Daily Football Model

2026-09-12 · 12 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 League Two

league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Crawley Town (21st) v Cheltenham (8th)

1 40%
X 27%
2 33%
Prediction: Crawley Town to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 51%
Match preview

The model makes Crawley Town the marginal call at 40%, with Cheltenham at 33% and the draw at 27%. Watch Charlie Barker 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Harry McKirdy 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Crawley Town, and Isaac Hutchinson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Luke Young 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Cheltenham.

Crawley Town: West-Sussex club, a rapid-rising modern side backed by investment; the Broadfield Stadium. · Cheltenham: Gloucestershire club (the Robins), a modest but well-run EFL side; the tight Completely-Suzuki Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Crawley Town (21st)

West-Sussex club, a rapid-rising modern side backed by investment; the Broadfield Stadium. Yo-yo trajectory, small ground and crowds.

Seasons 2023: 4th | 2025: 22nd | 2026 so far: 21st (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA2-3 Accrington STLeague Two
  • DA1-1 NorthamptonLeague Two
  • LH0-2 Bristol RoversLeague Two
  • WA2-1 RochdaleLeague Two
  • LH0-1 CreweLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 1,3,2,2,5
Key players Charlie Barker 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 41.8, Priestley Farquharson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.2, Josh Flint 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 37.0, Jay Williams 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 36.7, Kellan Gordon 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 35.5
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 23 路 馃嚠馃嚜 4 路 馃嚭馃嚫 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1 路 馃嚚馃嚲 1 路 馃嚡馃嚥 1 路 +5 more
Season pulse season 2026
162121st08-15 v Crewe: -2.008-22 v Rochdale: +2.008-29 v Bristol Rovers: -3.009-01 v Northampton: +0.009-05 v Accrington ST: -2.0

Cheltenham (8th)

Gloucestershire club (the Robins), a modest but well-run EFL side; the tight Completely-Suzuki Stadium. Lower-table battler that develops and sells.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 40.6 in league · 16th of 21
Seasons 2024: 15th | 2025: 18th | 2026 so far: 8th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
  • WH3-2 YorkLeague Two
  • DA2-2 BarnetLeague Two
  • LA1-2 Swindon TownLeague Two
  • WH2-1 RotherhamLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,3,4,5,4
Key players Charlie McCann 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 46.5, George Miller 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 39.8, Jake Evans 36.6, Robbie Cundy 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 36.4, Pierce Sweeney 馃嚠馃嚜 35.5
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 24 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 4 路 馃嚠馃嚜 2 路 馃嚤馃嚬 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 馃嚞馃嚥 1
Season pulse season 2026
6148th08-15 v Rotherham: +2.008-22 v Swindon Town: -2.008-29 v Barnet: +0.009-01 v York: +2.009-05 v Grimsby: +0.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Grimsby (11th) v Bristol Rovers (1st)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 42%
X 27%
2 31%
Prediction: Grimsby to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
Match preview

The model makes Grimsby the marginal call at 42%, with Bristol Rovers at 31% and the draw at 27%. Grimsby are unbeaten in five (7 scored, 6 conceded). Bristol Rovers arrive on a 4-game winning run (12 scored, 6 conceded). Watch Kieran Green 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Jaze Kabia 馃嚠馃嚜 for Grimsby, and Jack Sparkes 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Fabrizio Cavegn 馃嚚馃嚟 for Bristol Rovers.

Grimsby: Historic Lincolnshire club playing in Cleethorpes at the atmospheric coastal Blundell Park; famed giant-killers who knocked Manchester United out of the 2025 League Cup. · Bristol Rovers: Bristol's second club (the Gas), a big loyal following and a fierce derby with City; the Memorial Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Grimsby (11th)

Historic Lincolnshire club playing in Cleethorpes at the atmospheric coastal Blundell Park; famed giant-killers who knocked Manchester United out of the 2025 League Cup. Loyal support.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 72.9 in league · 1st of 21
Seasons 2023: 21st | 2024: 9th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 11th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 CheltenhamLeague Two
  • DA2-2 Accrington STLeague Two
  • DH2-2 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
  • DA0-0 WalsallLeague Two
  • WH1-0 Exeter CityLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYY match totals 1,0,4,4,4
Key players Reece Staunton 馃嚠馃嚜 53.5, Andy Cook 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 52.5, Kieran Green 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 51.5, Cameron McJannett 49.8, Charles Vernam 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 45.2
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 21 路 馃嚠馃嚜 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 馃嚝馃嚧 1 路 馃嚢馃嚜 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
71211th08-15 v Exeter City: +2.008-22 v Walsall: +0.008-29 v Fleetwood Town: +0.009-01 v Accrington ST: +0.009-05 v Cheltenham: +0.0

Bristol Rovers (1st)

Bristol's second club (the Gas), a big loyal following and a fierce derby with City; the Memorial Stadium. One of League Two's larger clubs, chasing a climb back up.

Style Cynical disruptor from 2025
Squad quality 71.2 in league · 2nd of 21
Seasons 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 1st (12 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 RotherhamLeague Two
  • WH2-0 ColchesterLeague Two
  • WA2-0 Crawley TownLeague Two
  • WH5-3 Newport CountyLeague Two
  • LA2-3 YorkLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNN match totals 5,8,2,2,1
Key players Ellis Harrison 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 55.3, Tommy Leigh 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 52.8, Kofi Balmer 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 49.4, Bobby Kamwa 馃嚚馃嚥 45.8, Richard Smallwood 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 45.2
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 19 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 7 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 2 路 馃嚠馃嚜 2 路 馃嚚馃嚲 1 路 馃嚫馃嚤 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
1151st08-15 v York: -2.008-22 v Newport County: +3.008-29 v Crawley Town: +3.009-01 v Colchester: +3.009-05 v Rotherham: +2.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Barnet (3rd) v Accrington ST (19th)

1 55%
X 26%
2 19%
Prediction: Barnet to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 51%
Match preview

The model makes Barnet clear favourites at 55%, with Accrington ST at 19% and the draw at 26%. Barnet are unbeaten in five (12 scored, 8 conceded). Barnet also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Ryan Glover 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Adam Senior 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Barnet, and Shaun Whalley 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Isaac Sinclair 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Accrington ST.

Barnet: North-London club (the Bees), recently back in the EFL after winning the National League; The Hive in Canons Park. · Accrington ST: Accrington Stanley, a tiny East-Lancashire club famous for the name and a shoestring budget; the small Wham Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Barnet (3rd)

North-London club (the Bees), recently back in the EFL after winning the National League; The Hive in Canons Park. Well-run, promotion-minded, small crowds.

Style Territorial control from 2025
Squad quality 63.3 in league · 6th of 21
Seasons 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 3rd (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA3-3 ChesterfieldLeague Two
  • DA1-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
  • DH2-2 CheltenhamLeague Two
  • WA3-1 ShrewsburyLeague Two
  • WH3-1 Salford CityLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 4,4,4,2,6
Key players Matthew Cox 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 50.5, Kabongo Tshimanga 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 47.1, Daniele Collinge 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 42.9, Nikola Tavares 馃嚟馃嚪 42.7, Anthony Hartigan 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 40.3
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 26 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 2 路 馃嚘馃嚞 1 路 馃嚫馃嚤 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
133rd08-15 v Salford City: +3.008-22 v Shrewsbury: +3.008-29 v Cheltenham: +0.009-01 v Exeter City: +0.009-05 v Chesterfield: +0.0

Accrington ST (19th)

Accrington Stanley, a tiny East-Lancashire club famous for the name and a shoestring budget; the small Wham Stadium. Perennial overachiever punching above its resources, a lower-table survivor.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 38.3 in league · 17th of 21
Seasons 2023: 17th | 2024: 21st | 2025: 16th | 2026 so far: 19th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-2 Crawley TownLeague Two
  • DH2-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
  • LA2-3 WalsallLeague Two
  • LA0-2 Exeter CityLeague Two
  • DH2-2 ColchesterLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 4,2,5,4,5
Key players Devon Matthews 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 41.7, Josh Woods 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.3, Charlie Caton 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 36.2, Donald Love 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 35.9, Farrend Rawson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 35.4
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 26 路 馃嚠馃嚜 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
112319th08-15 v Colchester: +0.008-22 v Exeter City: -3.008-29 v Walsall: -2.009-01 v Grimsby: +0.009-05 v Crawley Town: +2.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Colchester (12th) v Crewe (7th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 42%
X 27%
2 30%
Prediction: Colchester to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 44%
Match preview

The model makes Colchester narrow favourites at 42%, with Crewe at 30% and the draw at 27%. Crewe are unbeaten in five (5 scored, 3 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Jack Payne 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Arthur Read 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Colchester, and Tommi O'Reilly 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Josh March 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Crewe.

Colchester: Essex club (the U's), a modern EFL fixture; the JobServe Community Stadium. · Crewe: Cheshire club (the Railwaymen), famed for its academy and passing tradition; Gresty Road.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Colchester (12th)

Essex club (the U's), a modern EFL fixture; the JobServe Community Stadium. Develops youth, lower-to-mid table, modest crowds.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 52.9 in league · 8th of 21
Seasons 2023: 22nd | 2024: 10th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 12th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-3 Swindon TownLeague Two
  • LA0-2 Bristol RoversLeague Two
  • WH1-0 RochdaleLeague Two
  • WH2-1 OldhamLeague Two
  • DA2-2 Accrington STLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 4,3,1,2,4
Key players Jack Tucker 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 47.7, Teddy Bishop 44.9, Jack Payne 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.1, Ellis Iandolo 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 39.5, Frankie Terry 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.0
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 31 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1
Season pulse season 2026
31212th08-15 v Accrington ST: +0.008-22 v Oldham: +2.008-29 v Rochdale: +2.009-01 v Bristol Rovers: -3.009-05 v Swindon Town: -3.0

Crewe (7th)

Cheshire club (the Railwaymen), famed for its academy and passing tradition; Gresty Road. Develops and sells talent, lower-to-mid table.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 50.4 in league · 10th of 21
Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 13th | 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 7th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 YorkLeague Two
  • DH2-2 WalsallLeague Two
  • DA0-0 Port ValeLeague Two
  • LA2-3 BarnsleyEFL Cup
  • WH1-0 NorthamptonLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYN match totals 1,1,0,4,2
Key players Mickey Demetriou 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 56.9, Tom Booth 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 40.7, Jack Powell 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 40.2, Mat煤拧 Hol铆膷ek 馃嚫馃嚢 39.3, Josh March 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.8
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 25 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 4 路 馃嚠馃嚜 3 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1
Season pulse season 2026
277th08-15 v Crawley Town: +2.008-22 v Northampton: +2.008-29 v Port Vale: +0.009-01 v Walsall: +0.009-05 v York: +0.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Gillingham (13th) v Tranmere (5th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 43%
X 27%
2 30%
Prediction: Gillingham to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
Match preview

The model makes Gillingham narrow favourites at 43%, with Tranmere at 30% and the draw at 27%. Tranmere are unbeaten in five (9 scored, 5 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Max Clark 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Remeao Hutton 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Gillingham, and Charlie Whitaker 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Omari Patrick 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Tranmere.

Gillingham: Kent's only EFL club, isolated in the county's football map; Priestfield. · Tranmere: Merseyside club (Birkenhead, Rovers), Prenton Park; a historic lower-league side in the shadow of Liverpool and Everton.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Gillingham (13th)

Kent's only EFL club, isolated in the county's football map; Priestfield. Loyal support, lower-to-mid table, long trips for northern visitors.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 52.8 in league · 9th of 21
Seasons 2023: 12th | 2024: 17th | 2025: 17th | 2026 so far: 13th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA4-1 RochdaleLeague Two
  • DA1-1 ChesterfieldLeague Two
  • DH1-1 NorthamptonLeague Two
  • DA0-0 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
  • LH0-3 WalsallLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNY match totals 3,0,2,2,5
Key players James Brophy 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 50.9, Nick Freeman 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 42.3, Armani Little 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 41.4, Sam Vokes 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 37.6, Max Clark 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 37.6
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 23 路 馃嚠馃嚜 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 2 路 馃嚡馃嚥 1 路 馃嚞馃嚛 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
132313th08-15 v Walsall: -4.008-22 v Fleetwood Town: +0.008-29 v Northampton: +0.009-01 v Chesterfield: +0.009-05 v Rochdale: +4.0

Tranmere (5th)

Merseyside club (Birkenhead, Rovers), Prenton Park; a historic lower-league side in the shadow of Liverpool and Everton. Loyal support, mid-to-lower table.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 49.5 in league · 12th of 21
Seasons 2023: 16th | 2024: 20th | 2025: 21st | 2026 so far: 5th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 OldhamLeague Two
  • DH2-2 RotherhamLeague Two
  • DA2-2 Newport CountyLeague Two
  • DA1-1 Port ValeLeague Two
  • WH2-0 ShrewsburyLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYN match totals 2,2,4,4,2
Key players Tom Ince 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 42.1, Charlie Whitaker 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 39.4, Joe Murphy 馃嚠馃嚜 39.3, Sam Finley 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.9, Jordan Turnbull 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.7
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 28 路 馃嚠馃嚜 2 路 馃嚤馃嚪 1 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 馃嚢馃嚜 1
Season pulse season 2026
4104th08-15 v Shrewsbury: +3.008-22 v Port Vale: +0.008-29 v Newport County: +0.009-01 v Rotherham: +0.009-05 v Oldham: +3.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Newport County (20th) v Fleetwood Town (6th)

1 32%
X 27%
2 41%
Prediction: Fleetwood Town to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 49%
Match preview

The model makes Fleetwood Town the marginal call at 41%, with Newport County at 32% and the draw at 27%. Fleetwood Town are unbeaten in five (6 scored, 3 conceded). Fleetwood Town also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Matthew Baker 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 and Bobby Kamwa 馃嚚馃嚥 for Newport County, and Mark Helm 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Ethan Ennis 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Fleetwood Town.

Newport County: Welsh club in the English pyramid, Rodney Parade (a rugby groundshare with a notoriously heavy pitch); giant-killing cup pedigree. · Fleetwood Town: Small Lancashire fishing-port club, a remarkable modern rise from non-league to the EFL under one owner; Highbury.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Newport County (20th)

Welsh club in the English pyramid, Rodney Parade (a rugby groundshare with a notoriously heavy pitch); giant-killing cup pedigree. A real away-day quirk for visitors.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 30.5 in league · 18th of 21
Seasons 2023: 18th | 2024: 22nd | 2025: 20th | 2026 so far: 20th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 NorthamptonLeague Two
  • LA1-2 Salford CityLeague Two
  • DH2-2 TranmereLeague Two
  • LA3-5 Bristol RoversLeague Two
  • WH3-0 RochdaleLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 3,8,4,3,1
Key players Harrison Biggins 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 39.6, Jake Turner 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.7, Ben Lloyd 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 36.4, Anthony Driscoll-Glennon 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 33.9, Michael Spellman 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 32.2
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 17 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 12 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚦馃嚳 1 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 +3 more
Season pulse season 2026
12020th08-15 v Rochdale: +4.008-22 v Bristol Rovers: -3.008-29 v Tranmere: +0.009-01 v Salford City: -2.009-05 v Northampton: -2.0

Fleetwood Town (6th)

draw merchants

Small Lancashire fishing-port club, a remarkable modern rise from non-league to the EFL under one owner; Highbury. Small crowds, coastal setting.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 47.5 in league · 13th of 21
Seasons 2024: 14th | 2025: 15th | 2026 so far: 6th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-0 ShrewsburyLeague Two
  • DH1-1 OldhamLeague Two
  • DA2-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
  • WH4-0 ShrewsburyEFL Cup
  • DH0-0 GillinghamLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNN match totals 1,0,4,2,2
Key players Mark Helm 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 49.6, Ronan Coughlan 馃嚠馃嚜 48.8, Harrison Neal 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.9, Shaun Rooney 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 42.8, Jake Thomas Batty 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 37.1
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 23 路 馃嚠馃嚜 4 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 2 路 馃嚞馃嚲 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
6116th08-15 v Chesterfield: +2.008-22 v Gillingham: +0.008-29 v Grimsby: +0.009-01 v Oldham: +0.009-05 v Shrewsbury: +3.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Oldham (10th) v Chesterfield (18th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 41%
X 27%
2 32%
Prediction: Oldham to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 43%
Match preview

The model makes Oldham the marginal call at 41%, with Chesterfield at 32% and the draw at 27%. Chesterfield also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Jamie Robson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 and Ryan Woods 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Oldham, and Lee Bonis 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 and Liam Mandeville 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Chesterfield.

Oldham: Greater-Manchester club, a Premier League founder member now fallen, back in the EFL from non-league; Boundary Park, one of the coldest, most exposed grounds in England. · Chesterfield: Derbyshire club (the Spireites), back in the EFL after dominating the National League; the SMH Group Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Oldham (10th)

Greater-Manchester club, a Premier League founder member now fallen, back in the EFL from non-league; Boundary Park, one of the coldest, most exposed grounds in England. Big history.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 68.4 in league · 3rd of 21
Seasons 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 10th (7 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-2 TranmereLeague Two
  • DA1-1 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
  • WH3-0 Swindon TownLeague Two
  • LA1-2 ColchesterLeague Two
  • WH2-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNN match totals 2,3,3,2,2
Key players Mike Fondop 51.6, Matthew Hudson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 50.6, Calum Kavanagh 馃嚠馃嚜 43.9, Jack Stevens 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 42.6, Ryan Woods 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 41.6
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 21 路 馃嚠馃嚜 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 2 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 馃嚥馃嚫 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
41310th08-15 v Port Vale: +3.008-22 v Colchester: -2.008-29 v Swindon Town: +4.009-01 v Fleetwood Town: +0.009-05 v Tranmere: -3.0

Chesterfield (18th)

strong away

Derbyshire club (the Spireites), back in the EFL after dominating the National League; the SMH Group Stadium. Ambitious, well-backed, promotion-minded.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 65.3 in league · 5th of 21
Seasons 2024: 7th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 18th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH3-3 BarnetLeague Two
  • DH1-1 GillinghamLeague Two
  • LA1-2 RotherhamLeague Two
  • WA1-0 Salford CityLeague Two
  • LH0-1 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 1,1,3,2,6
Key players Ryan Boot 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 51.2, Liam Mandeville 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 45.3, Sam Curtis 馃嚠馃嚜 44.9, Dilan Markanday 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 44.3, Kyle McFadzean 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.9
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 21 路 馃嚠馃嚜 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 2 路 馃嚘馃嚤 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
151717th08-15 v Fleetwood Town: -2.008-22 v Salford City: +2.008-29 v Rotherham: -2.009-01 v Gillingham: +0.009-05 v Barnet: +0.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Port Vale (24th) v Exeter City (16th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 38%
X 27%
2 34%
Prediction: Port Vale to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 34%
Match preview

The model makes Port Vale the marginal call at 38%, with Exeter City at 34% and the draw at 27%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 34%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Lorent Tolaj 馃嚚馃嚟 and Jayden Stockley 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Port Vale.

Port Vale: Stoke-on-Trent club (the Valiants), the big old Vale Park and a loyal following; a fallen historic side, promotion-minded, decent crowds for the level. · Exeter City: Devon club (the Grecians), Supporters' Trust-owned and a model of sustainable running; St James Park.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Port Vale (24th)

Stoke-on-Trent club (the Valiants), the big old Vale Park and a loyal following; a fallen historic side, promotion-minded, decent crowds for the level.

Style Under siege from 2024
Squad quality 41.9 in league · 15th of 21
Seasons 2024: 4th | 2026 so far: 24th (2 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 Salford CityLeague Two
  • LA1-3 Swindon TownLeague Two
  • DH0-0 CreweLeague Two
  • DH1-1 TranmereLeague Two
  • LA0-2 OldhamLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYN match totals 2,2,0,4,1
Key players Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.1, Jackson Smith 37.2, Aaron McGowan 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 36.1, Connor Hall 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 34.1, Onel Hern谩ndez 馃嚚馃嚭 33.6
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 14 路 馃嚠馃嚜 3 路 馃嚦馃嚳 1 路 馃嚫馃嚢 1 路 馃嚘馃嚭 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
202424th08-15 v Oldham: -3.008-22 v Tranmere: +0.008-29 v Crewe: +0.009-01 v Swindon Town: -3.009-05 v Salford City: -2.0

Exeter City (16th)

Devon club (the Grecians), Supporters' Trust-owned and a model of sustainable running; St James Park. Develops and sells youth. Long southwest trips for visitors.

Style Fast and clean from 2021
Squad quality 42.6 in league · 14th of 21
Seasons 2026 so far: 16th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 WalsallLeague Two
  • DH1-1 BarnetLeague Two
  • LA1-2 YorkLeague Two
  • WH2-0 Accrington STLeague Two
  • LA0-1 GrimsbyLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNN match totals 1,2,3,2,0
Key players Jack Fitzwater 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 47.8, Luca Woodhouse 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 44.8, Jack Bycroft 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 37.6, Ed James 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 37.4, Reece Cole 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 33.7
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 8 路 馃嚠馃嚜 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
111816th08-15 v Grimsby: -2.008-22 v Accrington ST: +3.008-29 v York: -2.009-01 v Barnet: +0.009-05 v Walsall: +0.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Rotherham (17th) v Salford City (15th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH⚡ SQUAD GAP: SALFORD CITY↓ Rotherham TRANSFERS: WEAKENED -29
1 38%
X 27%
2 34%
Prediction: Rotherham to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 45%
Match preview

The model makes Rotherham the marginal call at 38%, with Salford City at 34% and the draw at 27%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Salford City the stronger. Salford City also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Luke Garbutt 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Daniel Udoh 馃嚦馃嚞 for Salford City.

Rotherham: South-Yorkshire club (the Millers), recently a Championship side now fallen; the modern New York Stadium. · Salford City: Greater-Manchester club owned by the Class of '92 and Beckham, a heavily-backed riser from non-league; Moor Lane.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Rotherham (17th)

South-Yorkshire club (the Millers), recently a Championship side now fallen; the modern New York Stadium. One of the division's bigger clubs, chasing a swift return.

Squad quality 27.7 in league · 20th of 21
Seasons 2026 so far: 17th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 Bristol RoversLeague Two
  • DA2-2 TranmereLeague Two
  • WH2-1 ChesterfieldLeague Two
  • DH1-1 YorkLeague Two
  • LA1-2 CheltenhamLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 3,2,3,4,1
Key players Ted Cann 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 35.6, Emmanuel Adegboyega 馃嚠馃嚜 34.8, Aaron Nemane 馃嚝馃嚪 34.4, Paul Mullin 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 33.7, Tom Bradshaw 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 31.8
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 16 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 3 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
131918th08-15 v Cheltenham: -2.008-22 v York: +0.008-29 v Chesterfield: +2.009-01 v Tranmere: +0.009-05 v Bristol Rovers: -2.0

Salford City (15th)

Greater-Manchester club owned by the Class of '92 and Beckham, a heavily-backed riser from non-league; Moor Lane. Ambitious, well-funded, promotion-minded.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 68.1 in league · 4th of 21
Seasons 2023: 20th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 15th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Port ValeLeague Two
  • WH2-1 Newport CountyLeague Two
  • LA0-1 ShrewsburyLeague Two
  • LH0-1 ChesterfieldLeague Two
  • LA1-3 BarnetLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYN match totals 4,1,1,3,1
Key players Adebola Oluwo 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 53.1, Jorge Grant 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 51.4, Will Aimson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 46.8, Luke Garbutt 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.9, Joe Powell 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 42.1
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 22 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 2 路 馃嚫馃嚤 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 馃嚬馃嚳 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
152315th08-15 v Barnet: -3.008-22 v Chesterfield: -2.008-29 v Shrewsbury: -2.009-01 v Newport County: +2.009-05 v Port Vale: +2.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Shrewsbury (23rd) v Northampton (14th)

≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 26%
X 27%
2 47%
Prediction: Northampton to win (lean) · BTTS: No (strong) · Over 2.5: 33%
Match preview

The model makes Northampton narrow favourites at 47%, with Shrewsbury at 26% and the draw at 27%. Shrewsbury have lost 4 of their last five (2 scored, 10 conceded). The model expects at least one clean sheet: both teams to score sits at just 40%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 33%). Watch William Boyle 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Sam Clucas 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Shrewsbury.

Shrewsbury: Shropshire club (the Shrews), recently relegated from League One; Montgomery Waters Meadow by the Severn. · Northampton: Northamptonshire club (the Cobblers), a modern EFL fixture; Sixfields.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Shrewsbury (23rd)

Shropshire club (the Shrews), recently relegated from League One; Montgomery Waters Meadow by the Severn. Lower-to-mid table, modest crowds.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 26.4 in league · 21st of 21
Seasons 2025: 19th | 2026 so far: 23rd (3 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-2 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
  • LA0-3 RochdaleLeague Two
  • WH1-0 Salford CityLeague Two
  • LA0-4 Fleetwood TownEFL Cup
  • LH1-3 BarnetLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYN match totals 2,4,1,3,2
Key players William Boyle 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.4, Sam Stubbs 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 39.6, Sam Clucas 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 37.0, Tom Anderson 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 32.8, Isaac Fletcher 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 32.1
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 25 路 馃嚠馃嚜 2 路 馃嚚馃嚛 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 馃嚙馃嚜 1
Season pulse season 2026
182423rd08-15 v Tranmere: -3.008-22 v Barnet: -3.008-29 v Salford City: +2.009-01 v Rochdale: -4.009-05 v Fleetwood Town: -3.0

Northampton (14th)

Northamptonshire club (the Cobblers), a modern EFL fixture; Sixfields. Lower-to-mid table, modest crowds.

Style Long ball, physical from 2022
Squad quality 27.7 in league · 19th of 21
Seasons 2026 so far: 14th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 Newport CountyLeague Two
  • DH1-1 Crawley TownLeague Two
  • DA1-1 GillinghamLeague Two
  • LA0-1 CreweLeague Two
  • DH0-0 Swindon TownLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNN match totals 0,1,2,2,1
Key players Lee Evans 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 38.5, Jon Guthrie 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 36.4, Nathaniel Opoku 馃嚞馃嚟 34.2, J. Wormleighton 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 32.8, Janoi Donacien 馃嚤馃嚚 32.0
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 12 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 2 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
131914th08-15 v Swindon Town: +0.008-22 v Crewe: -2.008-29 v Gillingham: +0.009-01 v Crawley Town: +0.009-05 v Newport County: +2.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

Walsall (4th) v Rochdale (22nd)

1 54%
X 26%
2 20%
Prediction: Walsall to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 49%
Match preview

The model makes Walsall narrow favourites at 54%, with Rochdale at 20% and the draw at 26%. Walsall are unbeaten in five (8 scored, 4 conceded). Rochdale have lost 4 of their last five (5 scored, 10 conceded). Walsall also carry markedly more imported squad value than results alone have priced in. Watch Daniel Kanu 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 and Aden Flint 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Walsall.

Walsall: West-Midlands club (the Saddlers), the Bescot Stadium; a long-standing EFL fixture, lower-to-mid table, modest crowds. · Rochdale: Greater-Manchester club (the Dale), Spotland; a long-time EFL member that dropped to non-league and is battling back.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Walsall (4th)

West-Midlands club (the Saddlers), the Bescot Stadium; a long-standing EFL fixture, lower-to-mid table, modest crowds.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 49.8 in league · 11th of 21
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 13th | 2026 so far: 4th (9 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 Exeter CityLeague Two
  • DA2-2 CreweLeague Two
  • WH3-2 Accrington STLeague Two
  • DH0-0 Leyton OrientEFL Cup
  • DH0-0 GrimsbyLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 3,0,5,4,0
Key players Albert Adomah 馃嚞馃嚟 46.7, Alexander Pattison 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.5, Reece Smith 43.2, Sven Sprangler 馃嚘馃嚬 40.8, Mason Hancock 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 38.1
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 26 路 馃嚡馃嚥 2 路 馃嚥馃嚫 1 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
255th08-15 v Gillingham: +4.008-22 v Grimsby: +0.008-29 v Accrington ST: +2.009-01 v Crewe: +0.009-05 v Exeter City: +0.0

Rochdale (22nd)

Greater-Manchester club (the Dale), Spotland; a long-time EFL member that dropped to non-league and is battling back. Small crowds, modest budget.

Seasons 2026 so far: 22nd (3 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-4 GillinghamLeague Two
  • WH3-0 ShrewsburyLeague Two
  • LA0-1 ColchesterLeague Two
  • LH1-2 Crawley TownLeague Two
  • LA0-3 Newport CountyLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,3,1,3,5
Key players Nils Ramming 馃嚫馃嚜 33.3, Luke Hannant 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 33.1, Sam Sherring 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 32.6, Dajaune Brown 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 30.3, Kane Taylor 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 26.9
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 14 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 馃嚫馃嚜 1
Season pulse season 2026
192422nd08-15 v Newport County: -4.008-22 v Crawley Town: -2.008-29 v Colchester: -2.009-01 v Shrewsbury: +4.009-05 v Gillingham: -4.0
league draws 26% · chaos 66lively

York (9th) v Swindon Town (2nd)

1 40%
X 27%
2 33%
Prediction: York to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 58%
Match preview

The model makes York the marginal call at 40%, with Swindon Town at 33% and the draw at 27%. Swindon Town have won 3 of their last five (8 scored, 6 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. Watch Aaron Drinan 馃嚠馃嚜 and Ollie Palmer 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 for Swindon Town.

York: Historic North-Yorkshire club (the Minstermen), back in the EFL from non-league; the LNER Community Stadium. · Swindon Town: Wiltshire club, a former Premier League side (1993-94) long fallen; the County Ground.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

York (9th)

Historic North-Yorkshire club (the Minstermen), back in the EFL from non-league; the LNER Community Stadium. Big fanbase for the level, ambitious.

Seasons 2026 so far: 9th (8 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 CreweLeague Two
  • LA2-3 CheltenhamLeague Two
  • WH2-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
  • DA1-1 RotherhamLeague Two
  • WH3-2 Bristol RoversLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYN match totals 5,2,3,5,2
Key players Arthur Read 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 54.1, Harry Boyes 50.9, Mark Shelton 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 48.9, Alex Newby 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 44.6, Zech Medley 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 36.1
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 15 路 馃嚠馃嚜 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
5109th08-15 v Bristol Rovers: +2.008-22 v Rotherham: +0.008-29 v Exeter City: +2.009-01 v Cheltenham: -2.009-05 v Crewe: +0.0

Swindon Town (2nd)

Wiltshire club, a former Premier League side (1993-94) long fallen; the County Ground. Big history and a loyal following, chasing a climb back up.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 62.0 in league · 7th of 21
Seasons 2023: 19th | 2024: 12th | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 2nd (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-1 ColchesterLeague Two
  • WH3-1 Port ValeLeague Two
  • LA0-3 OldhamLeague Two
  • WH2-1 CheltenhamLeague Two
  • DA0-0 NorthamptonLeague Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 0,3,3,4,4
Key players Aaron Drinan 馃嚠馃嚜 56.4, Connor Ripley 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 52.5, Ryan Tafazolli 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 47.7, Billy Kirkman 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 43.5, Fletcher Holman 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 40.0
Nationalities 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 28 路 馃嚠馃嚜 4 路 馃嚚馃嚘 2 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伔鬆伂鬆伋鬆伩 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
2142nd08-15 v Northampton: +0.008-22 v Cheltenham: +2.008-29 v Oldham: -4.009-01 v Port Vale: +3.009-05 v Colchester: +3.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.