Daily Football Model

2026-09-15 · 8 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

Track record → Live record → Analytics → Squads → Players → Conviction → Draw Lab BTTS Lab Unpredictable League DNA → Conviction+Transfers → Intel →

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馃審 AFC Champions League

league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Daejeon Citizen v Kyoto Sanga

1 47%
X 25%
2 28%
Prediction: Daejeon Citizen to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
Club briefings

Daejeon Citizen

Kyoto Sanga

league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Gamba Osaka v C么ng An Nh芒n D芒n

1 60%
X 23%
2 17%
Prediction: Gamba Osaka to win (strong) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 48%
Club briefings

Gamba Osaka

Osaka club, multiple J-League champions and 2008 Asian champions; Panasonic Stadium Suita. Technical, well-run, strong academy.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA1-0 Gangwon FCACL
  • WA1-0 Al-NassrACL Two
  • WA3-0 Bangkok UnitedACL Two
  • LH0-1 Bangkok UnitedACL Two
  • WA2-1 RatchaburiACL Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNN match totals 2,1,3,1,0
Nationalities 馃嚡馃嚨 27 路 馃嚬馃嚦 1 路 馃嚬馃嚪 1 路 馃嚙馃嚪 1

C么ng An Nh芒n D芒n

Hanoi public-security club (CAND), a well-backed Vietnamese riser; heat and humidity. Ambitious, recent V.League success.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA2-0 Adelaide UnitedACL
  • LA1-3 Tampines RoversACL Two
  • LA0-1 Wofoo Tai PoACL Two
  • WH2-1 Beijing GuoanACL Two
  • LA1-2 MacarthurACL Two
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 3,3,1,4,2
Nationalities 馃嚮馃嚦 9 路 馃嚙馃嚪 5 路 馃嚘馃嚭 1 路 馃嚝馃嚪 1 路 馃嚚馃嚳 1
league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Kashima v Newcastle Jets

1 54%
X 24%
2 22%
Prediction: Kashima to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
Club briefings

Kashima

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-1 Melbourne VictoryACL
  • DH1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande FCACL
  • DA0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande FCACL
  • LA2-3 Sanfrecce HiroshimaACL
  • WH1-0 Sanfrecce HiroshimaACL
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 1,5,0,2,1

Newcastle Jets

league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Ratchaburi v SHANGHAI SIPG

1 59%
X 23%
2 18%
Prediction: Ratchaburi to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 49%
Match preview

The model makes Ratchaburi clear favourites at 59%, with SHANGHAI SIPG at 18% and the draw at 23%. Watch Mateus Vital 馃嚙馃嚪 and Zhen Wei 馃嚚馃嚦 for SHANGHAI SIPG.

Ratchaburi: Ratchaburi club (the Dragons), a mid-to-upper Thai side; heat and humidity. · SHANGHAI SIPG: Shanghai Port (ex-SIPG), CSL champions with heavy corporate backing; the modern Pudong Football Stadium.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Ratchaburi

Ratchaburi club (the Dragons), a mid-to-upper Thai side; heat and humidity. Modest budget, occasional ACL participant.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-2 Gamba OsakaACL Two
  • DA1-1 Gamba OsakaACL Two
  • LA0-1 Persib BandungACL Two
  • WH3-0 Persib BandungACL Two
  • LA0-2 Gamba OsakaACL Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,3,1,2,2
Nationalities 馃嚬馃嚟 14 路 馃嚙馃嚪 4 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚨馃嚟 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆伋鬆仯鬆伌鬆伩 1 路 +4 more

SHANGHAI SIPG

Shanghai Port (ex-SIPG), CSL champions with heavy corporate backing; the modern Pudong Football Stadium. Deep, expensively-built squad.

Style Pass-dominant from 2026
Squad quality 50.5 all Europe · Chinese Super League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 Beijing GuoanChinese Super League
  • WA1-0 Sichuan JiuniuChinese Super League
  • WH2-1 Qingdao JonoonChinese Super League
  • DH1-1 Dalian ZhixingChinese Super League
  • WA3-2 Wuhan Three TownsChinese Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNN match totals 2,4,0,0,0
Key players Zhen Wei 馃嚚馃嚦 69.9, Mateus Vital 馃嚙馃嚪 64.5, Xi Yang 60.5, 脫scar Melendo 馃嚜馃嚫 55.4, Tyias Browning 52.4
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚦 27 路 馃嚙馃嚪 5 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 1 路 馃嚟馃嚢 1 路 馃嚬馃嚞 1
Season pulse season 2026
5126th07-04 v Qingdao Youth Island: -2.307-17 v Yunnan Yukun: +0.007-25 v Shanghai Shenhua: +3.008-01 v Shandong Luneng: -2.008-09 v Chongqing Tongliang Long: +2.008-14 v Wuhan Three Towns: +2.008-19 v Dalian Zhixing: +0.008-23 v Qingdao Jonoon: +2.008-28 v Sichuan Jiuniu: +2.009-05 v Beijing Guoan: +0.0
league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Beijing Guoan v Pohang Steelers

1 33%
X 25%
2 42%
Prediction: Pohang Steelers to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 48%
Club briefings

Beijing Guoan

Beijing club, a big-city fanbase and one of China's most-supported sides; the redeveloped Workers' Stadium. Historic CSL contender.

Style Territorial control from 2026
Squad quality 53.9 all Europe · Chinese Super League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 SHANGHAI SIPGChinese Super League
  • DA1-1 Dalian ZhixingChinese Super League
  • DH3-3 Yunnan YukunChinese Super League
  • WA3-0 Shanghai ShenhuaChinese Super League
  • WA4-2 Tianjin TedaChinese Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,6,3,3,3
Key players Serginho 馃嚙馃嚪 73.4, Guilherme Ramos 馃嚨馃嚬 68.0, Dawhan 馃嚙馃嚪 66.4, Fabio Abreu 馃嚘馃嚧 62.5, Aboubacar Konte 馃嚥馃嚤 60.2
Nationalities 馃嚚馃嚦 23 路 馃嚙馃嚪 2 路 馃嚚馃嚥 1 路 馃嚨馃嚬 1 路 馃嚘馃嚧 1
Season pulse season 2026
2122nd07-04 v Shandong Luneng: +5.207-17 v Shenyang Urban: +0.007-26 v Chengdu Better City: +0.008-01 v Hangzhou Greentown: +2.008-07 v Sichuan Jiuniu: +5.008-15 v Tianjin Teda: +3.008-18 v Shanghai Shenhua: +4.008-22 v Yunnan Yukun: +0.008-28 v Dalian Zhixing: +0.009-05 v SHANGHAI SIPG: +0.0

Pohang Steelers

Pohang steel-town club, one of Asia's most successful in the AFC CL (three titles); the Steelyard. Elite academy, well-run, perennial contender.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Gamba OsakaACL Two
  • DH1-1 Gamba OsakaACL Two
  • WA1-0 KayaACL Two
  • WH2-0 BG Pathum UnitedACL Two
  • DH1-1 Tampines RoversACL Two
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 2,2,1,2,3
Nationalities 馃嚢馃嚪 32 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚘馃嚭 1 路 馃嚡馃嚨 1 路 馃嚛馃嚜 1
league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Johor Darul Takzim FC v Buriram United

1 50%
X 24%
2 25%
Prediction: Johor Darul Takzim FC to win (solid) · BTTS: No (lean) · Over 2.5: 38%
Match preview

The model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC narrow favourites at 50%, with Buriram United at 25% and the draw at 24%. Buriram United are unbeaten in five (6 scored, 3 conceded). It leans under 2.5 goals (over 2.5 at 38%). Watch 脫scar Arribas Pasero and Ignacio M茅ndez 馃嚘馃嚪 for Johor Darul Takzim FC, and Robert 沤ulj 馃嚘馃嚬 and Peter 沤ulj 馃嚘馃嚬 for Buriram United.

Buriram United: Thailand's dominant club, serial champions with the country's best support and infrastructure; Chang Arena (Thunder Castle), heat.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Johor Darul Takzim FC

Johor Bahru. Malaysia's dominant club (JDT), royal-backed with a title run stretching over a decade; the modern Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, heat. By far the country's best-resourced side.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA1-2 Al-Ahli JeddahACL
  • LA0-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaACL
  • WH3-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaACL
  • WH1-0 Vissel KobeACL
  • LA1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaACL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNYNY match totals 3,1,4,1,3
Key players 脫scar Arribas Pasero 70.9, Ignacio M茅ndez 馃嚘馃嚪 70.2, Cristian Glauder 馃嚜馃嚫 66.9, Jonathan Silva 馃嚘馃嚪 65.3, Ra煤l Parra 馃嚜馃嚫 61.0
Nationalities 馃嚜馃嚫 10 路 馃嚥馃嚲 8 路 馃嚙馃嚪 5 路 馃嚘馃嚪 2 路 馃嚦馃嚤 1 路 馃嚘馃嚭 1 路 +3 more

Buriram United

Thailand's dominant club, serial champions with the country's best support and infrastructure; Chang Arena (Thunder Castle), heat. Deep squad, the domestic benchmark.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-3 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiACL
  • DH0-0 Melbourne CityACL
  • DA1-1 Melbourne CityACL
  • WH2-0 Shanghai ShenhuaACL
  • WA1-0 Chengdu Better CityACL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNNY match totals 1,2,2,0,4
Key players Robert 沤ulj 馃嚘馃嚬 71.5, Peter 沤ulj 馃嚘馃嚬 68.5, Curtis Good 馃嚘馃嚭 67.5, Guilherme Bissoli 64.9, Goran 膶au拧i膰 馃嚪馃嚫 63.3
Nationalities 馃嚬馃嚟 10 路 馃嚪馃嚫 3 路 馃嚘馃嚭 2 路 馃嚘馃嚬 2 路 馃嚠馃嚛 2 路 馃嚜馃嚫 2 路 +8 more
league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Al Ain v Al-Nassr

⚡ SQUAD GAP: AL-NASSR
1 13%
X 20%
2 67%
Prediction: Al-Nassr to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 55%
Match preview

The model makes Al-Nassr clear favourites at 67%, with Al Ain at 13% and the draw at 20%. Al Ain have lost 4 of their last five (4 scored, 12 conceded). Al-Nassr have won 4 of their last five (11 scored, 2 conceded). On player-level quality the squads are far apart, with Al-Nassr the stronger.

Al-Nassr: Riyadh superclub, Saudi Pro League heavyweight assembled around a galaxy of global signings in the Ronaldo era; Al-Awwal Park, extreme heat.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Al Ain

Style Territorial control from 2024
Squad quality 58.6 all Europe · UAE Pro League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH2-2 Al-Wasl FCUAE Pro League
  • WA2-0 Al-Ittihad KalbaUAE Pro League
  • WH2-1 Al NasrUAE Pro League
  • WH2-0 KhorfakkanUAE Pro League
  • WA4-2 Baniyas SCUAE Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 6,3,2,3,2
Key players Mat铆as Palacios 70.7, Khalid Eisa 69.4, Marcel Ratnik 66.5, Yahya Ben Khaleq 64.9, Rami Rabia 64.8
Season pulse season 2026
142nd08-16 v Baniyas SC: +3.008-22 v Khorfakkan: +3.008-29 v Al Nasr: +2.009-04 v Al-Ittihad Kalba: +3.009-10 v Al-Wasl FC: +0.0

Al-Nassr

strong away

Riyadh superclub, Saudi Pro League heavyweight assembled around a galaxy of global signings in the Ronaldo era; Al-Awwal Park, extreme heat. Deep, expensively-built squad.

Style Direct and dangerous from 2025
Squad quality 71.2 all Europe · Saudi Pro League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 Al Khaleej SaihatSaudi Pro League
  • WH2-1 AbhaSaudi Pro League
  • LA1-2 Al-Ittihad FCSaudi Pro League
  • WH2-1 Al TaawonSaudi Pro League
  • WA3-2 Al-EttifaqSaudi Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYN match totals 1,1,4,6,1
Key players Jo茫o F茅lix 85.4, Mohamed Simakan 78.6, 脗ngelo 77.5, Abdulelah Al-Amri 77.4, Sadio Man茅 77.0
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚘 17 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚝馃嚪 2 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚟馃嚪 1 路 馃嚜馃嚫 1 路 +1 more
Season pulse season 2026
143rd08-15 v Al-Fateh: +4.408-21 v Al Riyadh: +5.408-25 v Al-Ettifaq: +2.608-28 v Al Taawon: +2.609-05 v Al-Ittihad FC: -2.009-09 v Abha: +2.509-12 v Al Khaleej Saihat: +0.0
league draws 24% · chaos 16orderly

Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Gharafa

1 81%
X 16%
2 3%
Prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 70%
Match preview

The model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC clear favourites at 81%, with Al-Gharafa at 3% and the draw at 16%. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are unbeaten in five (10 scored, 4 conceded). Al-Gharafa have lost 4 of their last five (2 scored, 13 conceded). It leans over 2.5 goals at 70%. Watch Theo Hern谩ndez 馃嚝馃嚪 and Sergej Milinkovi膰-Savi膰 馃嚪馃嚫 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, and Yacine Brahimi 馃嚛馃嚳 and Joselu 馃嚜馃嚫 for Al-Gharafa.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC: Asia's most successful club and the benchmark of the petro-funded Saudi Pro League; Riyadh's Kingdom Arena, fierce heat for day games. · Al-Gharafa: Doha club, Qatari cup pedigree and foreign-flavoured; extreme heat.

Assembled automatically from the model's own numbers and the club records — no editorial input.

Club briefings

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

strong at home

Asia's most successful club and the benchmark of the petro-funded Saudi Pro League; Riyadh's Kingdom Arena, fierce heat for day games. Stacked with global stars, the continent's dominant financial force. Long intercontinental ACL travel.

Style Frugal finishers from 2025
Squad quality 74.7 all Europe · Saudi Pro League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA6-0 Al TaawonSaudi Pro League
  • LH0-2 NEOMSaudi Pro League
  • WA2-0 Al ShababSaudi Pro League
  • WH3-0 Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Pro League
  • WA5-1 Al Khaleej SaihatSaudi Pro League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYY match totals 4,1,0,3,6
Key players R煤ben Neves 83.5, O. Watkins 81.9, Sergej Milinkovi膰-Savi膰 80.8, Crysencio Summerville 80.1, Theo Hern谩ndez 78.5
Nationalities 馃嚫馃嚘 19 路 馃嚝馃嚪 4 路 馃嚙馃嚪 3 路 馃嚨馃嚬 2 路 馃嚪馃嚫 1 路 馃嚥馃嚘 1 路 +4 more
Season pulse season 2026
141st08-14 v Al-Faisaly FC: +4.308-20 v Al-Fayha: +5.608-28 v Al Khaleej Saihat: +6.009-01 v Al-Ahli Jeddah: +4.009-04 v Al Shabab: +3.009-07 v NEOM: -2.809-12 v Al Taawon: +6.0

Al-Gharafa

Doha club, Qatari cup pedigree and foreign-flavoured; extreme heat. A mid-to-upper QSL side with the odd marquee signing.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 Lusail CityQatar Stars League
  • LA1-4 Al SaddQatar Stars League
  • LH1-3 Al ShamalQatar Stars League
  • WH2-1 Al ShahaniyaQatar Stars League
  • DH1-1 Al ShahaniyaQatar Stars League
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYN match totals 3,2,1,7,2
Key players Yacine Brahimi 馃嚛馃嚳 63.5, Joselu 馃嚜馃嚫 59.4, Seydou Sano 馃嚫馃嚦 56.8, Aron Gunnarsson 馃嚠馃嚫 52.6, Fabricio D铆az 馃嚭馃嚲 52.1
Nationalities 馃嚩馃嚘 19 路 馃嚜馃嚫 3 路 馃嚛馃嚳 1 路 馃嚠馃嚫 1 路 馃嚬馃嚦 1 路 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩 1 路 +6 more
Season pulse season 2026
199th08-21 v Al Shahaniya: +2.008-27 v Al Shamal: -3.009-05 v Al Sadd: -4.009-11 v Lusail City: +0.0