Daily Football Model

2026-09-16 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇷🇺 Russia First League

league draws 31% · chaos 54lively

Enisey (14th) v Arsenal Tula (10th)

1 46%
X 29%
2 25%
Prediction: Enisey to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 45%
Match preview

The model makes Enisey narrow favourites at 46%, with Arsenal Tula at 25% and the draw at 29%. Watch Luka Ratkovic and Astemir Khashkulov for Enisey, and Daniil Penchikov and Igor Gorbunov for Arsenal Tula.

Enisey: Krasnoyarsk club - deep-Siberia location makes them one of the league's most punishing away trips (4h+ flights, big time-zone shift). · Arsenal Tula: Ex-RPL club (top flight 2014-21) now a settled second-tier side: 13th in 25/26 with a league-high 15 draws, after a 16-game winless run blighted 24/25.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Enisey (14th)

Krasnoyarsk club - deep-Siberia location makes them one of the league's most punishing away trips (4h+ flights, big time-zone shift). Brief RPL cameo 2018/19; quietly strong 25/26, finishing 6th (49pts). Upper-mid projection.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 14th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-4 Rotor VolgogradRussia First League
  • LH0-2 FK NeftekhimikRussia First League
  • DH0-0 Shinnik YaroslavlRussia First League
  • LA1-3 FC UFARussia First League
  • DH2-2 KAMAZRussia First League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 4,4,0,2,4
Key players Luka Ratkovic, Astemir Khashkulov, Mikhail Oparin
Nationalities 🇷🇺 6
Season pulse season 2026
21414th07-11 v Volga Ulyanovsk: +2.007-19 v Ural: -4.007-26 v Veles: +4.008-01 v Spartak Kostroma: +0.008-08 v Tekstilshchik: +0.008-15 v KAMAZ: +0.008-23 v FC UFA: -3.008-30 v Shinnik Yaroslavl: +0.009-05 v FK Neftekhimik: -3.009-13 v Rotor Volgograd: -5.0

Arsenal Tula (10th)

Ex-RPL club (top flight 2014-21) now a settled second-tier side: 13th in 25/26 with a league-high 15 draws, after a 16-game winless run blighted 24/25. Arsenal Stadium (19k) big for the level. Draw-heavy profile; mid-lower projection.

Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 10th (13 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 Ska-khabarovskRussia First League
  • LA0-3 Volga UlyanovskRussia First League
  • DH2-2 UralRussia First League
  • LA0-2 VelesRussia First League
  • WH2-1 Rotor VolgogradRussia First League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 3,2,4,3,4
Key players Daniil Penchikov, Igor Gorbunov, Milos Brnovic
Nationalities 🇷🇺 2 · 🇲🇪 1 · 🇧🇯 1 · 🇩🇴 1
Season pulse season 2026
51510th07-19 v FK Neftekhimik: -2.007-26 v FC Sochi: -6.008-02 v Torpedo Moskva: +2.008-08 v Shinnik Yaroslavl: +0.008-15 v Leningradets: +0.008-20 v Rotor Volgograd: +2.008-24 v Veles: -3.008-29 v Ural: +0.009-05 v Volga Ulyanovsk: -4.009-13 v Ska-khabarovsk: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.