Daily Football Model

2026-07-18 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇨🇳 Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tongliang Long (4th) v Hangzhou Greentown (6th)

draw risk: high
1 42%
X 27%
2 30%
Prediction: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean)
Club briefings

Chongqing Tongliang Long (4th)

The dragon of Chongqing's Tongliang district, promoted 2025; the city's football reborn after Liangjiang Athletic's collapse.

Seasons 2026 so far: 4th (28 pts)
Form WLWLD
Goals for 1,2,1,1,1 conceded 0,3,0,3,1
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNYN match totals 1,5,1,4,2

Hangzhou Greentown (6th)

Zhejiang Professional today: the academy club of the Yangtze delta, quietly well-run through every era of league chaos, and a production line for the national team.

Seasons 2023: 3rd | 2024: 7th | 2025: 7th | 2026 so far: 6th (25 pts)
Form LWLLW
Goals for 0,2,1,2,3 conceded 5,0,3,3,2
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYYY match totals 5,2,4,5,5

Dalian Zhixing (7th) v Shandong Luneng (2nd)

1 24%
X 25%
2 51%
Prediction: Shandong Luneng to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong)
Club briefings

Dalian Zhixing (7th)

Dalian Yingbo to the modern league, the football city's latest rebirth after Dalian Pro's 2024 dissolution; the Yifang-Aerbin lineage's spiritual heirs.

Seasons 2025: 11th | 2026 so far: 7th (25 pts)
Form DWLLW
Goals for 1,2,0,1,3 conceded 1,0,1,4,2
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 2,2,1,5,5

Shandong Luneng (2nd)

Shandong Taishan, the league's most decorated institution still standing: state-grid backed, five titles, and the Jinan crowd that never left through every reform.

Seasons 2023: 2nd | 2024: 5th | 2025: 5th | 2026 so far: 2nd (30 pts)
Form DLWLW
Goals for 3,0,5,0,4 conceded 3,1,1,2,3
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNY match totals 6,1,6,2,7

Shanghai Shenhua (3rd) v Tianjin Teda (15th)

1 66%
X 23%
2 11%
Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean)
Club briefings

Shanghai Shenhua (3rd)

The old money of Hongkou: Shanghai's original club, Drogba-era memories, cup pedigree, and the derby against Port now the league's defining fixture.

Seasons 2023: 5th | 2024: 2nd | 2025: 2nd | 2026 so far: 3rd (29 pts)
Form DLDWW
Goals for 2,1,2,4,3 conceded 2,2,2,1,2
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 4,3,4,5,5

Tianjin Teda (15th)

Jinmen Tiger today: the port city's survivors, rescued from dissolution in 2021 and defiantly mid-table ever since; the league's great escape artists.

Seasons 2023: 8th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 6th | 2026 so far: 15th (18 pts)
Form LDWLW
Goals for 1,1,1,0,3 conceded 2,1,0,1,0
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNY match totals 3,2,1,1,3

Wuhan Three Towns (16th) v Sichuan Jiuniu (14th)

draw risk: high
1 41%
X 27%
2 32%
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong)
Club briefings

Wuhan Three Towns (16th)

The 2022 miracle champions, title winners in their first top-flight season; the fever cooled and the budget shrank, but the trophy is forever.

Seasons 2023: 7th | 2024: 11th | 2025: 14th | 2026 so far: 16th (13 pts)
Form DDDLL
Goals for 2,3,1,0,2 conceded 2,3,1,1,3
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNNY match totals 4,6,2,1,5

Sichuan Jiuniu (14th)

Shenzhen Peng City on the modern map: the Chengdu-born club relocated south in 2023, City Football Group's Chinese outpost.

Seasons 2024: 13th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 14th (20 pts)
Form WWLLW
Goals for 2,3,2,0,3 conceded 1,2,3,3,0
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,5,5,3,3