Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 2 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚫馃嚜 Superettan

league draws 27% · chaos 80volatile

IFK Norrkoping (1st)🔥 v Oddevold (5th)

1 56%
X 26%
2 19%
Prediction: IFK Norrkoping to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 49%
vs performances: IFK Norrkoping +0.01 (5g) · Oddevold -0.56 (4g)
Match preview

The model makes IFK Norrkoping clear favourites at 56%, with Oddevold at 19% and the draw at 26%. IFK Norrkoping are unbeaten in five (13 scored, 5 conceded). Oddevold have won 3 of their last five (8 scored, 6 conceded). Watch Noel Sernelius 馃嚫馃嚜 and Ryan Nelson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for IFK Norrkoping, and Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul 馃嚫馃嚜 and Daniel Krezi膰 for Oddevold.

IFK Norrkoping: Historic club, Sweden's record 13-time champions now in the second tier; Platinumcars Arena, big fanbase for the level. · Oddevold: Uddevalla club (IK Oddevold), a historic name back in the second tier; small ground, modest budget.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

IFK Norrkoping (1st)🔥

Historic club, Sweden's record 13-time champions now in the second tier; Platinumcars Arena, big fanbase for the level. A fallen power.

Seasons 2026 so far: 1st (51 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 Varbergs BoIS FCSuperettan
  • DH2-2 Ljungskile SKSuperettan
  • WA3-1 United NordicSuperettan
  • WH2-1 Falkenbergs FFSuperettan
  • WA4-1 SandvikenSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 5,3,4,4,2
Key players Noel Sernelius 馃嚫馃嚜 72.9, Ryan Nelson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 64.3, Elias Jemal 馃嚫馃嚜 58.5, Christoffer Nyman 馃嚫馃嚜 57.0, Anton Eriksson 馃嚫馃嚜 45.6
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 14 路 馃嚦馃嚧 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 1 路 馃嚥馃嚢 1 路 馃嚫馃嚦 1
Season pulse season 2026
1111st06-28 v Norrby IF: -2.007-19 v Sandviken: +4.007-28 v Landskrona BoIS: +2.008-01 v Helsingborg: +3.008-08 v IK brage: +4.008-15 v Sandviken: +4.008-24 v Falkenbergs FF: +2.008-29 v United Nordic: +3.009-04 v Ljungskile SK: +0.009-10 v Varbergs BoIS FC: +3.0

Oddevold (5th)

Uddevalla club (IK Oddevold), a historic name back in the second tier; small ground, modest budget.

Seasons 2024: 14th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 5th (35 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 SandvikenSuperettan
  • WH2-1 Falkenbergs FFSuperettan
  • LA1-3 Varbergs BoIS FCSuperettan
  • WH3-1 HelsingborgSuperettan
  • DA1-1 Landskrona BoISSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,4,4,3,1
Key players Gabriel Sandberg 馃嚫馃嚜 67.7, Olle Kjellman Olblad 馃嚫馃嚜 63.7, Gustav Forssell 馃嚫馃嚜 59.6, Alexander Almqvist 馃嚫馃嚜 49.8, Jesper Merbom Adolfsson 48.9
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 33 路 馃嚦馃嚧 3 路 馃嚜馃嚜 1 路 馃嚥馃嚢 1 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 馃嚪馃嚰 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
3135th06-27 v United Nordic: +0.007-18 v Varbergs BoIS FC: -3.007-27 v Orebro SK: +0.007-31 v Norrby IF: +0.008-08 v Ljungskile SK: +2.008-14 v Landskrona BoIS: +0.008-23 v Helsingborg: +3.008-30 v Varbergs BoIS FC: -3.009-05 v Falkenbergs FF: +2.009-09 v Sandviken: +2.0
league draws 27% · chaos 80volatile

Ljungskile SK (11th) v Falkenbergs FF (2nd)

1 30%
X 27%
2 43%
Prediction: Falkenbergs FF to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 56%
vs performances: Ljungskile SK -0.07 (5g) · Falkenbergs FF +1.54 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes Falkenbergs FF narrow favourites at 43%, with Ljungskile SK at 30% and the draw at 27%. Falkenbergs FF have won 3 of their last five (10 scored, 6 conceded). Watch Gideon Mensah 馃嚞馃嚟 and Ivan Mari膰 for Ljungskile SK, and Lucas Sibelius 馃嚫馃嚜 and Nils Bertilsson 馃嚫馃嚜 for Falkenbergs FF.

Ljungskile SK: Tiny Bohuslan coastal club, a modest second-tier side; small ground, short season. · Falkenbergs FF: Halland coastal club, a yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, short cold season.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Ljungskile SK (11th)

Tiny Bohuslan coastal club, a modest second-tier side; small ground, short season.

Seasons 2026 so far: 11th (28 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-1 Norrby IFSuperettan
  • DA2-2 IFK NorrkopingSuperettan
  • LH0-1 IFK VarnamoSuperettan
  • DA0-0 Ostersunds FKSuperettan
  • LH2-3 Osters IFSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 5,0,1,4,3
Key players Gideon Mensah 馃嚞馃嚟 46.3, Lukas Eriksson 45.6, Ivan Mari膰 39.9, Emilio Reljanovic 38.5
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 9 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1
Season pulse season 2026
81611th06-27 v Orebro SK: +2.007-19 v IFK Varnamo: +2.007-26 v Sandviken: +2.008-02 v United Nordic: +0.008-08 v Oddevold: -2.008-15 v Osters IF: -2.008-24 v Ostersunds FK: +0.008-29 v IFK Varnamo: -2.009-04 v IFK Norrkoping: +0.009-09 v Norrby IF: +2.0

Falkenbergs FF (2nd)

Halland coastal club, a yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, short cold season.

Seasons 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 2nd (41 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-1 Osters IFSuperettan
  • LA1-2 OddevoldSuperettan
  • WH4-1 IK brageSuperettan
  • LA1-2 IFK NorrkopingSuperettan
  • WH2-0 Norrby IFSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 2,3,5,3,3
Key players Albin Andersson 馃嚫馃嚜 56.0, Melker Nilsson 馃嚫馃嚜 51.5, Linus Borgstr枚m 馃嚫馃嚜 45.6, Gustav Lillienberg 馃嚫馃嚜 39.9, Tim Stalheden 37.6
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 26 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1
Season pulse season 2026
173rd06-26 v IK brage: +3.007-21 v Helsingborg: -2.007-26 v GIF Sundsvall: +2.008-01 v Varbergs BoIS FC: -2.008-08 v United Nordic: +0.008-15 v Norrby IF: +3.008-24 v IFK Norrkoping: -2.008-29 v IK brage: +4.009-05 v Oddevold: -2.009-10 v Osters IF: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.