Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚝馃嚪 Ligue 2

league draws 32% · chaos 93volatile

Guingamp (11th) v Annecy (2nd)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 33%
X 29%
2 38%
Prediction: Annecy to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 51%
Match preview

The model makes Annecy the marginal call at 38%, with Guingamp at 33% and the draw at 29%. Annecy have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 5 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Louis Mafouta and Donatien Gomis 馃嚫馃嚦 for Guingamp, and Clement Billemaz 馃嚝馃嚪 and Ahmed Kashi 馃嚛馃嚳 for Annecy.

Guingamp: Brittany village club (pop 7k) with L1 history and Roudourou passion; upper-mid 25/26 despite an 0-4 home loss to Red Star early. · Annecy: Alpine-lake club consolidated in L2; won 5-1 at Nancy late season.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Guingamp (11th)

Brittany village club (pop 7k) with L1 history and Roudourou passion; upper-mid 25/26 despite an 0-4 home loss to Red Star early. Playoff-race candidate.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 55.8 in league · 6th of 17
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 11th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 ReimsLigue 2
  • DH3-3 NantesLigue 2
  • LA0-1 SochauxLigue 2
  • WH1-0 BoulogneLigue 2
  • LA1-2 MetzLigue 2
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 3,1,1,6,4
Key players Donatien Gomis 馃嚫馃嚦 67.9, Albin Demouchy 馃嚝馃嚪 58.3, Adri谩n Ortol谩 馃嚜馃嚫 57.3, Amine Hemia 馃嚝馃嚪 48.9, Yohan Demoncy 馃嚝馃嚪 45.3
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 23 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 馃嚢馃嚥 1 路 Central African Republic 1 路 馃嚞馃嚨 1
Season pulse season 2026
71511th08-08 v Metz: -2.008-14 v Boulogne: +2.008-21 v Sochaux: -2.008-29 v Nantes: +0.009-05 v Reims: +0.0

Annecy (2nd)

strong away

Alpine-lake club consolidated in L2; won 5-1 at Nancy late season. Parc des Sports, mountain weather. Tidy possession side; mid-table projection.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 43.0 in league · 10th of 17
Seasons 2023: 14th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 2nd (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-1 GrenobleLigue 2
  • DH1-1 MetzLigue 2
  • LA1-3 ReimsLigue 2
  • WH2-0 RodezLigue 2
  • WA1-0 PAULigue 2
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 1,2,4,2,3
Key players Francois Lajugie 馃嚝馃嚪 55.3, Axel Drouhin 馃嚝馃嚪 54.0, Thibault Rambaud 馃嚝馃嚪 47.1, Alexis Casadei 45.6, Antoine Larose 馃嚝馃嚪 44.7
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 25 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 2 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 馃嚚馃嚛 1 路 馃嚚馃嚟 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
262nd08-08 v PAU: +2.008-14 v Rodez: +3.008-24 v Reims: -3.008-29 v Metz: +0.009-04 v Grenoble: +2.0
league draws 32% · chaos 93volatile

Sochaux (9th) v Nantes (16th)

1 46%
X 28%
2 26%
Prediction: Sochaux to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 43%
Match preview

The model makes Sochaux narrow favourites at 46%, with Nantes at 26% and the draw at 28%. Watch Matthis Abline 馃嚝馃嚪 and Anthony Lopes 馃嚨馃嚬 for Nantes.

Sochaux: Historic Peugeot-town club promoted back from National alongside Dijon after near-liquidation. · Nantes: Relegated from L1, ending decades of top-flight membership - a seismic fall for the 8-time champions.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sochaux (9th)

Historic Peugeot-town club promoted back from National alongside Dijon after near-liquidation. Bonal nostalgic. Rebuilding on a budget; lower-mid target.

Seasons 2026 so far: 9th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 PAULigue 2
  • DA0-0 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • WH1-0 GuingampLigue 2
  • DA0-0 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • LH0-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNN match totals 3,0,1,0,2
Key players Mehdi Jeannin 53.7, Mathieu Peybernes 42.6, Dalangunypole Gomis 41.0, 脡lie N'Gatta 39.6, Samy Baghdadi 35.9
Season pulse season 2026
8189th08-08 v Saint Etienne: -4.008-14 v RED Star FC 93: +0.008-21 v Guingamp: +2.008-28 v Clermont Foot: +0.009-04 v PAU: +0.0

Nantes (16th)

Relegated from L1, ending decades of top-flight membership - a seismic fall for the 8-time champions. Beaujoire 35k will dominate L2 attendances. Kita-ownership unrest is the risk; on paper the division's strongest squad.

Squad quality 42.3 in league · 11th of 17
Seasons 2026 so far: 16th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 NancyLigue 2
  • DA3-3 GuingampLigue 2
  • LH2-5 RodezLigue 2
  • LA1-2 LavalLigue 2
  • LH0-1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 1,3,7,6,1
Key players Wilitty Younoussa 馃嚚馃嚥 50.5, Mathieu Cafaro 馃嚝馃嚪 47.6, Killian Corredor 馃嚝馃嚪 46.8, Johann Lepenant 馃嚝馃嚪 45.4, Ignatius Ganago 馃嚚馃嚥 45.0
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 21 路 馃嚢馃嚪 2 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚢馃嚥 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚜馃嚞 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
141816th08-08 v RED Star FC 93: -2.008-14 v Laval: -2.008-22 v Rodez: -4.008-29 v Guingamp: +0.009-07 v Nancy: +2.0
league draws 32% · chaos 93volatile

Dunkerque (10th) v Saint Etienne (1st)🔥

⚡ SQUAD GAP: SAINT ETIENNE
1 29%
X 29%
2 42%
Prediction: Saint Etienne to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 63%↑0.7
Match preview

The model makes Saint Etienne narrow favourites at 42%, with Dunkerque at 29% and the draw at 29%. Saint Etienne arrive on a 5-game winning run (16 scored, 4 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 64%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 63%. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Saint Etienne the stronger. Watch Enzo Bardeli 馃嚝馃嚪 and Thomas Robinet 馃嚝馃嚪 for Dunkerque, and Lucas Stassin 馃嚙馃嚜 and Zuriko Davitashvili 馃嚞馃嚜 for Saint Etienne.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Dunkerque (10th)

Dunkirk. Ambitious northern club (beat Amiens 6-2); investor-backed, punched into the top half of 25/26. Marcel-Tribut small. Playoff-race dark horse.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 44.4 in league · 8th of 17
Seasons 2023: 16th | 2024: 4th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 10th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • LA0-2 NancyLigue 2
  • LH0-1 MontpellierLigue 2
  • DA3-3 ReimsLigue 2
  • WH4-2 GrenobleLigue 2
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 6,6,1,2,2
Key players Thomas Robinet 馃嚝馃嚪 51.0, Opa Sangante 50.7, Adrien Lebeau 48.9, Egor Prutsev 馃嚪馃嚭 47.2, Th茅na Massock 馃嚝馃嚪 42.6
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 17 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
21010th08-08 v Grenoble: +3.008-14 v Reims: +0.008-21 v Montpellier: -2.008-28 v Nancy: -3.009-04 v Clermont Foot: +0.0

Saint Etienne (1st)🔥

Saint-Etienne. Fallen giant stuck in L2: strong 25/26 (6-0 over Pau, 5-game win run) but missed automatic promotion and fell short in the playoffs. Geoffroy-Guichard 40k = absurd for L2. Promotion favourite; pressure enormous.

Style Fast and clean from 2025
Squad quality 85.9 in league · 1st of 17
Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2025: 3rd | 2026 so far: 1st (15 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
  • WA3-2 DijonLigue 2
  • WH4-0 GrenobleLigue 2
  • WH3-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • WA3-0 SochauxLigue 2
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,4,4,5,4
Key players Sohaib Nair 馃嚝馃嚪 66.1, Irvin Cardona 馃嚝馃嚪 64.4, Jakob Breum 馃嚛馃嚢 61.0, Julien Le Cardinal 馃嚝馃嚪 56.7, Augustine Boakye 馃嚞馃嚟 55.1
Nationalities 馃嚝馃嚪 19 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 2 路 馃嚥馃嚘 1 路 馃嚞馃嚜 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
121st08-08 v Sochaux: +4.008-14 v Clermont Foot: +3.008-22 v Grenoble: +5.008-31 v Dijon: +2.009-05 v Montpellier: +3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.