Daily Football Model

2026-09-15 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚠馃嚫 Besta deild

league draws 23% · chaos 15orderly

Fram Reykjavik (3rd) v Breidablik (5th)

1 48%
X 25%
2 27%
Prediction: Fram Reykjavik to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 70%
Match preview

The model makes Fram Reykjavik narrow favourites at 48%, with Breidablik at 27% and the draw at 25%. Breidablik have lost 3 straight (8 scored, 14 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 69%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 70%. Watch Atli J贸nasson 馃嚠馃嚫 and Fred Saraiva 馃嚙馃嚪 for Fram Reykjavik, and 脫. 脫marsson 馃嚠馃嚫 and H. Gunnlaugsson 馃嚠馃嚫 for Breidablik.

Fram Reykjavik: Historic Reykjavik club (18 titles) having a standout 2026: 2nd on 33 pts from 15, chasing runaway Vikingur. · Breidablik: K贸pavogur club, recent Icelandic champions and the country's UECL-group trailblazer (2023-24); K贸pavogsv枚llur, elite academy.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Fram Reykjavik (3rd)

Historic Reykjavik club (18 titles) having a standout 2026: 2nd on 33 pts from 15, chasing runaway Vikingur. Atli J贸nasson leads the scoring, Brazilian Fred Saraiva the creator. Short summer season, small crowds.

Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 9th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 3rd (45 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 Vikingur ReykjavikBesta deild
  • DH2-2 KA AkureyriBesta deild
  • WA4-3 BreidablikBesta deild
  • WH3-1 StjarnanBesta deild
  • LH2-5 KR ReykjavikBesta deild
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 7,4,7,4,4
Key players Atli J贸nasson 馃嚠馃嚫, Fred Saraiva 馃嚙馃嚪, Kennie Chopart 馃嚛馃嚢
Nationalities 馃嚠馃嚫 34 路 馃嚛馃嚢 3 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
272nd07-06 v Keflavik: +0.007-12 v Thor Akureyri: +6.007-18 v Valur Reykjavik: +2.007-26 v FH hafnarfjordur: +0.008-01 v IBV Vestmannaeyjar: +2.008-10 v KR Reykjavik: -4.008-17 v Stjarnan: +3.008-24 v Breidablik: +2.008-30 v KA Akureyri: +0.009-06 v Vikingur Reykjavik: +0.0

Breidablik (5th)

K贸pavogur club, recent Icelandic champions and the country's UECL-group trailblazer (2023-24); K贸pavogsv枚llur, elite academy. Predicted qualifier; develops and sells youth.

Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 1st | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 5th (30 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 KA AkureyriBesta deild
  • LH0-2 StjarnanBesta deild
  • LH3-4 Fram ReykjavikBesta deild
  • DA3-3 KR ReykjavikBesta deild
  • LH1-3 Valur ReykjavikBesta deild
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 4,6,7,2,3
Key players 脫. 脫marsson 馃嚠馃嚫, H. Gunnlaugsson 馃嚠馃嚫, K. J贸nsson 馃嚠馃嚫
Nationalities 馃嚠馃嚫 35 路 馃嚛馃嚢 2 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1 路 馃嚝馃嚧 1
Season pulse season 2026
164th07-04 v IA Akranes: +2.007-13 v Keflavik: +2.007-20 v FH hafnarfjordur: +0.007-27 v IBV Vestmannaeyjar: +2.008-04 v Thor Akureyri: -2.008-09 v Valur Reykjavik: -3.008-16 v KR Reykjavik: +0.008-24 v Fram Reykjavik: -2.008-31 v Stjarnan: -3.009-06 v KA Akureyri: -2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.