Daily Football Model

2026-09-16 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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馃嚜馃嚜 Meistriliiga

league draws 12% · chaos 69lively

Paide (4th) v Vaprus (7th)

1 63%
X 19%
2 17%
Prediction: Paide to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
Match preview

The model makes Paide clear favourites at 63%, with Vaprus at 17% and the draw at 19%. Paide have won 3 of their last five (9 scored, 6 conceded). Watch Victor Hugo dos Santos de S谩 馃嚙馃嚪 and R. Saarma 馃嚜馃嚜 for Paide.

Paide: Small-town central-Estonia club (Paide Linnameeskond), a modern riser into Europe; artificial turf. · Vaprus: Parnu club from Estonia's summer resort city, mid-table in 2026 on 19 pts from 14 but leaky (29 conceded); capable of freak scorelines both ways.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Paide (4th)

Small-town central-Estonia club (Paide Linnameeskond), a modern riser into Europe; artificial turf. UECL entrant; overachiever.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 4th (45 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-2 LaagriMeistriliiga
  • WA2-0 TammekaMeistriliiga
  • LH0-2 FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
  • WA2-1 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
  • WH4-1 N玫mme UnitedMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 5,3,2,2,3
Key players Victor Hugo dos Santos de S谩 馃嚙馃嚪, R. Saarma 馃嚜馃嚜, M. Miller 馃嚜馃嚜
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 22 路 馃嚞馃嚥 5 路 馃嚫馃嚦 2 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚙馃嚘 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
284th06-28 v Kalju Nomme: +0.007-04 v Vaprus: +3.007-19 v Laagri: -4.008-02 v Kuressaare: +2.008-16 v Trans Narva: +0.008-23 v N玫mme United: +4.008-30 v Flora Tallinn: +2.009-06 v FC Levadia Tallinn: -3.009-09 v Tammeka: +3.009-13 v Laagri: -2.0

Vaprus (7th)

Parnu club from Estonia's summer resort city, mid-table in 2026 on 19 pts from 14 but leaky (29 conceded); capable of freak scorelines both ways. Artificial pitch, spring-autumn calendar, modest crowds.

Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 7th (34 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-4 FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
  • WH3-2 LaagriMeistriliiga
  • WH1-0 N玫mme UnitedMeistriliiga
  • DA2-2 KuressaareMeistriliiga
  • LH1-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,4,1,5,4
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚜 26
Season pulse season 2026
3106th07-04 v Paide: -3.007-11 v Tammeka: +5.007-18 v Trans Narva: -3.008-02 v FC Levadia Tallinn: +0.008-16 v Kalju Nomme: -3.008-23 v Flora Tallinn: -2.008-29 v Kuressaare: +0.009-05 v N玫mme United: +2.009-09 v Laagri: +2.009-12 v FC Levadia Tallinn: -5.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.