Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 2 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚪馃嚧 SuperLiga

league draws 28% · chaos 11orderly

Arges Pitesti (11th) v FC Botosani (7th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 44%
X 29%
2 27%
Prediction: Arges Pitesti to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 34%
xG overlay · Arges Pitesti better on chances than on results by 0.27 goals, shifted the price by up to 1.3 pts
Match preview

The model makes Arges Pitesti narrow favourites at 44%, with FC Botosani at 27% and the draw at 29%. Arges Pitesti have lost 3 straight (2 scored, 4 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 34%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Adel Bettaieb 馃嚬馃嚦 and Ricardo Matos 馃嚨馃嚬 for Arges Pitesti, and Sebastian Mailat 馃嚪馃嚧 and Hervin Ongenda 馃嚝馃嚪 for FC Botosani.

Arges Pitesti: FC Arge葯, historic Pite葯ti club revived; the modern Nicolae Dobrin. · FC Botosani: North-eastern club, a steady modern top-flight overachiever; small ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Arges Pitesti (11th)

FC Arge葯, historic Pite葯ti club revived; the modern Nicolae Dobrin. Recently promoted, mid-table, loyal support.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 41.2 in league · 13th of 17
Seasons 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 11th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 FC VoluntariSuperLiga
  • LH0-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSuperLiga
  • LA0-1 O牛elulSuperLiga
  • DH1-1 Farul ConstantaSuperLiga
  • WA1-0 Universitatea CraiovaSuperLiga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNN match totals 1,2,1,1,1
Key players Dorinel Oancea 馃嚪馃嚧 42.7, Guilherme Garutti 馃嚙馃嚪 41.5, Leard Sadriu 馃嚱馃嚢 40.0, Adel Bettaieb 馃嚬馃嚦 37.3, Robert Moldoveanu 馃嚪馃嚧 37.0
Nationalities 馃嚪馃嚧 18 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚙馃嚘 1 路 馃嚥馃嚛 1 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1 路 +11 more
Season pulse season 2026
11611th07-17 v FCSB: -3.207-24 v Petrolul Ploiesti: +1.907-31 v Csikszereda: +2.008-09 v Universitatea Craiova: +2.008-14 v Farul Constanta: +0.008-24 v O牛elul: -2.008-29 v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: -2.009-07 v FC Voluntari: -2.0

FC Botosani (7th)

North-eastern club, a steady modern top-flight overachiever; small ground. Punches above a modest budget, mid-table.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 58.1 in league · 5th of 17
Seasons 2023: 14th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 7th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH5-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSuperLiga
  • DA0-0 Farul ConstantaSuperLiga
  • WH1-0 CsikszeredaSuperLiga
  • LA2-3 FCSBSuperLiga
  • DH0-0 Corvinul HunedoaraSuperLiga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 0,5,1,0,5
Key players Hervin Ongenda 馃嚝馃嚪 56.0, Andrei Dumiter 馃嚪馃嚧 50.7, Zoran Mitrov 馃嚪馃嚧 45.6, Lucas de Vega 馃嚙馃嚪 45.4, Giannis Anestis 馃嚞馃嚪 44.5
Nationalities 馃嚪馃嚧 22 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚙馃嚘 2 路 馃嚞馃嚪 1 路 馃嚥馃嚰 1 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
2147th07-17 v FC Voluntari: -0.207-27 v Rapid: +0.108-03 v Universitatea Cluj: -2.008-10 v Corvinul Hunedoara: +0.008-17 v FCSB: -2.008-24 v Csikszereda: +2.008-30 v Farul Constanta: +0.009-05 v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: +6.0
league draws 28% · chaos 11orderly

Corvinul Hunedoara (8th) v Universitatea Craiova (4th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 23%
X 28%
2 49%
Prediction: Universitatea Craiova to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 37%
Match preview

The model makes Universitatea Craiova narrow favourites at 49%, with Corvinul Hunedoara at 23% and the draw at 28%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 37%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Andrej F谩bry 馃嚫馃嚢 and S茅rgio Ribeiro 馃嚨馃嚬 for Corvinul Hunedoara, and 葮tefan Baiaram 馃嚪馃嚧 and Steven Nsimba 馃嚝馃嚪 for Universitatea Craiova.

Corvinul Hunedoara: Hunedoara club, romantic 2024 cup shock winner from the lower tiers; modest ground. · Universitatea Craiova: Oltenia powerhouse, title challenger and cup winner; the modern Ion Oblemenco (30k), best atmosphere in Romania.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Corvinul Hunedoara (8th)

Hunedoara club, romantic 2024 cup shock winner from the lower tiers; modest ground. Giant-killing pedigree, mid-table.

Squad quality 52.0 in league · 11th of 17
Seasons 2026 so far: 8th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-2 Petrolul PloiestiSuperLiga
  • DH1-1 Dinamo BucurestiSuperLiga
  • DA0-0 Uta AradSuperLiga
  • WH3-0 CFR 1907 ClujSuperLiga
  • DA0-0 FC BotosaniSuperLiga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 0,3,0,2,2
Key players Antoniu Manolache 馃嚪馃嚧 51.1, Flavius Iacob 馃嚪馃嚧 47.3, Codru葲 Sandu 馃嚪馃嚧 44.8, Mihajlo Ivan膷evi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 44.8, Andrej F谩bry 馃嚫馃嚢 37.0
Nationalities 馃嚪馃嚧 11 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 馃嚨馃嚜 1 路 馃嚥馃嚛 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
2108th07-20 v Csikszereda: +4.007-25 v Farul Constanta: -3.008-02 v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: +0.008-10 v FC Botosani: +0.008-16 v CFR 1907 Cluj: +4.008-22 v Uta Arad: +0.008-29 v Dinamo Bucuresti: +0.009-06 v Petrolul Ploiesti: -3.0

Universitatea Craiova (4th)

Oltenia powerhouse, title challenger and cup winner; the modern Ion Oblemenco (30k), best atmosphere in Romania. Big fanbase.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 79.3 in league · 1st of 17
Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 4th (14 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH4-0 Universitatea ClujSuperLiga
  • DA1-1 RapidSuperLiga
  • LA0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEL
  • WH3-1 FC VoluntariSuperLiga
  • DH1-1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 1,2,4,2,4
Key players Vladimir Screciu 馃嚪馃嚧 60.8, Carlos Mora 馃嚚馃嚪 52.8, Nicu葯or Bancu 馃嚪馃嚧 52.8, Nikola Stevanovi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 50.7, Assad Al-Hamlawi 50.0
Nationalities 馃嚪馃嚧 22 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚨馃嚬 3 路 馃嚭馃嚘 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚞馃嚩 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
1124th07-18 v Uta Arad: +5.107-25 v Dinamo Bucuresti: -5.008-01 v Petrolul Ploiesti: +5.008-09 v Arges Pitesti: -2.008-16 v O牛elul: +0.008-23 v FC Voluntari: +3.008-31 v Rapid: +0.009-07 v Universitatea Cluj: +5.0

Club map · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city (temperatures unavailable offline; they refresh with the daily run); ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.