Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇸🇰 Nike Liga

league draws 21% · chaos 62lively

Dukla Banská Bystrica (11th) v Skalica (8th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 34%
X 26%
2 40%
Prediction: Skalica to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 53%
Match preview

The model makes Skalica the marginal call at 40%, with Dukla Banská Bystrica at 34% and the draw at 26%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Martin Rymarenko 🇸🇰 and Marián Pišoja 🇸🇰 for Dukla Banská Bystrica, and Petr Pudhorocký 🇨🇿 and Tomáš Smejkal 🇨🇿 for Skalica.

Dukla Banská Bystrica: Central-Slovak army club (Banská Bystrica), a historic name; modest ground. · Skalica: Western-Slovak club (Záhorie), a modern top-flight fixture; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Dukla Banská Bystrica (11th)

Central-Slovak army club (Banská Bystrica), a historic name; modest ground. Yo-yo side, mid-to-lower.

Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 12th | 2026 so far: 11th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-3 FK KošiceNike Liga
  • DH2-2 KomárnoNike Liga
  • WA1-0 RužomberokNike Liga
  • LH3-4 ŽilinaNike Liga
  • LA0-3 Spartak TrnavaNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,7,1,4,3
Key players Martin Rymarenko 🇸🇰, Marián Pišoja 🇸🇰, Timotej Záhumenský
Season pulse season 2026
91211th07-26 v Slovan Bratislava: -5.008-02 v Dunajska Streda: -3.008-08 v Spartak Trnava: -4.008-15 v Žilina: -2.008-22 v Ružomberok: +2.008-29 v Komárno: +0.009-06 v FK Košice: -4.0

Skalica (8th)

Western-Slovak club (Záhorie), a modern top-flight fixture; small ground. Mid-table, modest budget.

Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 8th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 KomárnoNike Liga
  • LH1-6 Dunajska StredaNike Liga
  • LA0-2 Zemplín MichalovceNike Liga
  • LH2-4 FK KošiceNike Liga
  • WA3-1 ŽilinaNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 4,6,2,7,0
Key players Martin Černek 🇸🇰 38.0, Damián Bariš 🇸🇰 37.4, Tomáš Smejkal 🇨🇿 37.2, Samuel Suľa 🇸🇰 37.0, Erik Daniel 🇨🇿 35.1
Nationalities 🇸🇰 17 · 🇨🇿 3 · 🇩🇪 2 · 🇭🇷 1 · Central African Republic 1 · 🇳🇬 1
Season pulse season 2026
288th07-25 v Spartak Trnava: +0.008-01 v Ružomberok: +2.008-09 v Žilina: +3.008-15 v FK Košice: -3.008-22 v Zemplín Michalovce: -3.008-30 v Dunajska Streda: -6.009-05 v Komárno: +0.0
league draws 21% · chaos 62lively

Ružomberok (12th) v Zemplín Michalovce (5th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 33%
X 26%
2 41%
Prediction: Zemplín Michalovce to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 50%
Match preview

The model makes Zemplín Michalovce the marginal call at 41%, with Ružomberok at 33% and the draw at 26%. Ružomberok have lost 4 of their last five (3 scored, 13 conceded). Zemplín Michalovce arrive on a 3-game winning run (8 scored, 5 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Alexander Selecký 🇸🇰 and Lukáš Fila 🇨🇿 for Ružomberok, and Hugo Ahl 🇸🇪 and Ben Cottrell 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Zemplín Michalovce.

Ružomberok: Small-town club, recent cup winner and European qualifier; modest ground. · Zemplín Michalovce: Eastern-Slovak club (Michalovce), a modest top-flight side; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Ružomberok (12th)

Small-town club, recent cup winner and European qualifier; modest ground. Overachiever, top-half.

Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 12th (2 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Spartak TrnavaNike Liga
  • LA1-2 AS TrencinNike Liga
  • LH0-1 Dukla Banská BystricaNike Liga
  • LA0-5 Slovan BratislavaNike Liga
  • LH1-4 PodbrezováNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 5,5,1,3,2
Key players Alexander Mojžiš 🇸🇰 43.7, Lukáš Fila 🇨🇿 38.3, Alexander Selecký 🇸🇰 36.9, Oliver Luterán 🇸🇰 35.8, Jan Hladík 🇨🇿 33.2
Nationalities 🇸🇰 22 · 🇨🇿 9 · 🇨🇿 1
Season pulse season 2026
71212th07-26 v Dunajska Streda: +0.008-01 v Skalica: -2.008-08 v Podbrezová: -4.008-15 v Slovan Bratislava: -6.008-22 v Dukla Banská Bystrica: -2.008-29 v AS Trencin: -2.009-06 v Spartak Trnava: +0.0

Zemplín Michalovce (5th)

FOREIGN CORE 69%

Eastern-Slovak club (Michalovce), a modest top-flight side; small ground. Mid-to-lower, survival-focused.

Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 5th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-1 AS TrencinNike Liga
  • WA2-1 Slovan BratislavaNike Liga
  • WH2-0 SkalicaNike Liga
  • LA0-2 Spartak TrnavaNike Liga
  • DH1-1 KomárnoNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 2,2,2,3,4
Key players Tornike Dzotsenidze 🇬🇪 50.7, Abdul Musa Zubairu 🇳🇬 43.4, Polydefkis Volanakis 🇬🇷 43.0, Ben Cottrell 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 41.6, Adam Jakubech 🇸🇰 40.0
Nationalities 🇸🇰 9 · 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 3 · 🇳🇬 2 · 🇬🇷 2 · 🇬🇪 1 · 🇱🇹 1 · +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
5125th07-25 v Podbrezová: -3.008-02 v Žilina: -2.008-08 v Komárno: +0.008-16 v Spartak Trnava: -3.008-22 v Skalica: +3.008-30 v Slovan Bratislava: +2.009-05 v AS Trencin: +3.0
league draws 21% · chaos 62lively

AS Trencin (9th) v Dunajska Streda (1st)🔥

1 12%
X 22%
2 66%
Prediction: Dunajska Streda to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
Match preview

The model makes Dunajska Streda clear favourites at 66%, with AS Trencin at 12% and the draw at 22%. Dunajska Streda arrive on a 5-game winning run (18 scored, 1 conceded). Watch Eynel Soares 🇨🇻 and Tadeáš Hájovský 🇸🇰 for AS Trencin, and Ammar Ramadan 🇸🇾 and Samsindin Ouro 🇹🇬 for Dunajska Streda.

AS Trencin: Trenčín club, elite academy in an Ajax-linked style, multiple recent titles; small ground. · Dunajska Streda: Hungarian-community club (DAC), a strong European qualifier; MOL Aréna, the best atmosphere in Slovakia.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

AS Trencin (9th)

FOREIGN CORE 68%

Trenčín club, elite academy in an Ajax-linked style, multiple recent titles; small ground. Develops and sells youth, attacking identity.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 9th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 Zemplín MichalovceNike Liga
  • WH2-1 RužomberokNike Liga
  • LH0-4 Spartak TrnavaNike Liga
  • LA1-2 PodbrezováNike Liga
  • DA3-3 FK KošiceNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 6,3,4,3,4
Key players Andrija Katić 🇷🇸 51.3, Eynel Soares 🇨🇻 46.1, Richard Križan 🇸🇰 45.9, Nikolas Brandis 43.1, Hugo Pavek 40.0
Nationalities 🇸🇰 12 · 🇳🇬 6 · 🇳🇱 3 · 🇪🇪 3 · 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 2 · 🇹🇬 1 · +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
2109th07-25 v Komárno: +0.008-01 v FK Košice: +0.008-15 v Podbrezová: -2.008-23 v Spartak Trnava: -5.008-29 v Ružomberok: +2.009-05 v Zemplín Michalovce: -3.0

Dunajska Streda (1st)🔥

FOREIGN CORE 78%

Hungarian-community club (DAC), a strong European qualifier; MOL Aréna, the best atmosphere in Slovakia. Well-run, top-3 regular.

Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 1st (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 Slovan BratislavaNike Liga
  • WA6-1 SkalicaNike Liga
  • WH5-0 PodbrezováNike Liga
  • WA3-0 KomárnoNike Liga
  • DH3-3 TwenteUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,3,5,7,2
Key players Samsindin Ouro 🇹🇬 47.0, Taras Kacharaba 🇺🇦 45.3, Máté Tuboly 🇭🇺 43.0, Ammar Ramadan 🇸🇾 41.2, Klemen Nemanič 🇸🇮 41.1
Nationalities 🇸🇰 7 · 🇭🇺 4 · 🇸🇮 3 · 🇬🇪 2 · 🇺🇦 2 · 🇧🇷 2 · +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
171st07-26 v Ružomberok: +0.008-02 v Dukla Banská Bystrica: +3.008-16 v Komárno: +4.008-22 v Podbrezová: +6.008-30 v Skalica: +6.009-05 v Slovan Bratislava: +3.0
league draws 21% · chaos 62lively

Spartak Trnava (3rd) v FK Košice (7th)

1 56%
X 24%
2 20%
Prediction: Spartak Trnava to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 65%
Match preview

The model makes Spartak Trnava clear favourites at 56%, with FK Košice at 20% and the draw at 24%. Spartak Trnava have won 3 of their last five (11 scored, 4 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 63%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 65%. Watch Erik Sabo 🇸🇰 and Miloš Kratochvíl 🇨🇿 for Spartak Trnava, and Roman Čerepkai 🇸🇰 and Mátyás Kovács 🇭🇺 for FK Košice.

Spartak Trnava: Historic Trnava club, recent cup winner; the modern City Arena, passionate support. · FK Košice: Eastern-Slovak club (Košice), a historic city side revived; the modern Košická futbalová aréna.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Spartak Trnava (3rd)

Historic Trnava club, recent cup winner; the modern City Arena, passionate support. Title challenger.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 4th | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 3rd (14 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 RužomberokNike Liga
  • LH1-3 ŽilinaNike Liga
  • WA4-0 AS TrencinNike Liga
  • WH2-0 Zemplín MichalovceNike Liga
  • WH3-0 Dukla Banská BystricaNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 3,2,4,4,2
Key players Miloš Kratochvíl 🇨🇿 44.2, Erik Sabo 🇸🇰 43.1, Martin Mikovič 🇸🇰 40.2, Timotej Kudlicka 32.7
Nationalities 🇸🇰 14 · 🇨🇿 4 · 🇳🇬 3 · 🇬🇪 2 · 🇭🇷 2 · 🇸🇮 1 · +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
193rd07-25 v Skalica: +0.008-02 v Komárno: +2.008-08 v Dukla Banská Bystrica: +4.008-16 v Zemplín Michalovce: +3.008-23 v AS Trencin: +5.008-30 v Žilina: -3.009-06 v Ružomberok: +0.0

FK Košice (7th)

Eastern-Slovak club (Košice), a historic city side revived; the modern Košická futbalová aréna. Big-city support, resurgent.

Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 7th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-0 Dukla Banská BystricaNike Liga
  • DA2-2 PodbrezováNike Liga
  • LH1-2 Slovan BratislavaNike Liga
  • WA4-2 SkalicaNike Liga
  • DH3-3 AS TrencinNike Liga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 6,6,3,4,3
Key players Mátyás Kovács 🇭🇺 48.1, David Gallovic 46.2, Dominik Kružliak 🇸🇰 45.3, Milan Rehus 41.8, Filip Lichý 🇸🇰 40.8
Nationalities 🇸🇰 20 · 🇦🇹 2 · 🇭🇷 2 · 🇸🇱 1 · 🇺🇸 1 · 🇲🇪 1 · +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
587th07-26 v Žilina: +0.008-01 v AS Trencin: +0.008-15 v Skalica: +3.008-22 v Slovan Bratislava: -2.008-29 v Podbrezová: +0.009-06 v Dukla Banská Bystrica: +4.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.