Daily Football Model

2026-10-02 · 1 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA Internationals Intel Intl Composite → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

← all leagues

馃嚙馃嚪 Brasileir茫o

league draws 27% · chaos 1orderly
next day · Saturday

Sao Paulo (11th) v Santos (8th)🔥

1 48%
X 28%
2 24%
Prediction: Sao Paulo to win (lean) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 46%
vs performances: Sao Paulo -0.11 (23g) · Santos -0.21 (24g)
xG overlay · Sao Paulo better on chances than on results by 0.11 goals, shifted the price by up to 0.5 pts
Match preview

The model makes Sao Paulo narrow favourites at 48%, with Santos at 24% and the draw at 28%. Sao Paulo have won 3 of their last five (5 scored, 4 conceded). Santos arrive on a 4-game winning run (9 scored, 5 conceded). Watch Jonathan Calleri 馃嚘馃嚪 and Luciano 馃嚙馃嚪 for Sao Paulo, and Gabriel Barbosa 馃嚙馃嚪 and 脕lvaro Barreal 馃嚘馃嚪 for Santos.

Sao Paulo: S茫o Paulo giant, multiple champions and 2005 world champions; Morumbi. · Santos: Coastal club (Pel茅 and Neymar's), a famed academy; the tight old Vila Belmiro.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Sao Paulo (11th)

S茫o Paulo giant, multiple champions and 2005 world champions; Morumbi. Big fanbase, well-run.

Style Punished on few chances from 2026
Squad quality 49.9 in league · 9th of 20
Seasons 2023: 11th | 2024: 6th | 2025: 8th | 2026 so far: 11th (36 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH1-0 InternacionalBrasileir茫o
  • DH1-1 Boca JuniorsSudamericana
  • LA0-2 PalmeirasBrasileir茫o
  • LA0-1 Boca JuniorsSudamericana
  • WH2-0 Atletico-MGBrasileir茫o
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 1,3,2,2,1
Key players Sabino 馃嚙馃嚪 73.3, Ferreira 馃嚙馃嚪 70.1, Artur 馃嚙馃嚪 69.6, Robert Arboleda 馃嚜馃嚚 68.0, Domingos Duarte 馃嚨馃嚬 67.5
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚪 36 路 馃嚘馃嚪 4 路 馃嚨馃嚬 4 路 馃嚨馃嚲 2 路 馃嚜馃嚚 1 路 馃嚮馃嚜 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
11312th05-31 v Remo: -1.907-23 v Atletico Paranaense: -2.407-26 v Flamengo: -0.808-08 v Gremio: -2.108-16 v Coritiba: +0.008-23 v Chapecoense-sc: -1.708-29 v RB Bragantino: +2.409-05 v Atletico-MG: +3.009-12 v Palmeiras: -3.009-20 v Internacional: +2.0

Santos (8th)🔥

Coastal club (Pel茅 and Neymar's), a famed academy; the tight old Vila Belmiro. Recently yo-yo, in a Neymar-return era.

Style Punished on few chances from 2026
Squad quality 58.7 in league · 6th of 20
Seasons 2023: 17th | 2025: 12th | 2026 so far: 8th (38 pts)
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-1 RemoBrasileir茫o
  • LA2-4 Atletico-MGSudamericana
  • WH2-1 CruzeiroBrasileir茫o
  • WH2-0 Atletico-MGSudamericana
  • WA3-2 InternacionalBrasileir茫o
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYY match totals 2,1,5,3,3
Key players Neymar 馃嚙馃嚪 80.7, Gabriel Barbosa 馃嚙馃嚪 75.5, Willian Ar茫o 馃嚙馃嚪 68.7, Benjam铆n Rollheiser 馃嚘馃嚪 68.5, Arthur 馃嚙馃嚪 68.4
Nationalities 馃嚙馃嚪 35 路 馃嚘馃嚪 6 路 馃嚨馃嚲 2 路 馃嚮馃嚜 1 路 馃嚪馃嚭 1 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 +2 more
Season pulse season 2026
102010th05-30 v Vitoria: +2.807-16 v Botafogo: -1.907-25 v Chapecoense-sc: +0.408-09 v Atletico Paranaense: -2.908-16 v Vasco DA Gama: +4.408-23 v Mirassol: +0.508-30 v Corinthians: +2.109-06 v Internacional: +2.009-13 v Cruzeiro: +2.009-19 v Remo: +2.0

Club map · live temperature · terrain & altitude

Every club in the league. Markers coloured by current temperature at the club's city; ringed = in today's fixtures. Switch to the terrain layer for altitude contour lines; elevation is in each popup.