Daily Football Model

2026-09-15 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚫馃嚜 Superettan

league draws 27% · chaos 84volatile

IK brage (15th) v Sandviken (9th)

1 38%
X 27%
2 35%
Prediction: IK brage to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 65%
vs performances: IK brage +0.53 (3g) · Sandviken -0.86 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes IK brage the marginal call at 38%, with Sandviken at 35% and the draw at 27%. Both teams to score looks likely at 65%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 65%. Watch Amar Muhsin 馃嚠馃嚩 and Filip Trp膷evski for IK brage, and Moonga Simba 馃嚫馃嚜 and Filip Olsson 馃嚫馃嚜 for Sandviken.

IK brage: Dalarna club (Borlange), a modest second-tier side; small ground, cold short season. · Sandviken: Gastrikland club (Sandviken), a modest second-tier side; small ground, cold short season.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

IK brage (15th)

Dalarna club (Borlange), a modest second-tier side; small ground, cold short season.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 15th (22 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Ostersunds FKSuperettan
  • LH0-1 GIF SundsvallSuperettan
  • LA1-4 Falkenbergs FFSuperettan
  • LH1-2 United NordicSuperettan
  • DH3-3 Orebro SKSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 6,3,5,1,2
Key players Gustav Berggren 馃嚫馃嚜 52.6, Alexander Zetterstrom 45.5
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 30 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚥馃嚢 1 路 馃嚘馃嚤 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
21414th06-26 v Falkenbergs FF: -3.007-18 v Osters IF: -2.007-25 v IFK Varnamo: +0.008-01 v Landskrona BoIS: +2.008-08 v IFK Norrkoping: -4.008-14 v Orebro SK: +0.008-23 v United Nordic: -2.008-29 v Falkenbergs FF: -4.009-05 v GIF Sundsvall: -2.009-10 v Ostersunds FK: +0.0

Sandviken (9th)

Gastrikland club (Sandviken), a modest second-tier side; small ground, cold short season.

Seasons 2024: 6th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 9th (30 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-1 OddevoldSuperettan
  • WA2-0 HelsingborgSuperettan
  • DH1-1 Osters IFSuperettan
  • DA1-1 Norrby IFSuperettan
  • LH1-4 IFK NorrkopingSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 5,2,2,2,1
Key players Moonga Simba 馃嚫馃嚜, Filip Olsson 馃嚫馃嚜, Oscar Sjostrand
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 37 路 馃嚪馃嚰 2 路 馃嚚馃嚘 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 1 路 馃嚫馃嚤 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
8169th06-28 v Helsingborg: +3.007-19 v IFK Norrkoping: -4.007-26 v Ljungskile SK: -2.008-01 v GIF Sundsvall: +6.008-09 v Varbergs BoIS FC: +2.008-15 v IFK Norrkoping: -4.008-23 v Norrby IF: +0.008-30 v Osters IF: +0.009-05 v Helsingborg: +3.009-09 v Oddevold: -2.0
league draws 27% · chaos 84volatile

Landskrona BoIS (7th) v GIF Sundsvall (16th)

1 61%
X 24%
2 14%
Prediction: Landskrona BoIS to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 47%
vs performances: Landskrona BoIS -0.02 (4g) · GIF Sundsvall -0.72 (4g)
Match preview

The model makes Landskrona BoIS clear favourites at 61%, with GIF Sundsvall at 14% and the draw at 24%. Watch Adam Egnell 馃嚫馃嚜 and Edi Sylisufaj 馃嚱馃嚢 for Landskrona BoIS, and Taiki Kagayama 馃嚡馃嚨 and Yaqub Finey 馃嚫馃嚜 for GIF Sundsvall.

Landskrona BoIS: Skane club, a historic name and yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, loyal support. · GIF Sundsvall: Northern-coast club (Sundsvall), a yo-yo side facing long travel; small ground, cold short season.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Landskrona BoIS (7th)

Skane club, a historic name and yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, loyal support.

Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 7th (34 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-2 HelsingborgSuperettan
  • WA3-1 Norrby IFSuperettan
  • DH1-1 Ostersunds FKSuperettan
  • DA1-1 IFK VarnamoSuperettan
  • DH1-1 OddevoldSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 2,2,2,4,3
Key players Constantino Capotondi 馃嚫馃嚜 73.4, Adam Egnell 馃嚫馃嚜 61.9, Gustaf Bruzelius 馃嚫馃嚜 48.4, Andr茅 脕lvarez P茅rez 馃嚫馃嚜 43.6
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 33 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 馃嚨馃嚫 1 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
4167th06-28 v IFK Varnamo: +2.007-18 v Ostersunds FK: -3.007-28 v IFK Norrkoping: -2.008-01 v IK brage: -2.008-08 v Osters IF: +2.008-14 v Oddevold: +0.008-24 v IFK Varnamo: +0.008-29 v Ostersunds FK: +0.009-05 v Norrby IF: +3.009-09 v Helsingborg: -2.0

GIF Sundsvall (16th)

Northern-coast club (Sundsvall), a yo-yo side facing long travel; small ground, cold short season.

Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 16th (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-3 Orebro SKSuperettan
  • WA1-0 IK brageSuperettan
  • WH1-0 Norrby IFSuperettan
  • LA0-1 Osters IFSuperettan
  • DH1-1 HelsingborgSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 2,1,1,1,3
Key players Hugo Aviander 馃嚫馃嚜 63.2, Miguel Sandberg 馃嚬馃嚰 45.4, Jonas Olsson 馃嚫馃嚜 44.1, Marc Manch贸n 馃嚜馃嚫 41.8, Lucas Forsberg 馃嚫馃嚜 39.3
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 28 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 馃嚡馃嚨 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
31616th06-27 v Ostersunds FK: -3.007-20 v Norrby IF: -3.007-26 v Falkenbergs FF: -2.008-01 v Sandviken: -6.008-07 v Ostersunds FK: -2.008-15 v Helsingborg: +0.008-25 v Osters IF: -2.008-31 v Norrby IF: +2.009-05 v IK brage: +2.009-10 v Orebro SK: -4.0
league draws 27% · chaos 84volatile

IFK Varnamo (12th) v Osters IF (8th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 38%
X 27%
2 35%
Prediction: IFK Varnamo to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 59%
vs performances: IFK Varnamo +1.10 (3g)
Match preview

The model makes IFK Varnamo the marginal call at 38%, with Osters IF at 35% and the draw at 27%. IFK Varnamo are unbeaten in five (8 scored, 5 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 59%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band.

IFK Varnamo: Small Smaland town club, a modern top-flight overachiever recently down; tiny ground, short season. · Osters IF: Vaxjo club (Oster), multiple 1970s-80s Swedish champions long faded; Visma Arena.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

IFK Varnamo (12th)

Small Smaland town club, a modern top-flight overachiever recently down; tiny ground, short season.

Seasons 2026 so far: 12th (26 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA4-2 United NordicSuperettan
  • DH1-1 Varbergs BoIS FCSuperettan
  • WA1-0 Ljungskile SKSuperettan
  • DH1-1 Landskrona BoISSuperettan
  • DH1-1 Ostersunds FKSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 2,2,1,2,6
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 12 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 馃嚨馃嚤 1 路 馃嚠馃嚫 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
11612th06-28 v Landskrona BoIS: -2.007-19 v Ljungskile SK: -2.007-25 v IK brage: +0.008-03 v Orebro SK: +3.008-11 v Helsingborg: +2.008-16 v Ostersunds FK: +0.008-24 v Landskrona BoIS: +0.008-29 v Ljungskile SK: +2.009-05 v Varbergs BoIS FC: +0.009-09 v United Nordic: +3.0

Osters IF (8th)

Vaxjo club (Oster), multiple 1970s-80s Swedish champions long faded; Visma Arena. A historic name in the second tier.

Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 2nd | 2026 so far: 8th (33 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Falkenbergs FFSuperettan
  • LH1-2 United NordicSuperettan
  • DA1-1 SandvikenSuperettan
  • WH1-0 GIF SundsvallSuperettan
  • WA3-2 Ljungskile SKSuperettan
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 5,1,2,3,3
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚜 12 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1
Season pulse season 2026
5168th06-27 v Varbergs BoIS FC: -2.007-18 v IK brage: +2.007-27 v Varbergs BoIS FC: +4.008-01 v Ostersunds FK: -2.008-08 v Landskrona BoIS: -2.008-15 v Ljungskile SK: +2.008-25 v GIF Sundsvall: +2.008-30 v Sandviken: +0.009-04 v United Nordic: -2.009-10 v Falkenbergs FF: -2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.