Daily Football Model

2026-10-02 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚠馃嚜 Ireland PD

league draws 31% · chaos 70lively

Dundalk (5th) v Bohemians (3rd)

⚡ SQUAD GAP: BOHEMIANS
1 23%
X 27%
2 50%
Prediction: Bohemians to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 60%
vs performances: Dundalk +0.06 (19g) · Bohemians -0.24 (20g)
Match preview

The model makes Bohemians narrow favourites at 50%, with Dundalk at 23% and the draw at 27%. Bohemians arrive on a 4-game winning run (14 scored, 9 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 62%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 60%. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Bohemians the stronger. Watch Daryl Horgan 馃嚠馃嚜 for Dundalk, and Dayle Rooney 馃嚠馃嚜 and Dawson Devoy 馃嚠馃嚜 for Bohemians.

Dundalk: Fallen 2010s dynasty (financial collapse, relegation) promoted straight back as 2025 First Division champions. · Bohemians: Dublin's fan-owned club leading the 2026 form charts: 10-game unbeaten and 5-straight wins, drawing 21k+ for big fixtures.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Dundalk (5th)

Fallen 2010s dynasty (financial collapse, relegation) promoted straight back as 2025 First Division champions. Strong return: top-4 mid-2026, beat Waterford 5-0. Oriel Park artificial-turf era legacy. Europe-spot dark horse.

Style Territorial control from 2026
Squad quality 35.3 in league · 9th of 10
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 10th | 2026 so far: 5th (41 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-3 ShelbourneIreland PD
  • LH0-4 St Patrick's Athl.Ireland PD
  • DA1-1 WaterfordIreland PD
  • WA3-2 Drogheda UnitedIreland PD
  • LH1-2 Galway UnitedIreland PD
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,5,2,4,5
Key players Daryl Horgan 馃嚠馃嚜 54.2, Tyreke Wilson 馃嚠馃嚜 38.6, Bobby Burns 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 28.3, Mayowa Animasahun 馃嚠馃嚜 27.0, R. Teahan 25.5
Nationalities 馃嚠馃嚜 20 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伄鬆仼鬆伈鬆伩 1
Season pulse season 2026
385th07-03 v Shelbourne: -2.007-10 v Drogheda United: -2.007-24 v St Patrick's Athl.: -0.307-31 v Sligo Rovers: +0.208-07 v Shamrock Rovers: -2.508-21 v Galway United: -1.308-28 v Drogheda United: +2.609-11 v Waterford: +0.009-14 v St Patrick's Athl.: -5.009-18 v Shelbourne: -2.0

Bohemians (3rd)

Dublin's fan-owned club leading the 2026 form charts: 10-game unbeaten and 5-straight wins, drawing 21k+ for big fixtures. Dalymount redevelopment era. 2025 UECL qualifier. Best title shot in years; squad depth the question over 36 rounds.

Style Territorial control from 2026
Squad quality 71.7 in league · 2nd of 10
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 3rd (56 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-1 Drogheda UnitedIreland PD
  • WA3-2 Galway UnitedIreland PD
  • WH3-0 Sligo RoversIreland PD
  • WH5-3 Derry CityIreland PD
  • LA2-3 FC MidtjyllandUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,8,3,5,3
Key players Dawson Devoy 馃嚠馃嚜 57.6, Ross Tierney 馃嚠馃嚜 48.9, Jordan Flores 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 42.1, Patrick Hickey 馃嚭馃嚫 36.5, Dayle Rooney 馃嚠馃嚜 34.6
Nationalities 馃嚠馃嚜 25 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 7 路 馃嚭馃嚫 3 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚨馃嚤 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
143rd06-19 v Dundalk: -2.006-22 v Shelbourne: +4.406-26 v St Patrick's Athl.: +3.507-03 v Drogheda United: +3.008-02 v Galway United: +1.008-09 v Waterford: -3.208-21 v Derry City: +3.508-28 v Sligo Rovers: +4.709-11 v Galway United: +2.009-18 v Drogheda United: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.