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
  • WA3-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
  • WH5-2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • WA2-0 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • WA4-1 UtrechtEredivisie
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,3,4,3,4
Key players Ro-Zangelo Daal 馃嚦馃嚤 72.1, Mateo Ch谩vez 馃嚥馃嚱 67.4, Jizz Hornkamp 馃嚦馃嚤 62.3, Stije Resink 馃嚦馃嚤 60.5, Peer Koopmeiners 馃嚦馃嚤 60.0
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚤 28 路 馃嚡馃嚨 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
132nd08-08 v ADO Den Haag: +3.908-15 v Utrecht: +4.508-22 v Fortuna Sittard: +5.008-29 v GO Ahead Eagles: +4.309-06 v Heerenveen: +2.009-11 v Willem II: +0.0