Daily Football Model

2026-07-28 · 4 fixtures · probabilities recomputed daily from ten seasons of results

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🇪🇺 Conference League

Riga v Vardar Skopje

1 53%
X 26%
2 21%
Prediction: Riga to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 69%
Club briefings

Riga

strong at home

Riga FC - City Football Group-linked, multiple recent Latvian titles; Skonto/LNK grounds, artificial turf. Predicted qualifier; well-funded, foreign-heavy.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA3-2 Vardar SkopjeUECL
  • WH3-1 TukumsVirslīga
  • WH3-2 Ararat-ArmeniaUCL
  • LA0-2 Ararat-ArmeniaUCL
  • WH3-0 FS JelgavaVirslīga
Over 2.5 last 5 NNNYY match totals 2,1,2,5,5

Vardar Skopje

Skopje giant, historic champions and 2017 UECL-group side, back from financial collapse; Tose Proeski Arena. UCL/UECL entrant; big fanbase, rebuilding.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH2-3 RigaUECL
  • WA3-2 KuPSUCL
  • LH0-2 KuPSUCL
  • LA0-5 LausanneUECL
  • WH2-1 LausanneUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYY match totals 3,5,2,4,5
Key players R. Mato, F. Senghor, A. Omeragikj

Apollon Limassol v Dila

1 55%
X 25%
2 20%
Prediction: Apollon Limassol to win (solid) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 61%
Club briefings

Apollon Limassol

Limassol club with strong European pedigree; shares the Alphamega Stadium. Cosmopolitan squad, hot coastal venue. UECL entrant; consistent Cypriot top-4.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • WA4-0 DilaUECL
  • WH1-0 FC VaduzUECL
  • LA0-1 Dnipro-1UECL
  • WH1-0 AZ AlkmaarUECL
  • LA2-3 AZ AlkmaarUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNNY match totals 5,1,1,1,4
Key players Brandon Thomas, Garry Rodrigues, Pedro Marques

Dila

Gori club (Stalin's birthplace), Georgian cup/Europe regular; Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium. UECL entrant; provincial overachiever.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • LH0-4 Apollon LimassolUECL
  • LA0-1 VirtusUECL
  • WH3-1 VirtusUECL
  • DH3-3 RigaUECL
  • LA1-2 RigaUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYNY match totals 3,6,4,1,4
Key players Shota Shekiladze, A. Andronikashvili, A. Konte

CSKA 1948 v Spartak Trnava

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 45%
X 27%
2 28%
Prediction: CSKA 1948 to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (lean) · Over 2.5: 52%
Club briefings

CSKA 1948

Breakaway Sofia club (distinct from CSKA Sofia), rapid modern rise to European qualification; small ground. UECL entrant; ambitious upstart.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA0-0 Spartak TrnavaUECL
  • LA0-4 PafosUECL
  • WH2-1 PafosUECL
  • DA1-1 Buducnost PodgoricaUECL
  • WH1-0 Buducnost PodgoricaUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 NNYNN match totals 1,2,3,0,0
Key players M. Diallo, G. Rusev, B. Benamar

Spartak Trnava

Historic Trnava club, recent cup winner; the modern City Arena, passionate support. UECL entrant; title challenger.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH0-0 CSKA 1948UECL
  • WH4-3 Universitatea CraiovaUECL
  • LA0-3 Universitatea CraiovaUECL
  • WH5-1 HiberniansUECL
  • WA2-1 HiberniansUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYYYN match totals 3,6,3,6,0
Key players M. Kratochvíl, H. Gong, E. Sabo

Drita v Floriana

⚖ DRAW RISK: HIGH
1 45%
X 27%
2 28%
Prediction: Drita to win (lean) · BTTS: Yes (strong) · Over 2.5: 60%
Club briefings

Drita

2025/26 Kosovo champions (66 pts); Gjilan. Qualified via the Champions League route. Consistent title contender, strong home support in the east.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • DA1-1 FlorianaUECL
  • LH2-3 Kauno ŽalgirisUCL
  • DA1-1 Kauno ŽalgirisUCL
  • LA2-3 CeljeUECL
  • LH2-3 CeljeUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YYNYN match totals 5,5,2,5,2

Floriana

Malta's second-most-decorated club, historic champions; national grounds (artificial-era, shared). UCL/UECL entrant; big fanbase, Mediterranean heat.

Last 5 (all comps)
  • DH1-1 DritaUECL
  • LA1-5 Shamrock RoversUCL
  • WH2-0 Shamrock RoversUCL
  • DH1-1 BallkaniUECL
  • LA2-4 BallkaniUECL
Over 2.5 last 5 YNNYN match totals 6,2,2,6,2
Key players Shola Jimoh, Johnny Selemani, Sergei Kozlovskiy