Daily Football Model

2026-07-29 · 3 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇪🇺 Conference League

Dukagjini v FC Lugano

1 32%
X 27%
2 41%
Prediction: FC Lugano to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 48%
Club briefings

Dukagjini

Klina club that won its first-ever major trophy - the 2025/26 Kosovar Cup - to reach the UECL; also 4th in the league. Modest ground; breakthrough season.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LA0-1 FC LuganoUECL
  • LA1-6 HNK RijekaUECL
  • LH0-1 HNK RijekaUECL
  • WA3-2 EuropaUECL
  • WH2-1 EuropaUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 3,5,1,7,1

FC Lugano

Italian-Swiss club (Lugano/Ticino), European regular and cup winner; Cornaredo (redevelopment era). UECL entrant; top-6 Swiss side.

Style Patient but blunt from 2025
Squad quality 56.7 all Europe · Swiss Super League
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH2-1 FC VaduzSwiss Super League
  • WH1-0 DukagjiniUECL
  • WH4-0 FC Basel 1893Swiss Super League
  • DA2-2 FC SionSwiss Super League
  • LH1-2 FC ST. GallenSwiss Super League
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYYN match totals 0,0,5,6,1
Key players Amir Saipi 70.3, Lars Lukas Mai 68.5, Renato Steffen 66.7, Anto Grgić 65.0, Kevin Behrens 58.7

FC Copenhagen v Polessya

1 69%
X 22%
2 10%
Prediction: FC Copenhagen to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 71%
Club briefings

FC Copenhagen

Defending champions dethroned: only a Conference League spot from 25/26 despite a 7-0 over Silkeborg. Parken 38k, UCL league-phase money banked. Biggest budget in Denmark; strong bounce-back favourite.

Style Territorial control from 2025
Squad quality 53.0 all Europe · Superliga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WH3-2 LyngbySuperliga
  • DA3-3 PolessyaUECL
  • WA3-1 BrondbySuperliga
  • WH5-0 Randers FCSuperliga
  • WA4-0 SilkeborgSuperliga
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 5,5,2,5,6
Key players Jordan Larsson 66.0, Mohamed Elyounoussi 60.5, Youssoufa Moukoko 58.8, Marcos López 58.7, Zanka 57.5

Polessya

Polissya Zhytomyr - 3rd in the 2025/26 UPL, a fast-rising, well-backed club now in the UECL; plays home ties away from the front. Ambitious ownership.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH3-3 FC CopenhagenUECL
  • LA2-3 FiorentinaUECL
  • LH0-3 FiorentinaUECL
  • LA1-2 PaksUECL
  • WH3-0 PaksUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYY match totals 3,3,3,5,6

Rapid Vienna v FC Santa Coloma

1 64%
X 23%
2 13%
Prediction: Rapid Vienna to win (strong) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 63%
Club briefings

Rapid Vienna

Austria's most-supported club, record 32 titles; Allianz Stadion, ferocious West-stand atmosphere. UECL entrant; European regular, title challenger.

Style Pass-dominant from 2025
Squad quality 51.2 all Europe · Austrian Bundesliga
Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-1 FC Santa ColomaUECL
  • WH3-0 RiedAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA1-2 RiedAustrian Bundesliga
  • LA0-2 Sturm GrazAustrian Bundesliga
  • LH0-2 Austria ViennaAustrian Bundesliga
Over 2.5 last 5 NYNNY match totals 1,5,1,2,4
Key players Matthias Seidl 66.5, Nenad Cvetković 64.2, Bendegúz Bolla 61.4, Romeo Amane 56.1, Jakob Schöller 55.9

FC Santa Coloma

Andorra's most successful club, serial champions; plays at the Estadi Nacional (artificial, ~1,000m altitude). UECL entrant; micro-nation stalwart.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH1-3 Rapid ViennaUECL
  • WH3-0 PenybontUECL
  • WA1-0 PenybontUECL
  • LH1-4 PolessyaUECL
  • WA2-1 PolessyaUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,5,1,3,4