Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 7 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚦馃嚧 OBOS-ligaen

league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

Egersund (8th) v Kongsvinger (1st)🔥

1 29%
X 23%
2 49%
Prediction: Kongsvinger to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 69%
Match preview

The model makes Kongsvinger narrow favourites at 49%, with Egersund at 29% and the draw at 23%. Kongsvinger are unbeaten in five (19 scored, 8 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 69%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 69%.

Egersund: Small Rogaland coastal club (Egersund), a modern second-tier arrival; tiny ground, short season. · Kongsvinger: Inland Hedmark club, a historic yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, cold short season.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Egersund (8th)

Small Rogaland coastal club (Egersund), a modern second-tier arrival; tiny ground, short season.

Seasons 2024: 5th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 8th (28 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 LynOBOS-ligaen
  • DH2-2 AsaneOBOS-ligaen
  • LA0-3 HaugesundOBOS-ligaen
  • LH0-4 StabaekOBOS-ligaen
  • WA2-0 StromsgodsetOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,4,3,4,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 28 路 馃嚫馃嚜 5 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚤馃嚪 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1
Season pulse season 2026
3118th06-21 v Haugesund: +4.006-27 v Sogndal: -3.007-04 v Moss: +4.007-26 v Asane: +0.008-02 v Sandnes ULF: +3.008-09 v Stromsgodset: +3.008-16 v Stabaek: -5.008-26 v Haugesund: -4.008-30 v Asane: +0.009-06 v Lyn: +0.0

Kongsvinger (1st)🔥

strong away

Inland Hedmark club, a historic yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, cold short season.

Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 4th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 1st (46 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH9-1 RaufossOBOS-ligaen
  • DH4-4 LynOBOS-ligaen
  • WA1-0 ODD BallklubbOBOS-ligaen
  • WH3-2 HaugesundOBOS-ligaen
  • WA2-1 AsaneOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,5,1,8,10
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 21 路 馃嚫馃嚜 4 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚤馃嚭 1 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 馃嚪馃嚭 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
151st06-21 v Stromsgodset: +0.006-27 v Haugesund: -3.007-03 v Sogndal: +5.007-26 v Sandnes ULF: +6.008-02 v Strommen: -3.008-09 v Asane: +2.008-16 v Haugesund: +2.008-26 v ODD Ballklubb: +2.008-30 v Lyn: +0.009-05 v Raufoss: +6.0
league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

hodd (5th) v Lyn (9th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 43%
X 24%
2 33%
Prediction: hodd to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 58%
Match preview

The model makes hodd narrow favourites at 43%, with Lyn at 33% and the draw at 24%. hodd have won 3 of their last five (13 scored, 12 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 58%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band.

Lyn: Oslo club, a historic former champion that collapsed to the lower leagues and is climbing back; big name, small current crowds.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

hodd (5th)

Ulsteinvik. Sunnmore coastal club (IL Hodd), a cup winner and yo-yo second-tier side; small remote ground, long travel.

Seasons 2023: 14th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 5th (34 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 AsaneOBOS-ligaen
  • WH2-1 StabaekOBOS-ligaen
  • LA1-3 StromsgodsetOBOS-ligaen
  • WH4-3 StrommenOBOS-ligaen
  • WA4-3 Sandnes ULFOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 7,7,4,3,4
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 33 路 馃嚤馃嚮 1 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1
Season pulse season 2026
5125th06-21 v ODD Ballklubb: +0.006-27 v Lyn: +4.007-04 v Stromsgodset: +2.007-27 v Stabaek: -6.008-02 v Moss: +2.008-09 v Sandnes ULF: +2.008-16 v Strommen: +2.008-26 v Stromsgodset: -3.008-30 v Stabaek: +2.009-05 v Asane: +0.0

Lyn (9th)

Oslo club, a historic former champion that collapsed to the lower leagues and is climbing back; big name, small current crowds.

Seasons 2024: 6th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 9th (25 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 EgersundOBOS-ligaen
  • DA4-4 KongsvingerOBOS-ligaen
  • WA2-1 AsaneOBOS-ligaen
  • WH5-1 ODD BallklubbOBOS-ligaen
  • LA3-4 StabaekOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 7,6,3,8,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 30 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1
Season pulse season 2026
51611th06-19 v Ranheim: -2.006-27 v hodd: -4.007-02 v Asane: +5.007-25 v Stromsgodset: +0.008-02 v Sogndal: +2.008-08 v Stabaek: -2.008-15 v ODD Ballklubb: +5.008-26 v Asane: +2.008-30 v Kongsvinger: +0.009-06 v Egersund: +0.0
league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

Moss (13th) v Haugesund (2nd)

1 20%
X 20%
2 60%
Prediction: Haugesund to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 83%
Match preview

The model makes Haugesund clear favourites at 60%, with Moss at 20% and the draw at 20%. Haugesund arrive on a 3-game winning run (16 scored, 5 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 76%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 83%.

Moss: Ostfold club, 1987 Norwegian champions long faded; a second-tier side rebuilding on a modest base. · Haugesund: West-coast club (FK Haugesund), a recent Eliteserien fixture now down; Haugesund stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Moss (13th)

Ostfold club, 1987 Norwegian champions long faded; a second-tier side rebuilding on a modest base.

Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 13th | 2026 so far: 13th (22 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 StabaekOBOS-ligaen
  • LH1-2 StrommenOBOS-ligaen
  • DH2-2 SogndalOBOS-ligaen
  • LA1-2 BryneOBOS-ligaen
  • DH3-3 ODD BallklubbOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 6,3,4,3,5
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 28 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚬馃嚪 1 路 馃嚛馃嚡 1 路 馃嚥馃嚢 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
31413th06-21 v Sandnes ULF: -4.006-27 v Strommen: -2.007-04 v Egersund: -4.007-26 v Raufoss: -2.008-02 v hodd: -2.008-10 v ODD Ballklubb: +0.008-15 v Bryne: -2.008-26 v Sogndal: +0.008-30 v Strommen: -2.009-05 v Stabaek: +2.0

Haugesund (2nd)

West-coast club (FK Haugesund), a recent Eliteserien fixture now down; Haugesund stadium. Aims for a swift return.

Seasons 2026 so far: 2nd (46 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 SogndalOBOS-ligaen
  • WA2-0 BryneOBOS-ligaen
  • WH3-0 EgersundOBOS-ligaen
  • LA2-3 KongsvingerOBOS-ligaen
  • WH7-2 RaufossOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNN match totals 9,5,3,2,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 21 路 馃嚛馃嚢 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 馃嚠馃嚫 1 路 馃嚬馃嚦 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
162nd06-21 v Egersund: -4.006-27 v Kongsvinger: +3.007-05 v ODD Ballklubb: +3.007-25 v Bryne: -2.008-03 v Ranheim: +2.008-09 v Raufoss: +6.008-16 v Kongsvinger: -2.008-26 v Egersund: +4.008-30 v Bryne: +3.009-05 v Sogndal: +3.0
league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

Ranheim (10th) v Asane (15th)

1 52%
X 24%
2 24%
Prediction: Ranheim to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 72%
Match preview

The model makes Ranheim narrow favourites at 52%, with Asane at 24% and the draw at 24%. Both teams to score looks likely at 70%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 72%.

Ranheim: Trondheim-suburb club (Ranheim), a second-tier side on an artificial pitch; small ground, develops youth. · Asane: Bergen club (Asane), a second-tier side in Brann's shadow; small ground, short cold season.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Ranheim (10th)

Trondheim-suburb club (Ranheim), a second-tier side on an artificial pitch; small ground, develops youth.

Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 10th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 10th (24 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Sandnes ULFOBOS-ligaen
  • LH3-5 ODD BallklubbOBOS-ligaen
  • LA2-4 StabaekOBOS-ligaen
  • LH1-3 StromsgodsetOBOS-ligaen
  • WA4-1 StrommenOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 5,4,6,8,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 31 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚚馃嚦 1 路 馃嚬馃嚬 1 路 馃嚛馃嚢 1 路 馃嚝馃嚧 1
Season pulse season 2026
3109th06-19 v Lyn: +2.006-27 v Asane: -4.007-03 v Stabaek: -4.007-26 v Sogndal: -2.008-03 v Haugesund: -2.008-09 v Strommen: +4.008-15 v Stromsgodset: -3.008-26 v Stabaek: -3.008-30 v ODD Ballklubb: -3.009-05 v Sandnes ULF: +0.0

Asane (15th)

Bergen club (Asane), a second-tier side in Brann's shadow; small ground, short cold season.

Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 15th (19 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 hoddOBOS-ligaen
  • DA2-2 EgersundOBOS-ligaen
  • LH1-2 LynOBOS-ligaen
  • WA2-1 RaufossOBOS-ligaen
  • LH1-2 KongsvingerOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,3,3,4,4
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 34 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2
Season pulse season 2026
111615th06-21 v Bryne: -2.006-27 v Ranheim: +4.007-02 v Lyn: -5.007-26 v Egersund: +0.008-02 v ODD Ballklubb: -4.008-09 v Kongsvinger: -2.008-16 v Raufoss: +2.008-26 v Lyn: -2.008-30 v Egersund: +0.009-05 v hodd: +0.0
league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

Raufoss (16th) v ODD Ballklubb (6th)

1 26%
X 22%
2 52%
Prediction: ODD Ballklubb to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 62%
Match preview

The model makes ODD Ballklubb narrow favourites at 52%, with Raufoss at 26% and the draw at 22%. Raufoss have lost 5 straight (5 scored, 24 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 63%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Raufoss: Tiny Toten industrial-town club, a modest second-tier side; small ground, short cold season. · ODD Ballklubb: Skien club (Odd), one of Norway's oldest with cup pedigree, recently relegated; Skagerak Arena.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Raufoss (16th)

Tiny Toten industrial-town club, a modest second-tier side; small ground, short cold season.

Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 16th (16 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-9 KongsvingerOBOS-ligaen
  • LH0-3 Sandnes ULFOBOS-ligaen
  • LA1-3 StrommenOBOS-ligaen
  • LH1-2 AsaneOBOS-ligaen
  • LA2-7 HaugesundOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 9,3,4,3,10
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 24 路 馃嚞馃嚟 3 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚞馃嚥 2 路 馃嚤馃嚮 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
111616th06-21 v Sogndal: +3.006-27 v Sandnes ULF: -4.007-03 v Strommen: +2.007-26 v Moss: +2.008-02 v Stabaek: -3.008-09 v Haugesund: -6.008-16 v Asane: -2.008-26 v Strommen: -3.008-30 v Sandnes ULF: -4.009-05 v Kongsvinger: -6.0

ODD Ballklubb (6th)

Skien club (Odd), one of Norway's oldest with cup pedigree, recently relegated; Skagerak Arena. Aims to bounce back.

Seasons 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 6th (33 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 StromsgodsetOBOS-ligaen
  • WA5-3 RanheimOBOS-ligaen
  • LH0-1 KongsvingerOBOS-ligaen
  • LA1-5 LynOBOS-ligaen
  • DA3-3 MossOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 6,6,1,8,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 30 路 馃嚦馃嚞 3 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚞馃嚥 1 路 馃嚝馃嚠 1 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
166th06-21 v hodd: +0.006-27 v Stromsgodset: +0.007-05 v Haugesund: -3.007-26 v Strommen: +0.008-02 v Asane: +4.008-10 v Moss: +0.008-15 v Lyn: -5.008-26 v Kongsvinger: -2.008-30 v Ranheim: +3.009-05 v Stromsgodset: +0.0
league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

Sogndal (14th) v Strommen (12th)

1 48%
X 24%
2 27%
Prediction: Sogndal to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 72%
Match preview

The model makes Sogndal narrow favourites at 48%, with Strommen at 27% and the draw at 24%. Strommen arrive on a 3-game winning run (11 scored, 10 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 71%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 72%.

Sogndal: Remote Sogn fjord-village club, a famed developer and yo-yo side; small ground, spectacular but isolated setting, long travel.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sogndal (14th)

Remote Sogn fjord-village club, a famed developer and yo-yo side; small ground, spectacular but isolated setting, long travel.

Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 14th (22 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-2 HaugesundOBOS-ligaen
  • LH2-3 StromsgodsetOBOS-ligaen
  • DA2-2 MossOBOS-ligaen
  • WH2-0 Sandnes ULFOBOS-ligaen
  • LH0-2 BryneOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYN match totals 2,2,4,5,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 19 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚛馃嚢 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
101614th06-21 v Raufoss: -3.006-27 v Egersund: +3.007-03 v Kongsvinger: -5.007-26 v Ranheim: +2.008-02 v Lyn: -2.008-09 v Bryne: -3.008-16 v Sandnes ULF: +3.008-26 v Moss: +0.008-30 v Stromsgodset: -2.009-05 v Haugesund: -3.0

Strommen (12th)

Str酶mmen. Small Akershus club (Strommen), a modest second-tier side; small ground, short cold season.

Seasons 2026 so far: 12th (24 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 BryneOBOS-ligaen
  • WA2-1 MossOBOS-ligaen
  • WH3-1 RaufossOBOS-ligaen
  • LA3-4 hoddOBOS-ligaen
  • LH1-4 RanheimOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 5,7,4,3,2
Season pulse season 2026
91612th06-21 v Stabaek: +2.006-27 v Moss: +2.007-03 v Raufoss: -2.007-26 v ODD Ballklubb: +0.008-02 v Kongsvinger: +3.008-09 v Ranheim: -4.008-16 v hodd: -2.008-26 v Raufoss: +3.008-30 v Moss: +2.009-05 v Bryne: +3.0
league draws 22% · chaos 54lively

Stromsgodset (4th) v Sandnes ULF (11th)

1 72%
X 19%
2 9%
Prediction: Stromsgodset to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 71%
Match preview

The model makes Stromsgodset clear favourites at 72%, with Sandnes ULF at 9% and the draw at 19%. Stromsgodset have won 3 of their last five (10 scored, 7 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 66%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 71%.

Stromsgodset: Drammen club, 2013 Norwegian champions with a loyal following, recently relegated; Marienlyst. · Sandnes ULF: Rogaland club (Sandnes Ulf), a yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, artificial-era pitch.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Stromsgodset (4th)

Drammen club, 2013 Norwegian champions with a loyal following, recently relegated; Marienlyst. Aims for a swift return.

Seasons 2026 so far: 4th (42 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 ODD BallklubbOBOS-ligaen
  • WA3-2 SogndalOBOS-ligaen
  • WH3-1 hoddOBOS-ligaen
  • WA3-1 RanheimOBOS-ligaen
  • LH0-2 EgersundOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 2,4,4,5,2
Nationalities 馃嚦馃嚧 26 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚫馃嚤 1 路 馃嚱馃嚢 1 路 馃嚠馃嚫 1
Season pulse season 2026
1104th06-21 v Kongsvinger: +0.006-27 v ODD Ballklubb: +0.007-04 v hodd: -2.007-25 v Lyn: +0.008-01 v Bryne: +3.008-09 v Egersund: -3.008-15 v Ranheim: +3.008-26 v hodd: +3.008-30 v Sogndal: +2.009-05 v ODD Ballklubb: +0.0

Sandnes ULF (11th)

Rogaland club (Sandnes Ulf), a yo-yo second-tier side; small ground, artificial-era pitch.

Seasons 2023: 13th | 2024: 16th | 2026 so far: 11th (24 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 RanheimOBOS-ligaen
  • WA3-0 RaufossOBOS-ligaen
  • LH0-1 BryneOBOS-ligaen
  • LA0-2 SogndalOBOS-ligaen
  • LH3-4 hoddOBOS-ligaen
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYN match totals 7,2,1,3,2
Season pulse season 2026
71410th06-21 v Moss: +4.006-27 v Raufoss: +4.007-04 v Bryne: +0.007-26 v Kongsvinger: -6.008-02 v Egersund: -3.008-09 v hodd: -2.008-16 v Sogndal: -3.008-22 v Bryne: -2.008-30 v Raufoss: +4.009-05 v Ranheim: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.