Daily Football Model

2026-09-13 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

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馃嚛馃嚢 Superliga

league draws 24% · chaos 79volatile

Lyngby (8th) v Sonderjyske (12th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 42%
X 27%
2 30%
Prediction: Lyngby to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 57%
vs performances: Lyngby -1.23 (6g) · Sonderjyske -0.70 (6g)
Match preview

The model makes Lyngby narrow favourites at 42%, with Sonderjyske at 30% and the draw at 27%. Sonderjyske have lost 4 straight (5 scored, 14 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch 脥sak Sn忙r 脼orvaldsson 馃嚠馃嚫 and Casper Winther 馃嚛馃嚢 for Lyngby, and Magnus Jensen 馃嚛馃嚢 and Maxime Soulas 馃嚝馃嚪 for Sonderjyske.

Lyngby: Promoted back for 26/27; perennial elevator club from Copenhagen suburbs.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Lyngby (8th)

Promoted back for 26/27; perennial elevator club from Copenhagen suburbs. Lyngby Stadion basic. Relegation-group projection.

Style Punished on few chances from 2024
Squad quality 40.9 in league · 9th of 12
Seasons 2023: 10th | 2024: 11th | 2026 so far: 8th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 ViborgSuperliga
  • DH1-1 OdenseSuperliga
  • LA1-2 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • DH1-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • LA0-2 Randers FCSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNN match totals 2,2,3,2,2
Key players Simon Colyn 馃嚚馃嚘 59.1, Casper Winther 馃嚛馃嚢 57.2, Munashe Garananga 馃嚳馃嚰 53.8, 脥sak Sn忙r 脼orvaldsson 馃嚠馃嚫 53.4, Diego Kochen 馃嚭馃嚫 51.6
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 13 路 馃嚠馃嚫 3 路 馃嚚馃嚘 1 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 馃嚙馃嚜 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1
Season pulse season 2026
8128th07-26 v FC Copenhagen: -1.508-01 v Aarhus: +0.808-09 v Randers FC: -3.008-16 v FC Midtjylland: -0.308-23 v AC Horsens: -1.008-30 v Odense: +0.109-04 v Viborg: +3.0

Sonderjyske (12th)

Haderslev. Border-region club back in the top flight; survived 25/26 relegation group (6-2 loss at FCM early). Sydbank Park. Relegation-group regular projection.

Style Long ball, physical from 2025
Squad quality 27.6 in league · 12th of 12
Seasons 2024: 9th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 12th (1 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-5 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • LA1-3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • LH0-3 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • LA2-3 BrondbySuperliga
  • DH0-0 ViborgSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYY match totals 0,5,3,4,7
Key players Alexander Munksgaard 馃嚛馃嚢 51.1, Maxime Soulas 馃嚝馃嚪 50.1, Mohamed Haidara 馃嚞馃嚦 48.3, Sefer Emini 馃嚥馃嚢 47.0, Nikolai Fl酶 馃嚛馃嚢 46.4
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 20 路 馃嚠馃嚫 3 路 馃嚥馃嚢 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚦馃嚞 1 路 馃嚭馃嚫 1 路 +9 more
Season pulse season 2026
101212th07-26 v FC Midtjylland: -1.708-03 v Odense: -2.708-07 v Viborg: -0.508-17 v Brondby: -2.308-23 v FC Nordsjaelland: -4.508-31 v FC Copenhagen: -3.809-06 v AC Horsens: -4.0
league draws 24% · chaos 79volatile

Silkeborg (9th) v Viborg (4th)

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH≈ SQUAD PARITY
1 32%
X 28%
2 41%
Prediction: Viborg to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 60%
vs performances: Silkeborg -0.24 (6g) · Viborg +0.39 (6g)
Match preview

The model makes Viborg the marginal call at 41%, with Silkeborg at 32% and the draw at 28%. Viborg have won 3 of their last five (9 scored, 5 conceded). Both teams to score looks likely at 61%. It leans over 2.5 goals at 60%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Tonni Adamsen 馃嚛馃嚢 for Silkeborg, and Jay-Roy Grot 馃嚦馃嚤 for Viborg.

Silkeborg: Possession purists; rough 25/26 (0-7 at Parken, 0-4 home to FCM) but survived. · Viborg: Steady mid-tier side; opened 25/26 hosting FCK and closed shipping 6 at AGF's title party.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Silkeborg (9th)

Possession purists; rough 25/26 (0-7 at Parken, 0-4 home to FCM) but survived. JYSK Park. Style over squad depth; lower-mid with pretty-football variance.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 42.4 in league · 8th of 12
Seasons 2023: 9th | 2024: 3rd | 2025: 9th | 2026 so far: 9th (6 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 AarhusSuperliga
  • DH1-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • LA1-3 BrondbySuperliga
  • LA0-1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • WH1-0 OdenseSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNY match totals 1,1,4,2,4
Key players Nicolai Larsen 馃嚛馃嚢 63.3, Callum McCowatt 馃嚦馃嚳 62.8, Aske Andr茅sen 馃嚛馃嚢 56.3, Rami Al Hajj 馃嚫馃嚜 53.3, Pedro Ganchas 馃嚨馃嚬 52.9
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 25 路 馃嚫馃嚜 4 路 馃嚦馃嚧 1 路 馃嚦馃嚳 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1
Season pulse season 2026
7119th07-27 v Randers FC: +0.308-02 v FC Copenhagen: -2.908-10 v Odense: +2.308-16 v FC Nordsjaelland: -3.208-24 v Brondby: -3.608-30 v FC Midtjylland: -0.709-05 v Aarhus: +0.0

Viborg (4th)

Steady mid-tier side; opened 25/26 hosting FCK and closed shipping 6 at AGF's title party. Energi Viborg Arena. Mid-table projection, sells its top scorer most summers.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 47.1 in league · 7th of 12
Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 4th (13 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-2 LyngbySuperliga
  • WA3-2 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • WH4-0 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • WH2-1 AarhusSuperliga
  • DA0-0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYYN match totals 0,3,4,5,2
Key players Oliver Bundgaard 馃嚛馃嚢 62.1, Kasper Kiilerich 馃嚛馃嚢 61.5, Lukas Kirkegaard 馃嚛馃嚢 60.3, 沤an Zaletel 馃嚫馃嚠 55.7, Charly Horneman 55.6
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 17 路 馃嚫馃嚠 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 馃嚢馃嚜 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
164th07-24 v Odense: +2.208-02 v Brondby: -1.408-07 v Sonderjyske: +0.508-14 v Aarhus: +1.508-23 v FC Copenhagen: +5.508-28 v AC Horsens: +2.509-04 v Lyngby: -3.0
league draws 24% · chaos 79volatile

Randers FC (7th) v Odense (10th)

1 47%
X 27%
2 26%
Prediction: Randers FC to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 51%
vs performances: Randers FC +0.58 (7g) · Odense -0.44 (6g)
Match preview

The model makes Randers FC narrow favourites at 47%, with Odense at 26% and the draw at 27%. Randers FC have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 6 conceded). Watch Elies Mahmoud 馃嚝馃嚪 and Wessel Dammers 馃嚦馃嚤 for Randers FC, and Bashkim Kadrii for Odense.

Randers FC: Jutland mid-tabler, cup pedigree (2021 winners); 25/26 relegation-group but safe (1-5 home loss to FCK the low). · Odense: OB: Denmark's fallen aristocrat, survived 25/26 (hammered 1-5 at home by AGF early).

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Randers FC (7th)

Jutland mid-tabler, cup pedigree (2021 winners); 25/26 relegation-group but safe (1-5 home loss to FCK the low). Cepheus Park. Lower-mid projection.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 48.4 in league · 6th of 12
Seasons 2023: 6th | 2024: 5th | 2025: 10th | 2026 so far: 7th (10 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-0 BrondbySuperliga
  • WH2-1 AarhusSuperliga
  • LA0-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • LH0-4 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • WH2-0 LyngbySuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYY match totals 2,4,1,3,3
Key players Daniel H酶egh 馃嚛馃嚢 66.1, Elies Mahmoud 馃嚝馃嚪 66.0, Wessel Dammers 馃嚦馃嚤 56.2, Mike Themsen 馃嚛馃嚢 54.5, Sabil Hansen 馃嚛馃嚢 52.0
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 15 路 馃嚘馃嚭 4 路 馃嚫馃嚜 4 路 馃嚦馃嚤 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 3 路 馃嚦馃嚧 2 路 +7 more
Season pulse season 2026
5107th07-27 v Silkeborg: -0.308-02 v FC Nordsjaelland: -3.308-09 v Lyngby: +3.008-16 v FC Copenhagen: -5.308-23 v FC Midtjylland: -2.208-30 v Aarhus: +1.609-06 v Brondby: +3.6

Odense (10th)

OB: Denmark's fallen aristocrat, survived 25/26 (hammered 1-5 at home by AGF early). Nature Energy Park decent. Rebuilding; mid-table target.

Style Punished on few chances from 2025
Squad quality 40.5 in league · 10th of 12
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 10th (5 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-5 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • DA1-1 LyngbySuperliga
  • DA2-2 AarhusSuperliga
  • LH1-2 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • LA0-1 SilkeborgSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 1,3,4,2,5
Key players Julius Berthel Askou 馃嚛馃嚢 62.7, Fiete Arp 54.7, Rasmus Falk Jensen 50.6, Ismahila Ou茅draogo 馃嚙馃嚝 48.9, Leeroy Owusu 馃嚦馃嚤 48.7
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 16 路 馃嚛馃嚜 4 路 馃嚦馃嚤 2 路 馃嚞馃嚥 2 路 馃嚦馃嚧 2 路 馃嚝馃嚠 2 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
51210th07-24 v Viborg: -2.208-03 v Sonderjyske: +2.708-10 v Silkeborg: -2.308-16 v AC Horsens: -2.108-23 v Aarhus: -0.508-30 v Lyngby: -0.109-06 v FC Copenhagen: -6.0
league draws 24% · chaos 79volatile

FC Nordsjaelland (3rd) v Aarhus (11th)

1 46%
X 27%
2 27%
Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 54%
vs performances: FC Nordsjaelland +0.14 (6g) · Aarhus -1.13 (5g)
Match preview

The model makes FC Nordsjaelland narrow favourites at 46%, with Aarhus at 27% and the draw at 27%. FC Nordsjaelland have won 3 of their last five (9 scored, 5 conceded). Watch Marcus Ingvartsen for FC Nordsjaelland, and Patrick Mortensen 馃嚛馃嚢 and Tobias Bech 馃嚛馃嚢 for Aarhus.

FC Nordsjaelland: Right to Dream academy club: young, attacking, Conference League spot from 25/26. · Aarhus: AGF: 25/26 champions - first title since 1986 - with an 8-game winning run, sealing it late vs Brondby and closing 6-2 over Viborg.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

FC Nordsjaelland (3rd)

strong at home

Right to Dream academy club: young, attacking, Conference League spot from 25/26. Farum small (1.8k lows). Sells teenagers for records annually; top-4 talent, title consistency lacking.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 65.5 in league · 3rd of 12
Seasons 2023: 4th | 2024: 7th | 2025: 4th | 2026 so far: 3rd (14 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA2-2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • LA0-2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • WH3-1 BrondbySuperliga
  • WA3-2 FC ST. GallenUECL
  • WA3-0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYYNY match totals 1,3,4,2,4
Key players Andreas Hansen 馃嚛馃嚢 73.9, Justin Janssen 馃嚛馃嚢 69.9, Tobias Salquist 馃嚛馃嚢 62.5, Mark Brink 馃嚛馃嚢 59.7, Nicklas R酶jkj忙r 馃嚛馃嚢 59.7
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 19 路 馃嚞馃嚟 6 路 馃嚦馃嚧 3 路 馃嚚馃嚠 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚝馃嚠 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
173rd07-26 v AC Horsens: +0.608-02 v Randers FC: +3.308-16 v Silkeborg: +3.208-23 v Sonderjyske: +4.508-30 v Brondby: +3.909-03 v FC Copenhagen: -3.009-07 v FC Midtjylland: +0.1

Aarhus (11th)

draw merchants

AGF: 25/26 champions - first title since 1986 - with an 8-game winning run, sealing it late vs Brondby and closing 6-2 over Viborg. Ceres Park rocking. Straight into UCL qualifying; title defence with Europe is uncharted modern territory for them.

Style Territorial control from 2025
Squad quality 57.2 in league · 5th of 12
Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 8th | 2025: 1st | 2026 so far: 11th (4 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • LH0-2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • LA1-2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • LH1-3 BenficaUEL
  • DH2-2 OdenseSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 3,4,3,2,4
Key players Gift Links 馃嚳馃嚘 66.6, Henrik Dalsgaard 馃嚛馃嚢 61.5, Frederik Emmery 馃嚛馃嚢 61.3, Janni Serra 馃嚛馃嚜 60.4, Eric Kahl 馃嚫馃嚜 60.2
Nationalities 馃嚛馃嚢 18 路 馃嚦馃嚧 5 路 馃嚫馃嚜 2 路 馃嚠馃嚫 2 路 馃嚞馃嚟 1 路 馃嚛馃嚜 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
21111th07-25 v Brondby: +0.408-01 v Lyngby: -0.808-14 v Viborg: -1.508-23 v Odense: +0.508-30 v Randers FC: -1.609-02 v FC Midtjylland: -3.009-05 v Silkeborg: +0.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.