Daily Football Model

2026-09-16 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇱🇹 A Lyga

league draws 26% · chaos 90volatile

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (4th) v Kauno Žalgiris (2nd)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 28%
X 27%
2 46%
Prediction: Kauno Žalgiris to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 44%
Match preview

The model makes Kauno Žalgiris narrow favourites at 46%, with FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 28% and the draw at 27%. Kauno Žalgiris arrive on a 3-game winning run (12 scored, 2 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch L. Dumančić 🇭🇷 and V. Radenović 🇲🇪 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, and A. Benchaib 🇧🇪 and D. Georgijević 🇷🇸 for Kauno Žalgiris.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Vilnius giant, serial Lithuanian champions and European regular; LFF Stadium, artificial-era, cold calendar. · Kauno Žalgiris: Kaunas club (distinct from Vilnius Žalgiris), recent title challenger; artificial turf, cold calendar.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (4th)

Vilnius giant, serial Lithuanian champions and European regular; LFF Stadium, artificial-era, cold calendar. UECL entrant; best European pedigree in Lithuania.

Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 1st | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 4th (45 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
  • WH1-0 ŠiauliaiA Lyga
  • LA0-2 PanevėžysA Lyga
  • WH2-0 Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
  • LH2-3 BangaA Lyga
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 5,2,2,1,0
Key players L. Dumančić 🇭🇷, V. Radenović 🇲🇪, L. Antal 🇷🇴
Nationalities 🇱🇹 17 · 🇫🇷 3 · 🇸🇪 3 · 🇷🇸 2 · 🇷🇴 2 · 🇭🇷 1 · +10 more
Season pulse season 2026
2105th06-20 v Banga: -4.006-28 v Džiugas Telšiai: +0.007-05 v Šiauliai: +4.007-19 v TransINVEST Vilnius: +3.007-27 v Hegelmann Litauen: +2.008-16 v Banga: -2.008-23 v Džiugas Telšiai: +3.008-30 v Panevėžys: -3.009-06 v Šiauliai: +2.009-13 v Suduva Marijampole: +0.0

Kauno Žalgiris (2nd)

Kaunas club (distinct from Vilnius Žalgiris), recent title challenger; artificial turf, cold calendar. UCL entrant (champions route); resurgent.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 2nd (54 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 PanevėžysA Lyga
  • WH5-1 Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
  • WH5-0 Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
  • DA0-0 BangaA Lyga
  • WH1-0 BeşiktaşUEL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYN match totals 2,0,5,6,1
Key players A. Benchaib 🇧🇪, D. Georgijević 🇷🇸, R. Lekiatas 🇱🇹
Nationalities 🇱🇹 15 · 🇷🇸 3 · 🇬🇪 2 · 🇳🇬 1 · 🇦🇹 1 · 🇧🇪 1 · +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
142nd06-20 v TransINVEST Vilnius: +2.007-03 v Džiugas Telšiai: +0.007-11 v Panevėžys: +4.007-18 v Šiauliai: +5.008-08 v Hegelmann Litauen: +3.008-16 v TransINVEST Vilnius: +0.008-30 v Banga: +0.009-06 v Džiugas Telšiai: +6.009-09 v Suduva Marijampole: +5.009-13 v Panevėžys: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.