Daily Football Model UAE UK Thailand Canada (ET)

The model makes Cardiff the marginal call at 40%, with Bolton at 33% and the draw at 27%. Bolton have lost 4 straight (4 scored, 11 conceded). Watch Aaron Collins and Ricardo Santos 🇧🇷 for Bolton, and Rubin Colwill 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 and Chris Willock 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Cardiff.

Bolton: Promoted: 5th in League One, then routed Stockport 4-1 in the Wembley playoff final after slipping from 3rd on the final day. · Cardiff: Bounced at the first attempt: 2nd in League One with 90 goals, drawing 27k for the Lincoln decider.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Derby the marginal call at 41%, with Birmingham at 33% and the draw at 27%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Jacob Widell Zetterstrom for Derby, and Jay Stansfield 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Kyogo Furuhashi 🇯🇵 for Birmingham.

Derby: Agonising 8th: lost to 13th-placed Sheffield United on the final day to miss the playoffs. · Birmingham: Knighthead/Tom Brady project: record 111pt League One title in 24/25, then solid Championship consolidation in 25/26.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes West Brom narrow favourites at 46%, with QPR at 27% and the draw at 26%. West Brom have won 3 of their last five (7 scored, 5 conceded). Watch Jed Wallace 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Josh Maja 🇳🇬 for West Brom, and Ilias Chair 🇲🇦 and Sam Field 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for QPR.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Millwall the marginal call at 40%, with Blackburn at 33% and the draw at 27%. Millwall have won 3 of their last five (10 scored, 8 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 38%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Millwall the stronger. Watch Todd Cantwell 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Yuki Ohashi 🇯🇵 for Blackburn, and Mihailo Ivanovic and Japhet Tanganga 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Millwall.

Blackburn: Ewood Park stalwart; another mid-table Championship season in 25/26, never near either end.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Charlton the marginal call at 41%, with Portsmouth at 32% and the draw at 27%. It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 38%). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Miles Leaburn 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Macaulay Gillesphey 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Charlton, and Colby Bishop 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Marlon Pack 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Portsmouth.

Portsmouth: Fratton Park institution; survived their second straight Championship season on atmosphere and home points.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites at 47%, with Norwich at 27% and the draw at 26%. Middlesbrough have won 3 of their last five (8 scored, 5 conceded). Norwich have won 3 of their last five (9 scored, 7 conceded). Watch Riley McGree 🇦🇺 and Hayden Hackney 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 for Middlesbrough, and Josh Sargent 🇺🇸 for Norwich.

Middlesbrough: Cruel ending: 5th, lost the playoff semi to Southampton, were reinstated into the final after Saints' Spygate expulsion with days' notice, then lost 0-1 to Hull on a 95th-minute goal. · Norwich: 9th - their final-day loss to Hull handed the Tigers sixth place.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Lincoln the marginal call at 37%, with Preston at 36% and the draw at 27%. Preston have lost 4 of their last five (5 scored, 10 conceded). This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Emil Riis 🇩🇰 for Preston, and Jack Moylan 🇮🇪 and Reeco Hackett 🇱🇨 for Lincoln.

Preston: The Championship's great constant: another anonymous mid-table year at Deepdale. · Lincoln: Fairytale: League One champions with 103pts and a 29-game unbeaten run under Michael Skubala - second tier for the first time since 1961.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Southampton clear favourites at 56%, with Bristol City at 19% and the draw at 25%. Southampton are unbeaten in five (13 scored, 5 conceded). Bristol City arrive on a 3-game winning run (9 scored, 7 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 59%. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Southampton the stronger. Watch Taylor Harwood-Bellis 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Flynn Downes 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 for Southampton, and Jason Knight 🇮🇪 and Max O'Leary 🇮🇪 for Bristol City.

Southampton: The Spygate club: finished 4th (80pts), beat Boro in the playoff semi, then were expelled by the EFL for spying on opponents - an unprecedented sanction, with fallout hanging over 26/27. · Bristol City: Perennial Championship residents; 25/26 upper-mid without a playoff push after their 24/25 semi run.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Burnley the marginal call at 40%, with Swansea at 33% and the draw at 27%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Swansea the stronger. Watch Ben Cabango 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 and Lawrence Vigouroux 🇨🇱 for Swansea, and Zian Flemming 🇳🇱 and Josh Cullen 🇮🇪 for Burnley.

Swansea: Possession identity endures; 25/26 mid-table without threat or trouble. · Burnley: Straight back down from the PL after their record-defence 24/25 promotion.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

The model makes Watford narrow favourites at 43%, with Stoke City at 31% and the draw at 27%. This tie also lands in the model's draw-risk band. Watch Giorgi Chakvetadze 🇬🇪 for Watford, and Million Manhoef 🇳🇱 and Viktor Johansson 🇸🇪 for Stoke City.

Watford: Pozzo churn continues: another mid-table season, another coaching change cycle.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.